The Atlanta Braves (4-4) are looking for continued power from a batter on a hot streak when they match up against the Philadelphia Phillies (5-3) on Sunday at 7:08 PM ET at SunTrust Park. Freddie Freeman is on a two-game home run streak for the favored Braves (-167) in the contest against the underdog Phillies (+143). Drew Smyly takes the mound first for Atlanta, and Matt Moore is Philadelphia’s pick to start.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 11, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Braves vs Phillies Betting Odds
Pitching Matchup
| Smyly (ATL) | Pitcher | Moore (PHI) |
|---|---|---|
| 0 – 0 | W/L | 0 – 0 |
| 6.0 | IP | 3.1 |
| 3.00 | ERA | 5.40 |
| 0.830 | WHIP | 2.400 |
| 12.0 | K/9 | 10.8 |
| 1.5 | BB/9 | 10.8 |
Braves Probable Starter Drew Smyly
- The Braves are sending Smyly (0-0) out to make his second start of the season.
- In his most recent time out on Tuesday, the left-hander threw six innings against the Nationals, allowing two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
- The Braves have not been favored on the moneyline when Smyly starts this season.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of April 11, 2021 at 2:03 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Phillies Stats vs Smyly
| Player | AB | AVG | H | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Didi Gregorius | 10 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 4 | .750 | 3 | 2 | 4 | .750 | 3.000 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 4 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .200 |
| Matt Joyce | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| Ronald Torreyes | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| Bryce Harper | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Phillies Probable Starter Matt Moore
- Moore will get the start for the Phillies, his second of the season.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw 3 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs while allowing four hits against the Mets.
- His team won his only start as an underdog this season.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of April 11, 2021 at 2:03 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Braves Stats vs Moore
| Player | AB | AVG | H | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna | 11 | .455 | 5 | 1 | 2 | .455 | 1.273 |
| Dansby Swanson | 3 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
| Pablo Sandoval | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| Ender Inciarte | 3 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .250 | .583 |
| Travis d’Arnaud | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| Ehire Adrianza | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Braves Betting Trends
- Last season the Braves were the second-highest scoring team in baseball averaging 5.8 runs per game (348 total).
- The Braves put together a 29-14 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 67.4% of those games).
- When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -167 or shorter, Atlanta had a 10-6 record (winning 62.5% of its games).
- Atlanta combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 31 times last season for a 31-24-4 record against the over/under.
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Phillies Betting Trends
- The Phillies were underdogs in 20 games last season and won six (30%) of those contests.
- Last season, Philadelphia was at least a +143 underdog on the moneyline four times, losing each of those contests.
- Philadelphia’s games went over the total in 25 of their 51 chances last season.
Braves Players to Watch
- Marcell Ozuna had 18 home runs and 56 runs batted in last season.
- Among the qualifying hitters in MLB play, Ozuna ranked second in hits (76), third in HR (18), second in RBI (56), fifth in BA (.333), fifth in OBP (.420), and 19th in SLG (.632).
- Freeman had a .341 batting average with 73 hits.
- Freeman ranked fourth in hits (73), 24th in HR (13), third in RBI (53), third in BA (.341), second in OBP (.447), and first in SLG (.640) among the qualifying hitters in MLB action.
Braves Batting Stats (2020)
| Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dansby Swanson | 237 | .274 | 49 | 10 | 35 | .345 | .809 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 228 | .333 | 38 | 18 | 56 | .420 | 1.052 |
| Freddie Freeman | 214 | .341 | 51 | 13 | 53 | .447 | 1.087 |
| Austin Riley | 188 | .239 | 24 | 8 | 27 | .298 | .713 |
| Travis d’Arnaud | 165 | .321 | 19 | 9 | 34 | .386 | .919 |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | 160 | .250 | 46 | 14 | 29 | .400 | .981 |
| Ozzie Albies | 118 | .271 | 21 | 6 | 19 | .306 | .772 |
| Ender Inciarte | 116 | .190 | 17 | 1 | 10 | .262 | .512 |
| Ehire Adrianza | 89 | .191 | 10 | 0 | 3 | .287 | .557 |
| Pablo Sandoval | 84 | .214 | 5 | 1 | 6 | .287 | .549 |
Phillies Players to Watch
- Bryce Harper slugged 13 homers last season while driving in 33 runs.
- Harper’s .400 OBP ranked 10th, and his 13 HR ranked 24th among qualified hitters in MLB.
- Didi Gregorius finished with 38 RBI while batting .279 and hitting 10 homers.
- Among qualified hitters, Gregorius ranked 22nd in RBI in the league.
Phillies Batting Stats (2020)
| Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 217 | .258 | 32 | 10 | 34 | .328 | .766 |
| Didi Gregorius | 215 | .279 | 34 | 10 | 38 | .326 | .810 |
| Jean Segura | 192 | .266 | 28 | 7 | 25 | .341 | .763 |
| Bryce Harper | 190 | .268 | 41 | 13 | 33 | .400 | .942 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 173 | .266 | 33 | 11 | 32 | .349 | .840 |
| Alec Bohm | 160 | .338 | 24 | 4 | 23 | .400 | .881 |
| Rhys Hoskins | 151 | .245 | 35 | 10 | 26 | .384 | .887 |
| Brad Miller | 142 | .232 | 21 | 7 | 25 | .353 | .804 |
| Roman Quinn | 108 | .213 | 14 | 2 | 7 | .261 | .576 |
| Adam Haseley | 79 | .278 | 7 | 0 | 13 | .341 | .683 |
Braves vs Phillies Player Props
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