Braves Vs Nationals: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 17, 2022

Written By Staff on July 17, 2022

The Atlanta Braves (55-37) have a 3-0 series lead and will try to sweep the Washington Nationals (30-63) on Sunday at Nationals Park, starting at 1:35 PM ET. Atlanta’s (-287 to win) Spencer Strider starts against Washington’s (+232) Erasmo Ramirez.

The betting insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of July 17, 2022 at 1:34 PM ET.

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Braves vs Nationals Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Strider (ATL) Pitcher Ramírez (WSH)
4 – 2 W/L 1 – 1
70.1 IP 41.1
2.56 ERA 4.57
1.024 WHIP 1.427
14.1 K/9 6.8
3.6 BB/9 2

Braves Probable Starter Spencer Strider

  • Strider (4-2) gets the starting nod for the Braves in his 10th start of the season. He has a 2.56 ERA in 70 1/3 innings pitched, with 110 strikeouts.
  • In his most recent outing on Tuesday against the New York Mets, the right-hander threw 4 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering five hits.
  • The 23-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.56, with 14.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in 20 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .174 batting average against him.
  • Strider has three quality starts under his belt this season.
  • He will face off against a Nationals offense that ranks 10th in MLB with 776 total hits (on a .249 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .375 (26th in MLB) with 72 total home runs (27th in MLB).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 17, 2022 at 1:34 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Nationals Stats vs Strider

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
César Hernández 5 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Keibert Ruiz 4 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Nelson Cruz 4 .000 0 0 0 .200 .200
Yadiel Hernandez 3 .333 1 0 0 .500 .833
Josh Bell 3 .000 0 0 0 .250 .250
Maikel Franco 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Lane Thomas 2 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500
Luis García 2 .500 1 1 1 .500 2.500
Juan Soto 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Victor Robles 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Nationals Probable Starter Erasmo Ramírez

  • Ramirez has been named the starter for the Nationals and will make his first start this season.
  • The 32-year-old right-hander will make his first start after pitching in relief 31 times this year.
  • He has pitched in 31 games this season with an ERA of 4.57, a 3.444 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.427.
  • The Braves have scored 442 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB. They are batting .249 for the campaign with 147 home runs, second in the league.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 17, 2022 at 1:34 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Braves Stats vs Ramírez

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Robinson Canó 8 .375 3 0 1 .375 .875
Marcell Ozuna 8 .375 3 1 2 .375 1.125
Ronald Acuña Jr. 6 .167 1 0 0 .167 .334
Dansby Swanson 6 .500 3 0 2 .625 1.125
Michael Harris II 4 .500 2 1 2 .500 1.750
Austin Riley 4 .000 0 0 0 .200 .200
Matt Olson 4 .250 1 0 0 .250 .750
Adam Duvall 4 .500 2 1 1 .600 2.100
Travis d’Arnaud 4 .500 2 1 2 .600 2.350
Eddie Rosario 3 .333 1 1 2 .333 1.666

Braves Betting Trends

  • The Braves have won 48 of the 71 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (67.6%).
  • Atlanta has played as a moneyline favorite of -287 or shorter in just two games this season, which they won both.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Braves’ implied win probability is 74.2%.
  • Atlanta has played in 93 games with over/under set, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 45 times (45-46-2).
  • The Braves have covered 49.5% of their games this season, going 46-47-0 against the spread.
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Nationals Betting Trends

  • This season, the Nationals have been the underdog 78 times and won 23, or 29.5%, of those games.
  • Washington has played as an underdog of +232 or more once this season and lost that game.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 30.1% chance to win.
  • Washington and its opponents have hit the over in 45 of their 93 games with a total this season.
  • The Nationals are 39-54-0 ATS in their 93 games with a spread this season.

Braves Players to Watch

  • Austin Riley is leading the Braves with 102 hits, while batting .284 with 22 doubles, a triple, 27 home runs and 28 walks.
  • Among qualified hitters in MLB action, Riley’s batting average ranks 34th, his on-base percentage ranks 46th, and he is sixth in the league in slugging.
  • Riley takes a 12-game hitting streak into this game. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .364 with two doubles, six home runs, two walks and 10 RBI.
  • Matt Olson is hitting .255 with 33 doubles, 17 home runs and 47 walks.
  • Among qualified batters, Olson ranks 77th in batting average, 56th in on-base percentage, and 25th in slugging.
  • Olson heads into this game on a five-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is hitting .318 with four home runs and 10 RBI.
  • Dansby Swanson has accumulated a .349 on-base percentage and a .479 slugging percentage, both team-best marks for the Braves. He is hitting .291 with 20 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 29 walks.
  • Marcell Ozuna is batting .221 with 12 doubles, 17 home runs and 26 walks.

Braves Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Matt Olson 361 .255 43 17 60 .341 .829
Austin Riley 359 .284 54 27 61 .346 .923
Dansby Swanson 357 .291 59 15 53 .349 .828
Marcell Ozuna 339 .221 41 17 37 .278 .685
Adam Duvall 281 .210 39 12 34 .275 .677
Travis d’Arnaud 241 .261 36 11 38 .310 .771
Ronald Acuña Jr. 226 .270 38 8 22 .367 .787
Michael Harris 169 .284 30 8 26 .320 .823
William Contreras 150 .267 21 11 23 .353 .900
Orlando Arcia 129 .256 13 4 18 .329 .717

Nationals Players to Watch

  • Juan Soto leads Washington with an OBP of .406 this season while batting .250 with 79 walks and 56 runs scored.
  • Among all qualifying hitters in the majors, Soto’s batting average ranks 88th, his on-base percentage ranks fourth, and he is 24th in slugging percentatge.
  • Josh Bell leads Washington with 106 hits and a team-best slugging percentage of .509.
  • Bell’s batting average is eighth among all qualified players, his on-base percentage places him eighth, and he is 18th in slugging.
  • Nelson Cruz has 75 hits this season and has a slash line of .242/.324/.361.
  • Cesar Hernandez is batting .244 with a .306 OBP and 20 RBI for Washington this season.

Nationals Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
César Hernández 365 .244 44 0 20 .306 .613
Josh Bell 338 .314 47 13 50 .392 .901
Maikel Franco 319 .235 27 8 37 .265 .622
Nelson Cruz 310 .242 39 8 48 .324 .685
Juan Soto 308 .250 56 19 42 .406 .896
Keibert Ruiz 263 .251 22 3 20 .312 .662
Lane Thomas 261 .222 31 9 33 .277 .656
Yadiel Hernandez 234 .265 22 6 33 .307 .713
Victor Robles 199 .231 25 1 21 .300 .591
Luis Garcia 159 .296 13 2 15 .305 .720

Braves vs Nationals Player Props

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