Braves Vs Nationals: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 10, 2022

Written By Staff on July 9, 2022

Juan Soto takes a two-game home run streak into the Washington Nationals’ (30-57) matchup with the Atlanta Braves (50-35) at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday at Truist Field. Ian Anderson starts for Atlanta (-223 to win) while Washington (+185) will counter with Paolo Espino.

The insights in what follows reflect odds as of July 10, 2022 at 1:34 PM ET.

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Braves vs Nationals Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Anderson (ATL) Pitcher Espino (WSH)
7 – 5 W/L 0 – 2
81.1 IP 48.2
5.09 ERA 3.33
1.537 WHIP 1.192
7.6 K/9 6.8
4.2 BB/9 2.0

Braves Probable Starter Ian Anderson

  • Anderson (7-5 with a 5.09 ERA and 69 strikeouts in 81 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Braves, his 17th of the season.
  • The righty last appeared on Tuesday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up eight hits.
  • The 24-year-old has a 5.09 ERA and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings in 16 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .271 to opposing hitters.
  • Anderson is trying to collect his fifth quality start of the year.
  • He will take the hill against a Nationals offense that ranks ninth in MLB with 729 total hits (on a .250 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .377 (23rd in MLB) with 67 total home runs (26th in MLB).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 10, 2022 at 1:34 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Nationals Stats vs Anderson

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Luis García 5 .200 1 0 0 .200 .600
Yadiel Hernandez 4 .250 1 0 1 .250 .500
Juan Soto 3 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500
César Hernández 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Lane Thomas 2 .500 1 0 1 .667 1.167
Keibert Ruiz 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Nelson Cruz 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Maikel Franco 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Josh Bell 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500

Nationals Probable Starter Paolo Espino

  • The Nationals will send Espino (0-2) to the mound for his sixth start this season.
  • The right-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed six hits in 3 2/3 innings pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday.
  • The 35-year-old has an ERA of 3.33 and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .250 in 25 games this season.
  • In five starts this season, Espino has not yet earned a quality start.
  • The Braves rank eighth in MLB with a .250 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks first in the league (.446) and 132 home runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 10, 2022 at 1:34 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Braves Stats vs Espino

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Austin Riley 9 .444 4 1 3 .444 1.333
Adam Duvall 9 .333 3 2 4 .500 1.500
Dansby Swanson 8 .250 2 1 2 .250 .875
Marcell Ozuna 6 .333 2 2 2 .333 1.666
Guillermo Heredia 5 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Travis d’Arnaud 4 .250 1 0 1 .250 .750
William Contreras 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Ronald Acuña Jr. 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Matt Olson 1 1.000 1 0 0 1.000 2.000

Braves Betting Trends

  • The Braves have won 43 of the 64 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (67.2%).
  • Atlanta is 11-3 (winning 78.6% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -223 or shorter.
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Braves’ implied win probability is 69%.
  • Atlanta has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 42 times this season for a 42-42-2 record against the over/under.
  • The Braves have covered 50% of their games this season, going 43-43-0 against the spread.
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Nationals Betting Trends

  • This season, the Nationals have been the underdog 73 times and won 23, or 31.5%, of those games.
  • Washington is 4-8 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +185 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Nationals, based on the moneyline, is 35.1%.
  • Washington’s games have gone over the total in 42 of their 87 chances.
  • The Nationals are 36-51-0 ATS in their 87 games with a spread this season.

Braves Players to Watch

  • Austin Riley has put up 91 hits, a team-best for the Braves, on the way to hitting .278 with 21 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 28 walks.
  • Among qualified hitters in MLB, Riley’s batting average ranks 40th, his on-base percentage ranks 49th, and he is 10th in the league in slugging.
  • Riley has hit safely in five straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .526 with three doubles, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.
  • Dansby Swanson paces his team with a .355 on-base percentage, and has a club-best .488 slugging percentage. He has 18 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 26 walks while batting .299.
  • Swanson currently ranks 19th in batting average, 34th in on base percentage, and 24th in slugging among qualified batters.
  • Matt Olson has 33 doubles, 13 home runs and 46 walks while hitting .255.
  • Marcell Ozuna is hitting .227 with 11 doubles, 17 home runs and 23 walks.

Braves Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Matt Olson 330 .255 37 13 50 .346 .819
Dansby Swanson 328 .299 52 14 50 .355 .843
Austin Riley 327 .278 49 22 53 .346 .896
Marcell Ozuna 317 .227 41 17 37 .281 .704
Adam Duvall 266 .203 36 10 31 .270 .650
Travis d’Arnaud 225 .267 34 11 37 .318 .798
Ronald Acuña Jr. 203 .281 36 8 22 .376 .819
Michael Harris 145 .303 28 7 24 .336 .867
William Contreras 139 .266 21 11 22 .350 .918
Orlando Arcia 119 .252 11 3 17 .326 .696

Nationals Players to Watch

  • Soto leads Washington with an OBP of .395 this season while batting .242 with 71 walks and 51 runs scored.
  • Soto is 93rd in batting average, sixth in on-base percentage and 36th in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters in the big leagues.
  • Josh Bell has 97 hits to go with a slugging percentage of .500, both of which lead Washington hitters this season.
  • Among all qualified players, Bell is eighth in batting average, seventh in on-base percentage and 19th in slugging percentage.
  • Nelson Cruz is batting .240 with a .363 slugging percentage and 47 RBI this year.
  • Cesar Hernandez has been key for Washington with 84 hits, an OBP of .302 plus a slugging percentage of .305.

Nationals Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
César Hernández 347 .242 42 0 19 .302 .607
Josh Bell 312 .311 44 12 47 .392 .892
Maikel Franco 302 .238 25 7 35 .267 .625
Nelson Cruz 292 .240 38 8 47 .322 .685
Juan Soto 289 .242 51 17 37 .395 .869
Keibert Ruiz 242 .260 21 3 19 .321 .685
Lane Thomas 242 .219 29 8 30 .275 .647
Yadiel Hernandez 220 .277 21 6 33 .321 .748
Victor Robles 186 .231 24 1 20 .304 .600
Luis Garcia 137 .307 12 2 14 .314 .759

Braves vs Nationals Player Props

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