Braves Vs Mets: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 11, 2022

Written By Staff on July 10, 2022

Max Fried tries for his 10th victory of the season when the Atlanta Braves (51-35) host the New York Mets (53-33) at 7:20 PM ET on Monday. Atlanta (-135 to win) has Fried set to start, while New York (+114) will counter with Max Scherzer.

The betting insights in this article are based off odds valid as of July 11, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET.

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Braves vs Mets Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Fried (ATL) Pitcher Scherzer (NYM)
9 – 2 W/L 5 – 1
107.1 IP 55.2
2.52 ERA 2.26
1.025 WHIP 0.880
8.4 K/9 11.3
1.4 BB/9 1.8

Braves Probable Starter Max Fried

  • Fried (9-2 with a 2.52 ERA and 100 strikeouts in 107 1/3 innings pitched) aims for his 10th victory when he makes the start for the Braves, his 18th of the season.
  • The lefty last pitched on Wednesday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he threw 6 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up five hits.
  • The 28-year-old has put up a 2.52 ERA and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings across 17 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .229 to opposing hitters.
  • Fried is trying to claim his fifth straight quality start in this outing.
  • The opposing Mets offense has a collective .255 batting average, and is eighth in the league with 742 total hits and fifth in MLB play with 409 runs scored. It has the 10th-ranked slugging percentage (.400) and ranks 19th in home runs (85) in all of MLB.
  • This season, the 28-year-old ranks 10th in ERA (2.52), 13th in WHIP (1.025), and 30th in K/9 (8.4) among pitchers who qualify.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 11, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Mets Stats vs Fried

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Pete Alonso 22 .182 4 2 5 .333 .788
Jeff McNeil 22 .364 8 0 4 .348 .848
J.D. Davis 20 .200 4 0 1 .304 .504
Brandon Nimmo 13 .154 2 0 0 .389 .620
Francisco Lindor 12 .083 1 1 1 .083 .416
Starling Marte 11 .364 4 0 1 .417 .962
Eduardo Escobar 11 .182 2 0 0 .250 .432
Tomás Nido 5 .400 2 0 0 .400 1.000
Dominic Smith 4 .000 0 0 0 .200 .200
Luis Guillorme 4 .500 2 0 1 .500 1.250

Mets Probable Starter Max Scherzer

  • The Mets’ Scherzer (5-1) will make his ninth start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 6 2/3 scoreless innings against the Cincinnati Reds while allowing two hits.
  • The 37-year-old has pitched to a 2.26 ERA this season with 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.8 walks per nine across nine games.
  • He has started eight games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in five of them.
  • The Braves rank eighth in MLB with a .251 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks first in the league (.445) and 133 home runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 11, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Braves Stats vs Scherzer

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Marcell Ozuna 44 .250 11 2 5 .312 .812
Dansby Swanson 41 .220 9 2 8 .256 .695
Travis d’Arnaud 30 .167 5 2 8 .161 .628
Ronald Acuña Jr. 20 .350 7 2 4 .381 1.181
Adam Duvall 11 .182 2 1 2 .182 .637
Austin Riley 8 .125 1 0 0 .222 .347
Orlando Arcia 6 .500 3 0 0 .500 1.167
Eddie Rosario 4 .500 2 0 0 .500 1.000

Braves Betting Trends

  • The Braves have won 44 of the 65 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (67.7%).
  • Atlanta has a 41-15 record (winning 73.2% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -135 or shorter.
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Braves’ implied win probability is 57.4%.
  • Atlanta has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 42 times this season for a 42-43-2 record against the over/under.
  • The Braves have a 43-44-0 record ATS this season (covering 49.4% of the time).
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Mets Betting Trends

  • The Mets have won 11, or 45.8%, of the 24 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • This season, New York has won five of its 12 games, or 41.7%, when they’re the underdog by at least +114 on the moneyline.
  • The Mets have a 46.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • New York and its opponents have hit the over in 45 of their 86 games with a total this season.
  • In 86 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 46-40-0 ATS.

Braves Players to Watch

  • Austin Riley is leading the Braves with 94 hits, while batting .282 with 21 doubles, a triple, 23 home runs and 28 walks.
  • Among the qualified hitters in MLB, Riley ranks 35th in batting average, 45th in on-base percentage, and eighth in slugging.
  • Riley brings a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is batting .463 with five doubles, five home runs, four walks and 13 RBI.
  • Dansby Swanson has a .357 OBP while slugging .491. Both pace his team. He has 19 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 26 walks while batting .302.
  • Swanson ranks 16th in batting average, 34th in on base percentage, and 23rd in slugging in MLB action.
  • Matt Olson is batting .254 with 33 doubles, 13 home runs and 47 walks.
  • Marcell Ozuna is batting .227 with 11 doubles, 17 home runs and 24 walks.

Braves Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Matt Olson 335 .254 38 13 50 .345 .814
Dansby Swanson 334 .302 54 14 50 .357 .848
Austin Riley 333 .282 50 23 56 .349 .908
Marcell Ozuna 321 .227 41 17 37 .283 .704
Adam Duvall 266 .203 36 10 31 .270 .650
Travis d’Arnaud 226 .265 34 11 37 .317 .795
Ronald Acuña Jr. 208 .274 36 8 22 .370 .803
Michael Harris 150 .300 28 7 24 .331 .851
William Contreras 143 .273 21 11 22 .358 .924
Orlando Arcia 122 .254 11 3 17 .331 .700

Mets Players to Watch

  • Pete Alonso has 86 hits, which ranks first among New York hitters this season, while batting .273 with 36 extra-base hits.
  • Alonso is 45th in batting average, 45th in on-base percentage and 14th in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters in the majors.
  • Francisco Lindor is batting .239 with a .421 slugging percentage and 60 RBI this year.
  • Among all qualified hitters, Lindor ranks 104th in batting average, 98th in on-base percentage and 75th in slugging percentage.
  • Starling Marte leads New York in slugging percentage (.462) powered by 30 extra-base hits.
  • Brandon Nimmo has eight home runs, 32 RBI and a batting average of .268 this season.

Mets Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Francisco Lindor 330 .239 50 15 60 .316 .737
Pete Alonso 315 .273 47 23 70 .349 .882
Eduardo Escobar 301 .216 34 9 37 .272 .651
Starling Marte 299 .291 50 9 40 .342 .804
Brandon Nimmo 298 .268 49 8 32 .352 .785
Jeff McNeil 264 .311 38 4 35 .371 .807
Mark Canha 242 .273 39 6 30 .370 .746
Luis Guillorme 175 .303 23 1 7 .374 .734
J.D. Davis 162 .247 25 3 19 .337 .701
Tomás Nido 153 .216 13 0 15 .258 .500

Braves vs Mets Player Props

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