Braves Vs Cubs: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – April 28, 2022

Written By Staff on April 28, 2022

The Atlanta Braves (8-11) and Chicago Cubs (8-10) square off at Truist Field on Thursday at 7:20 PM ET to break a 1-1 series tie. Atlanta’s (-226 to win) Kyle Wright and Chicago’s (+187) Drew Smyly will take the mound first.

The betting facts in what follows reference odds valid as of April 28, 2022 at 7:24 PM ET.

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Braves vs Cubs Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Wright (ATL) Pitcher Smyly (CHC)
2 – 0 W/L 1 – 1
17.0 IP 14.2
1.06 ERA 2.45
0.765 WHIP 1.023
13.8 K/9 5.5
1.1 BB/9 1.2

Braves Probable Starter Kyle Wright

  • Wright gets the start for the Braves, his fourth of the season. He is 2-0 with a 1.06 ERA and 26 strikeouts in 17 innings pitched.
  • His most recent time out came on Friday against the Miami Marlins, when the righty went 6 2/3 scoreless innings while allowing four hits.
  • The 26-year-old has put up an ERA of 1.06, with 13.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in three games this season. Opponents are batting .000 against him.
  • The opposing Cubs offense has a collective .267 batting average, and is fourth in the league with 160 total hits and fourth in MLB play with 91 runs scored. It has the fourth-ranked slugging percentage (.416) and ranks 20th in home runs (15) in all of MLB.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of April 28, 2022 at 7:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Cubs Stats vs Wright

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Ian Happ 2 .500 1 0 0 .667 1.167
Willson Contreras 2 .500 1 1 1 .667 2.667
Jason Heyward 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Jonathan Villar 2 .500 1 0 1 .500 1.500
Yan Gomes 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Cubs Probable Starter Drew Smyly

  • Smyly (1-1) will take to the mound for the Cubs and make his fourth start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed six hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday.
  • The 32-year-old has pitched to a 2.45 ERA this season with 5.5 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.2 walks per nine across three games.
  • The Braves have scored 74 runs this season, which ranks 16th in MLB. They have 141 hits, 18th in baseball, with 21 home runs (fourth in the league).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of April 28, 2022 at 7:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Braves Stats vs Smyly

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Adam Duvall 8 .250 2 1 2 .333 .958
Marcell Ozuna 7 .286 2 0 1 .375 .661
Dansby Swanson 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Austin Riley 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Ozzie Albies 2 .500 1 1 2 .500 2.500
Matt Olson 1 1.000 1 1 2 1.000 5.000
Manny Piña 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500

Braves Betting Trends

  • The Braves have gone 5-7 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 41.7% of those games).
  • Atlanta has played as a moneyline favorite of -226 or shorter in just two games this season, which they lost both.
  • The Braves have an implied moneyline win probability of 69.3% in this contest.
  • Atlanta has combined with opponents to go over the total nine times this season for a 9-9-1 record against the over/under.
  • The Braves have covered only 36.8% of their games this season, going 7-12-0 against the spread.
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Cubs Betting Trends

  • This season, the Cubs have won six out of the 12 games, or 50%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
  • Chicago has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +187.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 34.8% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
  • Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in eight of their 18 games with a total this season.
  • The Cubs have an ATS record of 10-8-0 in 18 games with a spread this season.

Braves Players to Watch

  • Ozzie Albies has four doubles, six home runs and seven walks while batting .240.
  • Among qualifying hitters in baseball, Albies ranks 85th in batting average, 85th in on-base percentage, and 18th in slugging.
  • Matt Olson has racked up 23 hits with a .435 on-base percentage while slugging .543. Those stats all lead his team, and he has nine doubles, two home runs and 14 walks while batting .329.
  • Olson ranks 15th in batting average, 12th in on base percentage, and 15th in slugging in MLB play.
  • Austin Riley is hitting .275 with six doubles, four home runs and nine walks.
  • Marcell Ozuna is hitting .257 with five doubles, four home runs and three walks.

Braves Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Ozzie Albies 75 .240 10 6 11 .314 .847
Marcell Ozuna 74 .257 7 4 10 .291 .777
Matt Olson 70 .329 11 2 6 .435 .978
Austin Riley 69 .275 10 4 9 .375 .911
Adam Duvall 65 .185 6 0 8 .239 .485
Dansby Swanson 64 .188 6 0 6 .268 .549
Travis d’Arnaud 51 .314 9 2 7 .340 .811
Alex Dickerson 32 .125 3 1 2 .200 .419
Orlando Arcia 26 .269 1 0 5 .375 .721
Guillermo Heredia 19 .158 4 1 2 .273 .641

Cubs Players to Watch

  • Seiya Suzuki leads Chicago with 19 hits and an OBP of .458, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .632.
  • Among all qualified hitters in MLB, Suzuki’s batting average is 13th, his on-base percentage is fourth, and he is seventh in slugging.
  • Ian Happ is batting .340 with a .509 slugging percentage and 11 RBI this year.
  • Happ ranks 12th in batting average, seventh in on-base percentage and 25th in slugging percentage in the big leagues.
  • Willson Contreras has collected 15 base hits, an OBP of .353 and a slugging percentage of .458 this season.
  • Patrick Wisdom has been key for Chicago with 13 hits, an OBP of .317 plus a slugging percentage of .491.

Cubs Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Frank Schwindel 67 .239 5 2 9 .271 .644
Willson Contreras 59 .254 13 2 7 .353 .811
Seiya Suzuki 57 .333 13 4 14 .458 1.090
Nico Hoerner 57 .316 4 1 8 .328 .767
Patrick Wisdom 55 .236 11 3 13 .317 .808
Nick Madrigal 55 .218 5 0 2 .283 .556
Ian Happ 53 .340 11 2 11 .446 .955
Jonathan Villar 45 .333 8 0 8 .373 .751
Rafael Ortega 43 .209 6 0 1 .306 .608
Jason Heyward 33 .273 6 0 2 .368 .732

Braves vs Cubs Player Props

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