Braves Vs Mets: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 12, 2022

Written By Staff on July 12, 2022

Austin Riley brings a three-game home run streak into the Atlanta Braves’ (51-36) matchup against the New York Mets (54-33) at 7:20 PM ET on Tuesday at Truist Field. Spencer Strider starts for Atlanta (-212 to win) while New York (+177) will counter with David Peterson.

The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of July 12, 2022 at 5:44 PM ET.

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Braves vs Mets Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Strider (ATL) Pitcher Peterson (NYM)
4 – 2 W/L 5 – 1
65.2 IP 62.0
2.60 ERA 3.48
0.975 WHIP 1.274
14 K/9 9.7
3.4 BB/9 3.9

Braves Probable Starter Spencer Strider

  • Strider gets the start for the Braves, his ninth of the season. He is 4-2 with a 2.60 ERA and 102 strikeouts in 65 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last pitched on Thursday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he threw 6 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
  • In 19 games this season, the 23-year-old has a 2.60 ERA and 14 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .167 to his opponents.
  • Strider is trying to build on a third-game quality start streak in this matchup.
  • He will face a Mets offense that ranks fifth in the league with 413 runs while batting .255 as a squad. It has a collective .400 slugging percentage (12th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 86 home runs (19th in MLB).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 12, 2022 at 5:44 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Mets Stats vs Strider

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Francisco Lindor 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Brandon Nimmo 2 .500 1 1 1 .500 2.500
Dominic Smith 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Mets Probable Starter David Peterson

  • Peterson (5-1) will take to the mound for the Mets and make his 12th start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed four hits in 3 2/3 innings pitched against the Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched in 13 games this season with an ERA of 3.48, a 2.481 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.274.
  • In 11 starts this season, he’s earned three quality starts.
  • The Braves have scored 416 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB. They are batting .250 for the campaign with 134 home runs, second in the league.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 12, 2022 at 5:44 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Braves Stats vs Peterson

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Dansby Swanson 11 .273 3 0 0 .273 .637
Austin Riley 10 .500 5 0 2 .545 1.345
Marcell Ozuna 10 .000 0 0 0 .091 .091
Travis d’Arnaud 8 .000 0 0 0 .111 .111
Ronald Acuña Jr. 7 .143 1 1 2 .455 1.026
Guillermo Heredia 6 .167 1 0 1 .167 .334
Adam Duvall 6 .667 4 1 1 .714 2.214
Matt Olson 2 .500 1 1 3 .667 2.667
William Contreras 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500

Braves Betting Trends

  • The Braves have put together a 44-22 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 66.7% of those games).
  • Atlanta has gone 14-3 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -212 or shorter (82.4%).
  • The Braves have an implied moneyline win probability of 67.9% in this matchup.
  • In the 88 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Atlanta, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 42 times (42-44-2).
  • The Braves have gone 43-45-0 against the spread this season.
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Mets Betting Trends

  • This season, the Mets have been the underdog 25 times and won 12, or 48%, of those games.
  • New York has not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +177 odds on them winning this game.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 36.1% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in 45 of their 87 chances.
  • The Mets are 47-40-0 against the spread this season.

Braves Players to Watch

  • Riley is leading the Braves with 95 hits, while batting .282 with 21 doubles, a triple, 24 home runs and 28 walks.
  • Among qualified hitters in baseball, Riley ranks 35th in batting average, 45th in on-base percentage, and eighth in slugging.
  • Riley takes a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .439 with five doubles, five home runs, three walks and 11 RBI.
  • Dansby Swanson paces his team with a .353 on-base percentage, and has a club-high .485 slugging percentage. He has 19 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 26 walks while batting .299.
  • Among qualifying hitters, Swanson ranks 19th in batting average, 38th in on-base percentage, and 28th in slugging.
  • Matt Olson is batting .251 with 33 doubles, 13 home runs and 47 walks.
  • Marcell Ozuna has 12 doubles, 17 home runs and 24 walks while batting .228.

Braves Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Matt Olson 339 .251 38 13 50 .342 .805
Dansby Swanson 338 .299 54 14 50 .353 .838
Austin Riley 337 .282 51 24 57 .348 .912
Marcell Ozuna 325 .228 41 17 37 .282 .704
Adam Duvall 266 .203 36 10 31 .270 .650
Travis d’Arnaud 229 .262 34 11 37 .313 .785
Ronald Acuña Jr. 212 .274 36 8 22 .368 .802
Michael Harris 153 .294 28 7 24 .325 .835
William Contreras 143 .273 21 11 22 .358 .924
Orlando Arcia 122 .254 11 3 17 .331 .700

Mets Players to Watch

  • Pete Alonso has 87 hits to go with a slugging percentage of .531, both of which are best among New York hitters this season.
  • Among all qualifying hitters in the big leagues, Alonso’s batting average ranks 48th, his on-base percentage is 47th, and he is 15th in slugging.
  • Francisco Lindor has collected 82 hits this season to earn an on-base percentage of .319.
  • Among all qualifying players, Lindor ranks 88th in batting average, 88th in on-base percentage and 71st in slugging percentage.
  • Starling Marte has an OPS of .804, fueled by an OBP of .342 and a team-best slugging percentage of .462 this season.
  • Brandon Nimmo has eight home runs, 32 RBI and a batting average of .269 this season.

Mets Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Francisco Lindor 335 .245 50 15 60 .319 .743
Pete Alonso 320 .272 48 23 72 .347 .878
Eduardo Escobar 306 .216 34 9 37 .271 .647
Brandon Nimmo 301 .269 51 8 32 .355 .790
Starling Marte 299 .291 50 9 40 .342 .804
Mark Canha 245 .273 39 6 30 .374 .750
Luis Guillorme 178 .309 24 2 9 .382 .770
J.D. Davis 166 .241 25 3 19 .330 .685
Tomás Nido 157 .210 13 0 15 .251 .487
Dominic Smith 119 .210 10 0 17 .289 .600

Braves vs Mets Player Props

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