Braves vs Phillies: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – April 11, 2021

Written By Staff on April 11, 2021 - Last Updated on April 13, 2021

The Atlanta Braves (4-4) are looking for continued power from a batter on a hot streak when they match up against the Philadelphia Phillies (5-3) on Sunday at 7:08 PM ET at SunTrust Park. Freddie Freeman is on a two-game home run streak for the favored Braves (-167) in the contest against the underdog Phillies (+143). Drew Smyly takes the mound first for Atlanta, and Matt Moore is Philadelphia’s pick to start.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 11, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Braves vs Phillies Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Smyly (ATL) Pitcher Moore (PHI)
0 – 0 W/L 0 – 0
6.0 IP 3.1
3.00 ERA 5.40
0.830 WHIP 2.400
12.0 K/9 10.8
1.5 BB/9 10.8

Braves Probable Starter Drew Smyly

  • The Braves are sending Smyly (0-0) out to make his second start of the season.
  • In his most recent time out on Tuesday, the left-hander threw six innings against the Nationals, allowing two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • The Braves have not been favored on the moneyline when Smyly starts this season.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of April 11, 2021 at 2:03 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Phillies Stats vs Smyly

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Didi Gregorius 10 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Andrew McCutchen 4 .750 3 2 4 .750 3.000
J.T. Realmuto 4 .000 0 0 0 .200 .200
Matt Joyce 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Ronald Torreyes 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Bryce Harper 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Phillies Probable Starter Matt Moore

  • Moore will get the start for the Phillies, his second of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw 3 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs while allowing four hits against the Mets.
  • His team won his only start as an underdog this season.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of April 11, 2021 at 2:03 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Braves Stats vs Moore

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Marcell Ozuna 11 .455 5 1 2 .455 1.273
Dansby Swanson 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Pablo Sandoval 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Ender Inciarte 3 .333 1 0 1 .250 .583
Travis d’Arnaud 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Ehire Adrianza 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Braves Betting Trends

  • Last season the Braves were the second-highest scoring team in baseball averaging 5.8 runs per game (348 total).
  • The Braves put together a 29-14 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 67.4% of those games).
  • When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -167 or shorter, Atlanta had a 10-6 record (winning 62.5% of its games).
  • Atlanta combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 31 times last season for a 31-24-4 record against the over/under.
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Phillies Betting Trends

  • The Phillies were underdogs in 20 games last season and won six (30%) of those contests.
  • Last season, Philadelphia was at least a +143 underdog on the moneyline four times, losing each of those contests.
  • Philadelphia’s games went over the total in 25 of their 51 chances last season.

Braves Players to Watch

  • Marcell Ozuna had 18 home runs and 56 runs batted in last season.
  • Among the qualifying hitters in MLB play, Ozuna ranked second in hits (76), third in HR (18), second in RBI (56), fifth in BA (.333), fifth in OBP (.420), and 19th in SLG (.632).
  • Freeman had a .341 batting average with 73 hits.
  • Freeman ranked fourth in hits (73), 24th in HR (13), third in RBI (53), third in BA (.341), second in OBP (.447), and first in SLG (.640) among the qualifying hitters in MLB action.

Braves Batting Stats (2020)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Dansby Swanson 237 .274 49 10 35 .345 .809
Marcell Ozuna 228 .333 38 18 56 .420 1.052
Freddie Freeman 214 .341 51 13 53 .447 1.087
Austin Riley 188 .239 24 8 27 .298 .713
Travis d’Arnaud 165 .321 19 9 34 .386 .919
Ronald Acuña Jr. 160 .250 46 14 29 .400 .981
Ozzie Albies 118 .271 21 6 19 .306 .772
Ender Inciarte 116 .190 17 1 10 .262 .512
Ehire Adrianza 89 .191 10 0 3 .287 .557
Pablo Sandoval 84 .214 5 1 6 .287 .549

Phillies Players to Watch

  • Bryce Harper slugged 13 homers last season while driving in 33 runs.
  • Harper’s .400 OBP ranked 10th, and his 13 HR ranked 24th among qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Didi Gregorius finished with 38 RBI while batting .279 and hitting 10 homers.
  • Among qualified hitters, Gregorius ranked 22nd in RBI in the league.

Phillies Batting Stats (2020)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Andrew McCutchen 217 .258 32 10 34 .328 .766
Didi Gregorius 215 .279 34 10 38 .326 .810
Jean Segura 192 .266 28 7 25 .341 .763
Bryce Harper 190 .268 41 13 33 .400 .942
J.T. Realmuto 173 .266 33 11 32 .349 .840
Alec Bohm 160 .338 24 4 23 .400 .881
Rhys Hoskins 151 .245 35 10 26 .384 .887
Brad Miller 142 .232 21 7 25 .353 .804
Roman Quinn 108 .213 14 2 7 .261 .576
Adam Haseley 79 .278 7 0 13 .341 .683

Braves vs Phillies Player Props

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