The Atlanta Braves (48-34) have a 3-0 series lead and will attempt to sweep the St. Louis Cardinals (44-40) on Thursday at Truist Field, starting at 7:20 PM ET. Atlanta (
to win) has Spencer Strider set to start, while St. Louis ( ) will send out Matthew Liberatore.The betting facts in this article use the latest odds as of July 7, 2022 at 5:27 PM ET.
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Braves vs Cardinals Betting Odds
Pitching Matchup
Strider (ATL) | Pitcher | Liberatore (STL) |
---|---|---|
4 – 2 | W/L | 2 – 1 |
59.2 | IP | 20.2 |
2.87 | ERA | 5.66 |
1.006 | WHIP | 1.742 |
13.6 | K/9 | 7.8 |
3.5 | BB/9 | 4.8 |
Braves Probable Starter Spencer Strider
- Strider (4-2) takes the mound for the Braves in his eighth start of the season. He has a 2.87 ERA in 59 2/3 innings pitched, with 90 strikeouts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday against the Cincinnati Reds, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up one hit.
- The 23-year-old has an ERA of 2.87, with 13.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in 18 games this season. Opponents have a .173 batting average against him.
- Strider is seeking his third straight quality start.
- The opposing Cardinals offense has the 10th-ranked slugging percentage (.406) and ranks 13th in MLB play with 90 home runs. It has a collective .252 batting average, and is fifth in MLB with 722 total hits and sixth in MLB play scoring 387 runs.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 7, 2022 at 5:27 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Cardinals Probable Starter Matthew Liberatore
- The Cardinals will send Liberatore (2-1) to the mound for his sixth start this season.
- The left-hander gave up five earned runs and allowed seven hits in 2 2/3 innings pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday.
- The 22-year-old has pitched to a 5.66 ERA this season with 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4.8 walks per nine across five games.
- None of Liberatore’s five starts this season have met the criteria for a quality start.
- The Braves rank fourth in MLB with 393 runs scored this season. They have a .248 batting average this campaign with 126 home runs (second in the league).
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 7, 2022 at 5:27 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Braves Betting Trends
- The Braves have won 67.2% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (41-20).
- When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -241 or shorter, Atlanta has a 7-1 record (winning 87.5% of its games).
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Braves’ implied win probability is 70.7%.
- Atlanta has played in 83 games with over/under set, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 41 times (41-40-2).
- The Braves have collected a 42-41-0 record against the spread this season (covering 50.6% of the time).
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Cardinals Betting Trends
- This season, the Cardinals have won 16 out of the 41 games, or 39%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
- St. Louis has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +195.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 33.9% chance of a victory for the Cardinals.
- St. Louis and its opponents have hit the over in 40 of their 84 games with a total this season.
- The Cardinals are 43-41-0 against the spread in their 84 chances this season.
Braves Players to Watch
- Austin Riley has 86 hits, a team-best for the Braves. He’s hitting .273 with 20 doubles, a triple, 21 home runs and 26 walks.
- Among qualified batters in baseball, Riley’s batting average ranks 46th, his on-base percentage ranks 59th, and he is 11th in the league in slugging.
- Dansby Swanson’s .355 OBP and .495 slugging percentage both lead his team, and he has 18 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 25 walks while hitting .298.
- Swanson currently ranks 18th in batting average, 37th in on base percentage, and 23rd in slugging among qualifying hitters.
- Matt Olson is hitting .252 with 32 doubles, 12 home runs and 45 walks.
- Marcell Ozuna is hitting .229 with 10 doubles, 17 home runs and 21 walks.
- Ozuna heads into this game on a five-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with a double, three home runs and three RBI.
Braves Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Matt Olson | 317 | .252 | 35 | 12 | 48 | .345 | .812 |
Austin Riley | 315 | .273 | 46 | 21 | 51 | .340 | .883 |
Dansby Swanson | 315 | .298 | 52 | 14 | 49 | .355 | .850 |
Marcell Ozuna | 306 | .229 | 41 | 17 | 35 | .280 | .708 |
Adam Duvall | 263 | .202 | 36 | 10 | 31 | .269 | .645 |
Travis d’Arnaud | 218 | .266 | 33 | 11 | 37 | .313 | .799 |
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 190 | .279 | 33 | 7 | 19 | .377 | .814 |
William Contreras | 135 | .267 | 19 | 10 | 21 | .349 | .905 |
Michael Harris | 133 | .293 | 24 | 5 | 19 | .329 | .818 |
Orlando Arcia | 110 | .255 | 9 | 3 | 16 | .323 | .705 |
Cardinals Players to Watch
- Paul Goldschmidt leads St. Louis with 104 hits and an OBP of .427, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .620.
- Among all qualifying hitters in MLB, Goldschmidt is second in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and third in slugging percentage.
- Nolan Arenado is batting .295 with a .534 slugging percentage and 55 RBI this year.
- Arenado’s batting average is 19th among all qualified players, his on-base percentage places him 36th, and he is 14th in slugging.
- Tommy Edman has 85 hits this season and has a slash line of .262/.331/.383.
- Brendan Donovan is batting .293 with a .403 OBP and 26 RBI for St. Louis this season.
Cardinals Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tommy Edman | 324 | .262 | 58 | 7 | 32 | .331 | .714 |
Nolan Arenado | 305 | .295 | 38 | 17 | 55 | .356 | .890 |
Paul Goldschmidt | 303 | .343 | 61 | 19 | 65 | .427 | 1.047 |
Dylan Carlson | 227 | .247 | 26 | 5 | 23 | .312 | .717 |
Brendan Donovan | 198 | .293 | 28 | 2 | 26 | .403 | .807 |
Juan Yepez | 186 | .274 | 23 | 11 | 26 | .317 | .822 |
Nolan Gorman | 131 | .252 | 22 | 7 | 19 | .329 | .779 |
Andrew Knizner | 130 | .177 | 10 | 1 | 12 | .277 | .508 |
Albert Pujols | 125 | .200 | 11 | 4 | 17 | .292 | .628 |
Edmundo Sosa | 101 | .188 | 16 | 0 | 5 | .234 | .501 |
Braves vs Cardinals Player Props
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