Braves Vs Marlins: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – May 29, 2022

Written By Staff on May 28, 2022

The Atlanta Braves (22-25) and Miami Marlins (19-25) square off at Truist Field on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET to break a 1-1 series tie. Atlanta (-234 to win) has Max Fried starting, and Miami (+193) will send out Elieser Hernandez.

The insights in the following article reflect odds as of May 29, 2022 at 1:24 PM ET.

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Braves vs Marlins Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Fried (ATL) Pitcher Hernandez (MIA)
4 – 2 W/L 2 – 4
55.0 IP 39.2
3.27 ERA 5.45
1.055 WHIP 1.311
8.5 K/9 8.4
1.3 BB/9 2.9

Braves Probable Starter Max Fried

  • Fried (4-2) takes the mound for the Braves in his 10th start of the season. He has a 3.27 ERA in 55 innings pitched, with 52 strikeouts.
  • In his most recent outing on Tuesday against the Philadelphia Phillies, the left-hander went 6 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • In nine games this season, the 28-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.27, with 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • Fried is trying to continue a second-game quality start streak in this game.
  • He will take the mound against a Marlins offense that ranks 20th in MLB with 354 total hits (on a .240 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .388 (14th in MLB) with 44 total home runs (16th in MLB).
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 28-year-old’s 3.27 ERA ranks 26th, 1.055 WHIP ranks 21st, and 8.5 K/9 ranks 25th.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of May 29, 2022 at 1:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Marlins Stats vs Fried

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Miguel Rojas 20 .350 7 1 4 .381 .981
Jesús Aguilar 16 .250 4 1 3 .333 .771
Brian Anderson 15 .467 7 2 6 .500 1.367
Garrett Cooper 12 .417 5 0 2 .533 1.116
Jon Berti 11 .182 2 0 0 .308 .490
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 8 .125 1 1 1 .222 .722
Jacob Stallings 6 .167 1 0 0 .167 .500
Jesús Sánchez 4 .750 3 1 2 .750 2.250
Bryan De La Cruz 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Joey Wendle 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Marlins Probable Starter Elieser Hernandez

  • Hernandez (2-4) will take to the mound for the Marlins and make his ninth start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday against the Tampa Bay Rays, throwing 1 1/3 scoreless innings of relief without allowing a hit.
  • The 27-year-old has pitched in nine games this season with an ERA of 5.45 and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • In eight starts this season, he’s earned one quality start.
  • The Braves have scored 192 runs this season, which ranks 18th in MLB. They are batting .229 for the campaign with 57 home runs, fifth in the league.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of May 29, 2022 at 1:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Braves Stats vs Hernandez

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Ozzie Albies 18 .167 3 1 2 .200 .644
Marcell Ozuna 13 .462 6 0 0 .500 .962
Dansby Swanson 11 .091 1 0 0 .091 .364
Ronald Acuña Jr. 10 .300 3 1 1 .417 1.017
Austin Riley 10 .200 2 1 2 .200 .700
Adam Duvall 10 .100 1 0 0 .182 .382
Matt Olson 5 .400 2 0 0 .400 1.200
Travis d’Arnaud 4 .500 2 0 0 .667 1.167
William Contreras 1 1.000 1 1 1 1.000 5.000

Braves Betting Trends

  • The Braves have a 15-14 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 51.7% of those games).
  • Atlanta has played as a moneyline favorite of -234 or shorter in only one game this season, which they lost.
  • The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives the Braves a 70.1% chance to win.
  • Atlanta has played in 47 games with set over/under, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 26 times (26-19-2).
  • The Braves have put together a 20-27-0 record ATS this season (covering 42.6% of the time).
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Marlins Betting Trends

  • The Marlins have won eight, or 34.8%, of the 23 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • Miami has not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +193 odds on them winning this game.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 34.1% chance to win.
  • Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 21 of their 44 games with a total this season.
  • The Marlins are 24-20-0 ATS in their 44 games with a spread this season.

Braves Players to Watch

  • Ozzie Albies has racked up a slugging percentage of .387, a team-best for the Braves, while batting .242 with nine doubles, six home runs and 12 walks.
  • Among qualifying hitters in MLB, Albies’ batting average ranks 92nd, his on-base percentage ranks 131st, and he is 103rd in the league in slugging.
  • Matt Olson has a .362 on-base percentage to lead his team. He has 18 doubles, five home runs and 32 walks while hitting .243.
  • Olson ranks 90th in batting average, 28th in on base percentage, and 54th in slugging in MLB play.
  • Dansby Swanson has nine doubles, a triple, six home runs and 16 walks while hitting .264.
  • Austin Riley’s 43 hits lead his team. He has 10 doubles, 10 home runs and 16 walks while batting .239.
  • Riley brings a six-game hitting streak into this game. In his last 10 outings he is batting .268 with a double, three home runs, two walks and six RBI.

Braves Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Ozzie Albies 186 .242 26 6 22 .291 .678
Austin Riley 180 .239 20 10 21 .315 .776
Marcell Ozuna 180 .222 17 8 20 .264 .647
Matt Olson 173 .243 20 5 16 .362 .796
Dansby Swanson 163 .264 24 6 24 .331 .773
Adam Duvall 159 .182 17 2 16 .254 .518
Travis d’Arnaud 122 .254 16 4 17 .289 .715
Ronald Acuña Jr. 69 .304 11 2 9 .417 .881
William Contreras 53 .264 13 7 12 .361 1.059
Orlando Arcia 44 .318 4 1 8 .392 .869

Marlins Players to Watch

  • Jazz Chisholm leads Miami in total hits (36) this season while batting .290 with 18 extra-base hits.
  • Chisholm is 28th in batting average, 55th in on-base percentage and 11th in slugging percentage among all hitters in the majors.
  • Jorge Soler is slugging .423 while driving in 22 runs and batting .205 this season.
  • Among all qualifying hitters, Soler ranks 151st in batting average, 122nd in on-base percentage and 62nd in slugging percentage.
  • Jesus Aguilar has an OPS of .738, fueled by an OBP of .324 and a team-best slugging percentage of .414 this season.
  • Garrett Cooper has 39 hits this season and a team-best OBP of .360.

Marlins Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jesús Aguilar 157 .261 13 6 20 .324 .738
Jorge Soler 156 .205 17 9 22 .299 .722
Garrett Cooper 141 .277 15 3 19 .360 .778
Jesús Sánchez 140 .214 17 4 13 .276 .655
Miguel Rojas 127 .220 13 3 9 .267 .606
Jazz Chisholm 124 .290 21 7 27 .341 .922
Jacob Stallings 114 .219 13 1 16 .286 .567
Brian Anderson 105 .267 21 2 6 .374 .784
Joey Wendle 85 .282 12 2 11 .340 .764
Bryan De La Cruz 58 .241 6 1 6 .318 .663

Braves vs Marlins Player Props

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