The Philadelphia Phillies kick off the 2021 MLB campaign on the moneyline at home against the Atlanta Braves () at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. First pitch is at 3:05 PM ET. Atlanta’s Max Fried and Philadelphia’s Aaron Nola pitch first for their squads in this matchup.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 30, 2021, 3:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Braves vs Phillies Betting Odds
Pitching Matchup
The probable pitchers for both teams have not made a start this season. Here are their stats from last season:
| Fried (ATL) | Pitcher | Nola (PHI) |
|---|---|---|
| 7 – 0 | W/L | 5 – 5 |
| 56.0 | IP | 71.1 |
| 2.25 | ERA | 3.28 |
| 1.09 | WHIP | 1.05 |
| 8 | K/9 | 12.1 |
| 3.1 | BB/9 | 2.6 |
Braves Probable Starter Max Fried
- Fried gets the call to start for the Braves, his first this season.
- In his last appearance on Saturday, Oct. 17, the 27-year-old left-hander, started and went 6 2/3 innings against the Dodgers.
- Fried and his team finished 10-1 in the 11 games he appeared in when they were moneyline favorites a season ago.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of March 30, 2021 at 8:12 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Phillies Probable Starter Aaron Nola
- Nola gets the nod for the Phillies and will make his first start of the season.
- The last time the 27-year-old righty pitched was on Sunday, Sept. 27, throwing 3 2/3 innings as the starter against the Rays.
- Nola and his team were defeated as underdogs in each of his three appearances last season with a moneyline.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of March 30, 2021 at 8:12 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Braves Betting Trends
- Last season the Braves were the second-highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 5.8 runs per game (348 total).
- The Braves won 29 of the 43 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (67.4%).
- In games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -113 or shorter, Atlanta had a 29-13 record (winning 69% of its games).
- In the 59 games bookmakers set an over/under for Atlanta, it combined with opponents to go over the total 31 times (31-24-4).
Phillies Betting Trends
- The Phillies were underdogs in 20 games last season and won six (30%) of those contests.
- Philadelphia entered 16 games last season as the underdog by -104 or more and was 4-12 in those contests.
- Philadelphia and its opponents hit the over in 25 of their 51 games with a total last season.
Braves Players to Watch
- Marcell Ozuna had 18 home runs and 56 runs batted in last season.
- Among the qualified batters in baseball, Ozuna ranked second in hits (76), fourth in HR (18), second in RBI (56), fifth in BA (.333), fifth in OBP (.420), and 19th in SLG (.632).
- Freddie Freeman had a .341 batting average with 73 hits.
- Freeman ranked fourth in hits (73), 24th in HR (13), third in RBI (53), third in BA (.341), second in OBP (.447), and first in SLG (.640) among the qualified hitters in baseball.
Braves Batting Stats (2020)
| Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dansby Swanson | 237 | .274 | 49 | 10 | 35 | .345 | .809 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 228 | .333 | 38 | 18 | 56 | .420 | 1.052 |
| Freddie Freeman | 214 | .341 | 51 | 13 | 53 | .447 | 1.087 |
| Austin Riley | 188 | .239 | 24 | 8 | 27 | .298 | .713 |
| Travis d’Arnaud | 165 | .321 | 19 | 9 | 34 | .386 | .919 |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | 160 | .250 | 46 | 14 | 29 | .400 | .981 |
| Ozzie Albies | 118 | .271 | 21 | 6 | 19 | .306 | .772 |
| Ender Inciarte | 116 | .190 | 17 | 1 | 10 | .262 | .512 |
| Ehire Adrianza | 89 | .191 | 10 | 0 | 3 | .287 | .557 |
| Pablo Sandoval | 84 | .214 | 5 | 1 | 6 | .287 | .549 |
Phillies Players to Watch
- Bryce Harper finished with a .268 batting average last season and 13 home runs.
- Harper’s .400 OBP ranked 10th, and his 13 HR ranked 24th among qualified hitters in MLB.
- Didi Gregorius finished with 38 RBI while batting .279 and hitting 10 homers.
- Gregorius ranked 22nd in RBI among qualified hitters in the majors.
Phillies Batting Stats (2020)
| Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 217 | .258 | 32 | 10 | 34 | .328 | .766 |
| Didi Gregorius | 215 | .279 | 34 | 10 | 38 | .326 | .810 |
| Jean Segura | 192 | .266 | 28 | 7 | 25 | .341 | .763 |
| Bryce Harper | 190 | .268 | 41 | 13 | 33 | .400 | .942 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 173 | .266 | 33 | 11 | 32 | .349 | .840 |
| Alec Bohm | 160 | .338 | 24 | 4 | 23 | .400 | .881 |
| Rhys Hoskins | 151 | .245 | 35 | 10 | 26 | .384 | .887 |
| Brad Miller | 142 | .232 | 21 | 7 | 25 | .353 | .804 |
| Matt Joyce | 127 | .252 | 16 | 2 | 14 | .351 | .682 |
| Roman Quinn | 108 | .213 | 14 | 2 | 7 | .261 | .576 |
Braves vs Phillies Player Props
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