Braves vs Phillies: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – April 1, 2021

Posted By Staff on March 31, 2021

The Philadelphia Phillies kick off the 2021 MLB campaign on the moneyline at home against the Atlanta Braves () at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. First pitch is at 3:05 PM ET. Atlanta’s Max Fried and Philadelphia’s Aaron Nola pitch first for their squads in this matchup.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 30, 2021, 3:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Braves vs Phillies Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

The probable pitchers for both teams have not made a start this season. Here are their stats from last season:

Fried (ATL) Pitcher Nola (PHI)
7 – 0 W/L 5 – 5
56.0 IP 71.1
2.25 ERA 3.28
1.09 WHIP 1.05
8 K/9 12.1
3.1 BB/9 2.6

Braves Probable Starter Max Fried

  • Fried gets the call to start for the Braves, his first this season.
  • In his last appearance on Saturday, Oct. 17, the 27-year-old left-hander, started and went 6 2/3 innings against the Dodgers.
  • Fried and his team finished 10-1 in the 11 games he appeared in when they were moneyline favorites a season ago.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of March 30, 2021 at 8:12 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Phillies Probable Starter Aaron Nola

  • Nola gets the nod for the Phillies and will make his first start of the season.
  • The last time the 27-year-old righty pitched was on Sunday, Sept. 27, throwing 3 2/3 innings as the starter against the Rays.
  • Nola and his team were defeated as underdogs in each of his three appearances last season with a moneyline.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of March 30, 2021 at 8:12 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Braves Betting Trends

  • Last season the Braves were the second-highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 5.8 runs per game (348 total).
  • The Braves won 29 of the 43 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (67.4%).
  • In games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -113 or shorter, Atlanta had a 29-13 record (winning 69% of its games).
  • In the 59 games bookmakers set an over/under for Atlanta, it combined with opponents to go over the total 31 times (31-24-4).

Phillies Betting Trends

  • The Phillies were underdogs in 20 games last season and won six (30%) of those contests.
  • Philadelphia entered 16 games last season as the underdog by -104 or more and was 4-12 in those contests.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents hit the over in 25 of their 51 games with a total last season.

Braves Players to Watch

  • Marcell Ozuna had 18 home runs and 56 runs batted in last season.
  • Among the qualified batters in baseball, Ozuna ranked second in hits (76), fourth in HR (18), second in RBI (56), fifth in BA (.333), fifth in OBP (.420), and 19th in SLG (.632).
  • Freddie Freeman had a .341 batting average with 73 hits.
  • Freeman ranked fourth in hits (73), 24th in HR (13), third in RBI (53), third in BA (.341), second in OBP (.447), and first in SLG (.640) among the qualified hitters in baseball.

Braves Batting Stats (2020)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Dansby Swanson 237 .274 49 10 35 .345 .809
Marcell Ozuna 228 .333 38 18 56 .420 1.052
Freddie Freeman 214 .341 51 13 53 .447 1.087
Austin Riley 188 .239 24 8 27 .298 .713
Travis d’Arnaud 165 .321 19 9 34 .386 .919
Ronald Acuña Jr. 160 .250 46 14 29 .400 .981
Ozzie Albies 118 .271 21 6 19 .306 .772
Ender Inciarte 116 .190 17 1 10 .262 .512
Ehire Adrianza 89 .191 10 0 3 .287 .557
Pablo Sandoval 84 .214 5 1 6 .287 .549

Phillies Players to Watch

  • Bryce Harper finished with a .268 batting average last season and 13 home runs.
  • Harper’s .400 OBP ranked 10th, and his 13 HR ranked 24th among qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Didi Gregorius finished with 38 RBI while batting .279 and hitting 10 homers.
  • Gregorius ranked 22nd in RBI among qualified hitters in the majors.

Phillies Batting Stats (2020)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Andrew McCutchen 217 .258 32 10 34 .328 .766
Didi Gregorius 215 .279 34 10 38 .326 .810
Jean Segura 192 .266 28 7 25 .341 .763
Bryce Harper 190 .268 41 13 33 .400 .942
J.T. Realmuto 173 .266 33 11 32 .349 .840
Alec Bohm 160 .338 24 4 23 .400 .881
Rhys Hoskins 151 .245 35 10 26 .384 .887
Brad Miller 142 .232 21 7 25 .353 .804
Matt Joyce 127 .252 16 2 14 .351 .682
Roman Quinn 108 .213 14 2 7 .261 .576

Braves vs Phillies Player Props

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