The Atlanta Braves (22-25) and Miami Marlins (19-25) square off at Truist Field on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET to break a 1-1 series tie. Atlanta (
to win) has Max Fried starting, and Miami ( ) will send out Elieser Hernandez.The insights in the following article reflect odds as of May 29, 2022 at 1:24 PM ET.
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Braves vs Marlins Betting Odds
Pitching Matchup
Fried (ATL) | Pitcher | Hernandez (MIA) |
---|---|---|
4 – 2 | W/L | 2 – 4 |
55.0 | IP | 39.2 |
3.27 | ERA | 5.45 |
1.055 | WHIP | 1.311 |
8.5 | K/9 | 8.4 |
1.3 | BB/9 | 2.9 |
Braves Probable Starter Max Fried
- Fried (4-2) takes the mound for the Braves in his 10th start of the season. He has a 3.27 ERA in 55 innings pitched, with 52 strikeouts.
- In his most recent outing on Tuesday against the Philadelphia Phillies, the left-hander went 6 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- In nine games this season, the 28-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.27, with 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings.
- Fried is trying to continue a second-game quality start streak in this game.
- He will take the mound against a Marlins offense that ranks 20th in MLB with 354 total hits (on a .240 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .388 (14th in MLB) with 44 total home runs (16th in MLB).
- Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 28-year-old’s 3.27 ERA ranks 26th, 1.055 WHIP ranks 21st, and 8.5 K/9 ranks 25th.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of May 29, 2022 at 1:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Marlins Stats vs Fried
Player | AB | AVG | H | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Miguel Rojas | 20 | .350 | 7 | 1 | 4 | .381 | .981 |
Jesús Aguilar | 16 | .250 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .333 | .771 |
Brian Anderson | 15 | .467 | 7 | 2 | 6 | .500 | 1.367 |
Garrett Cooper | 12 | .417 | 5 | 0 | 2 | .533 | 1.116 |
Jon Berti | 11 | .182 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .308 | .490 |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 8 | .125 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .222 | .722 |
Jacob Stallings | 6 | .167 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .167 | .500 |
Jesús Sánchez | 4 | .750 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .750 | 2.250 |
Bryan De La Cruz | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Joey Wendle | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Marlins Probable Starter Elieser Hernandez
- Hernandez (2-4) will take to the mound for the Marlins and make his ninth start of the season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday against the Tampa Bay Rays, throwing 1 1/3 scoreless innings of relief without allowing a hit.
- The 27-year-old has pitched in nine games this season with an ERA of 5.45 and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings.
- In eight starts this season, he’s earned one quality start.
- The Braves have scored 192 runs this season, which ranks 18th in MLB. They are batting .229 for the campaign with 57 home runs, fifth in the league.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of May 29, 2022 at 1:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Braves Stats vs Hernandez
Player | AB | AVG | H | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ozzie Albies | 18 | .167 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .200 | .644 |
Marcell Ozuna | 13 | .462 | 6 | 0 | 0 | .500 | .962 |
Dansby Swanson | 11 | .091 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .091 | .364 |
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 10 | .300 | 3 | 1 | 1 | .417 | 1.017 |
Austin Riley | 10 | .200 | 2 | 1 | 2 | .200 | .700 |
Adam Duvall | 10 | .100 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .182 | .382 |
Matt Olson | 5 | .400 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .400 | 1.200 |
Travis d’Arnaud | 4 | .500 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 1.167 |
William Contreras | 1 | 1.000 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.000 | 5.000 |
Braves Betting Trends
- The Braves have a 15-14 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 51.7% of those games).
- Atlanta has played as a moneyline favorite of -234 or shorter in only one game this season, which they lost.
- The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives the Braves a 70.1% chance to win.
- Atlanta has played in 47 games with set over/under, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 26 times (26-19-2).
- The Braves have put together a 20-27-0 record ATS this season (covering 42.6% of the time).
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Marlins Betting Trends
- The Marlins have won eight, or 34.8%, of the 23 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
- Miami has not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +193 odds on them winning this game.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 34.1% chance to win.
- Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 21 of their 44 games with a total this season.
- The Marlins are 24-20-0 ATS in their 44 games with a spread this season.
Braves Players to Watch
- Ozzie Albies has racked up a slugging percentage of .387, a team-best for the Braves, while batting .242 with nine doubles, six home runs and 12 walks.
- Among qualifying hitters in MLB, Albies’ batting average ranks 92nd, his on-base percentage ranks 131st, and he is 103rd in the league in slugging.
- Matt Olson has a .362 on-base percentage to lead his team. He has 18 doubles, five home runs and 32 walks while hitting .243.
- Olson ranks 90th in batting average, 28th in on base percentage, and 54th in slugging in MLB play.
- Dansby Swanson has nine doubles, a triple, six home runs and 16 walks while hitting .264.
- Austin Riley’s 43 hits lead his team. He has 10 doubles, 10 home runs and 16 walks while batting .239.
- Riley brings a six-game hitting streak into this game. In his last 10 outings he is batting .268 with a double, three home runs, two walks and six RBI.
Braves Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ozzie Albies | 186 | .242 | 26 | 6 | 22 | .291 | .678 |
Austin Riley | 180 | .239 | 20 | 10 | 21 | .315 | .776 |
Marcell Ozuna | 180 | .222 | 17 | 8 | 20 | .264 | .647 |
Matt Olson | 173 | .243 | 20 | 5 | 16 | .362 | .796 |
Dansby Swanson | 163 | .264 | 24 | 6 | 24 | .331 | .773 |
Adam Duvall | 159 | .182 | 17 | 2 | 16 | .254 | .518 |
Travis d’Arnaud | 122 | .254 | 16 | 4 | 17 | .289 | .715 |
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 69 | .304 | 11 | 2 | 9 | .417 | .881 |
William Contreras | 53 | .264 | 13 | 7 | 12 | .361 | 1.059 |
Orlando Arcia | 44 | .318 | 4 | 1 | 8 | .392 | .869 |
Marlins Players to Watch
- Jazz Chisholm leads Miami in total hits (36) this season while batting .290 with 18 extra-base hits.
- Chisholm is 28th in batting average, 55th in on-base percentage and 11th in slugging percentage among all hitters in the majors.
- Jorge Soler is slugging .423 while driving in 22 runs and batting .205 this season.
- Among all qualifying hitters, Soler ranks 151st in batting average, 122nd in on-base percentage and 62nd in slugging percentage.
- Jesus Aguilar has an OPS of .738, fueled by an OBP of .324 and a team-best slugging percentage of .414 this season.
- Garrett Cooper has 39 hits this season and a team-best OBP of .360.
Marlins Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jesús Aguilar | 157 | .261 | 13 | 6 | 20 | .324 | .738 |
Jorge Soler | 156 | .205 | 17 | 9 | 22 | .299 | .722 |
Garrett Cooper | 141 | .277 | 15 | 3 | 19 | .360 | .778 |
Jesús Sánchez | 140 | .214 | 17 | 4 | 13 | .276 | .655 |
Miguel Rojas | 127 | .220 | 13 | 3 | 9 | .267 | .606 |
Jazz Chisholm | 124 | .290 | 21 | 7 | 27 | .341 | .922 |
Jacob Stallings | 114 | .219 | 13 | 1 | 16 | .286 | .567 |
Brian Anderson | 105 | .267 | 21 | 2 | 6 | .374 | .784 |
Joey Wendle | 85 | .282 | 12 | 2 | 11 | .340 | .764 |
Bryan De La Cruz | 58 | .241 | 6 | 1 | 6 | .318 | .663 |
Braves vs Marlins Player Props
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