Braves Vs Brewers: NLDS Game 4 Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – October 12, 2021

Written By Staff on October 12, 2021

Christian Yelich is only one hit away from his 100th of the season as his Milwaukee Brewers (95-67) get ready for a matchup with the Atlanta Braves (88-73) on Tuesday at 5:15 PM ET. Charlie Morton starts for Atlanta (-155 to win) while Milwaukee (+135) will counter with Eric Lauer.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 12, 2021, 5:00 PM ET. See the table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Braves vs Brewers Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Morton (ATL) Pitcher Lauer (MIL)
14 – 6 W/L 7 – 5
185.2 IP 118.2
3.30 ERA 3.03
1.030 WHIP 1.110
10.5 K/9 8.9
2.8 BB/9 3

Braves Probable Starter Charlie Morton

  • Morton makes the start for the Braves, his 34th of the season. He is 14-6 with a 3.30 ERA and 216 strikeouts through 185 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Friday, the righty went six innings against the Brewers, allowing two earned runs while surrendering three hits.
  • The opposing Brewers offense has a collective .233 batting average, and is 27th in the league with 1251 total hits and 12th in MLB action with 738 runs scored. They have the 23rd-ranked slugging percentage (.396) and rank 18th in home runs (194) in all of MLB.
  • The Braves have been favored on the moneyline in 29 of Morton’s starts this season, and they went 15-14 in those matchups.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of October 12, 2021 at 5:08 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Brewers Stats vs Morton

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Jackie Bradley Jr. 24 .042 1 0 1 .148 .190
Christian Yelich 21 .381 8 1 1 .381 .905
Omar Narváez 13 .308 4 1 4 .308 .923
Willy Adames 12 .083 1 1 1 .083 .416
Eduardo Escobar 11 .091 1 0 0 .167 .258
Rowdy Tellez 9 .222 2 1 3 .333 .889
Lorenzo Cain 9 .333 3 0 0 .333 .777
Kolten Wong 7 .000 0 0 0 .222 .222
Avisaíl García 7 .000 0 0 1 .111 .111
Daniel Vogelbach 6 .167 1 0 0 .375 .542

Brewers Probable Starter Eric Lauer

  • Lauer (7-5) will take the mound for the Brewers, his 21st start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, Oct. 2, when he threw five innings against the Dodgers, giving up five earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • The Braves are batting .244 this season, 12th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .435 (fifth in the league) with 239 home runs.
  • His team has won 20% of his starts when they are underdogs on the moneyline (1-4).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of October 12, 2021 at 5:08 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Braves Stats vs Lauer

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Guillermo Heredia 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 1.000
Adam Duvall 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Eddie Rosario 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Ehire Adrianza 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Joc Pederson 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Jorge Soler 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Freddie Freeman 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
William Contreras 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Dansby Swanson 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Austin Riley 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Braves Betting Trends

  • The Braves’ offense is averaging five runs in home games while pushing across 4.7 per game away from Truist Park.
  • The Braves have the No. 8 offense in baseball scoring 4.9 runs per game (790 total runs).
  • The Braves are 65-47 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 58% of those games).
  • Atlanta is 35-20 (winning 63.6% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -155 or shorter.
  • Atlanta has combined with opponents to go over the total 74 times this season for a 74-77-10 record against the over/under.
  • Atlanta went 7-1 over the eight games it was moneyline favorites in its last 10 matchups.
RANK
OPERATOR
BONUS
INFO
ACTION
2
$5,000
Risk Free Bet
Up To $5,000 Risk Free Bet 
Weekly Betting Promos
Use Promo Code: LEGALRF

Brewers Betting Trends

  • The Brewers have scored the 12th-most runs in the league this season with 738 (4.6 per game).
  • They’ve scored 4.7 runs per game this season on the road while averaging 4.2 at home.
  • The Brewers have been underdogs in 36 games this season and won 19 (52.8%) of those contests.
  • Milwaukee has entered 13 games this season as the underdog by +135 or more and is 5-8 in those contests.
  • Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 75 of their 162 chances.
  • Milwaukee has played as the underdog in five of its past 10 games and has gone 1-4 in those contests.

Braves Players to Watch

  • Austin Riley has accumulated a team-high batting average of .303, while pacing the Braves in home runs (33) and runs batted in (107).
  • Riley ranks sixth in hits (179), 21st in HR (33), seventh in RBI (107), eighth in AVG (.303), and 19th in OBP (.367) among the qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Freddie Freeman has 25 doubles, two triples, 31 home runs and 85 walks while hitting .300.
  • Among qualifying hitters in baseball, Freeman ranks fifth in hits (180), 10th in AVG (.300), and fourth in OBP (.393).

Braves Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Ozzie Albies 629 .259 103 30 106 .310 .798
Freddie Freeman 600 .300 120 31 83 .393 .896
Austin Riley 590 .303 91 33 107 .367 .898
Dansby Swanson 588 .248 78 27 88 .311 .760
Adam Duvall 314 .229 41 22 68 .277 .755
Guillermo Heredia 305 .220 46 5 26 .311 .665
Eddie Rosario 283 .254 29 7 46 .296 .685
Joc Pederson 256 .230 35 11 39 .300 .718
Travis d’Arnaud 209 .220 21 7 26 .284 .672
Adam Duvall 199 .226 26 16 45 .287 .800

Brewers Players to Watch

  • Willy Adames is batting .197 with five home runs and 15 RBI for Milwaukee this season.
  • Adames is batting .304 with one homer during his six-game hitting streak.
  • Luis Urias has collected 122 hits this season and has an OBP of .345. He’s slugging .445 on the year.
  • Urias is not in the top 25 in SLG and OBP among qualified hitters in the majors.

Brewers Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Luis Urías 490 .249 77 23 75 .345 .790
Avisaíl García 461 .262 68 29 86 .330 .820
Kolten Wong 445 .272 70 14 50 .335 .782
Christian Yelich 399 .248 70 9 51 .362 .735
Omar Narváez 391 .266 54 11 49 .342 .744
Jackie Bradley Jr. 387 .163 39 6 29 .236 .497
Eduardo Escobar 370 .246 50 22 65 .300 .778
Willy Adames 365 .285 61 20 58 .366 .887
Jace Peterson 259 .247 36 6 31 .348 .715
Lorenzo Cain 257 .257 40 8 36 .329 .730

Braves vs Brewers Player Props

Powered By Data Skrive using data from

Staff Avatar
Written by
Staff

View all posts by Staff