Braves Vs Mets: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 11, 2022

Max Fried tries for his 10th victory of the season when the Atlanta Braves (51-35) host the New York Mets (53-33) at 7:20 PM ET on Monday. Atlanta (-135 to win) has Fried set to start, while New York (+114) will counter with Max Scherzer.

The betting insights in this article are based off odds valid as of July 11, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET.

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Braves vs Mets Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Braves Probable Starter Max Fried

• Fried (9-2 with a 2.52 ERA and 100 strikeouts in 107 1/3 innings pitched) aims for his 10th victory when he makes the start for the Braves, his 18th of the season.
• The lefty last pitched on Wednesday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he threw 6 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up five hits.
• The 28-year-old has put up a 2.52 ERA and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings across 17 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .229 to opposing hitters.
• Fried is trying to claim his fifth straight quality start in this outing.
• The opposing Mets offense has a collective .255 batting average, and is eighth in the league with 742 total hits and fifth in MLB play with 409 runs scored. It has the 10th-ranked slugging percentage (.400) and ranks 19th in home runs (85) in all of MLB.
• This season, the 28-year-old ranks 10th in ERA (2.52), 13th in WHIP (1.025), and 30th in K/9 (8.4) among pitchers who qualify.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 11, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Mets Stats vs Fried

Mets Probable Starter Max Scherzer

• The Mets’ Scherzer (5-1) will make his ninth start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 6 2/3 scoreless innings against the Cincinnati Reds while allowing two hits.
• The 37-year-old has pitched to a 2.26 ERA this season with 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.8 walks per nine across nine games.
• He has started eight games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in five of them.
• The Braves rank eighth in MLB with a .251 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks first in the league (.445) and 133 home runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 11, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Braves Stats vs Scherzer

Braves Betting Trends

• The Braves have won 44 of the 65 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (67.7%).
• Atlanta has a 41-15 record (winning 73.2% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -135 or shorter.
• Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Braves’ implied win probability is 57.4%.
• Atlanta has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 42 times this season for a 42-43-2 record against the over/under.
• The Braves have a 43-44-0 record ATS this season (covering 49.4% of the time).

Mets Betting Trends

• The Mets have won 11, or 45.8%, of the 24 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
• This season, New York has won five of its 12 games, or 41.7%, when they’re the underdog by at least +114 on the moneyline.
• The Mets have a 46.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• New York and its opponents have hit the over in 45 of their 86 games with a total this season.
• In 86 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 46-40-0 ATS.

Braves Players to Watch

• Austin Riley is leading the Braves with 94 hits, while batting .282 with 21 doubles, a triple, 23 home runs and 28 walks.
• Among the qualified hitters in MLB, Riley ranks 35th in batting average, 45th in on-base percentage, and eighth in slugging.
• Riley brings a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is batting .463 with five doubles, five home runs, four walks and 13 RBI.
• Dansby Swanson has a .357 OBP while slugging .491. Both pace his team. He has 19 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 26 walks while batting .302.
• Swanson ranks 16th in batting average, 34th in on base percentage, and 23rd in slugging in MLB action.
• Matt Olson is batting .254 with 33 doubles, 13 home runs and 47 walks.
• Marcell Ozuna is batting .227 with 11 doubles, 17 home runs and 24 walks.

Braves Batting Stats (2022)

Mets Players to Watch

• Pete Alonso has 86 hits, which ranks first among New York hitters this season, while batting .273 with 36 extra-base hits.
• Alonso is 45th in batting average, 45th in on-base percentage and 14th in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters in the majors.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .239 with a .421 slugging percentage and 60 RBI this year.
• Among all qualified hitters, Lindor ranks 104th in batting average, 98th in on-base percentage and 75th in slugging percentage.
• Starling Marte leads New York in slugging percentage (.462) powered by 30 extra-base hits.
• Brandon Nimmo has eight home runs, 32 RBI and a batting average of .268 this season.

Mets Batting Stats (2022)

Braves vs Mets Player Props

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