Braves Vs Brewers: NLDS Game 3 Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – October 11, 2021

Written By Staff on October 11, 2021

Ian Anderson’s Atlanta Braves (88-73) face the Milwaukee Brewers (95-67) on Monday at Truist Park as he attempts to collect his 10th win of the season. The matchup begins at 1:07 PM ET. Atlanta (-115 to win) has Anderson starting things off, and Milwaukee (-105) will send out Freddy Peralta.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 11, 2021, 12:00 PM ET. See the table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Braves vs Brewers Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Anderson (ATL) Pitcher Peralta (MIL)
9 – 5 W/L 10 – 5
128.1 IP 144.1
3.58 ERA 2.81
1.220 WHIP 0.960
8.7 K/9 12.2
3.6 BB/9 3.4

Braves Probable Starter Ian Anderson

  • Anderson (9-5 with a 3.58 ERA and 124 strikeouts in 128 1/3 innings pitched) tries for his 10th victory when he makes the start for the Braves, his 25th of the season.
  • His last appearance came on Thursday, Sept. 30 against the Phillies, when the right-hander threw six innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up three hits.
  • The opposing Brewers offense has a collective .233 batting average, and is 27th in the league with 1251 total hits and 12th in MLB action with 738 runs scored. They have the 23rd-ranked slugging percentage (.396) and rank 18th in home runs (194) in all of MLB.
  • The Braves have a 10-6 record in Anderson’s 16 starts this season when they were the moneyline favorite.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of October 11, 2021 at 12:39 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Brewers Stats vs Anderson

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Jackie Bradley Jr. 4 .000 0 0 0 .200 .200
Daniel Vogelbach 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Avisaíl García 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Luis Urías 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Kolten Wong 2 .000 0 0 0 .333 .333
Omar Narváez 1 .000 0 0 0 .667 .667
Tyrone Taylor 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500

Brewers Probable Starter Freddy Peralta

  • Peralta (10-5) will take to the mound for the Brewers and make his 28th start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, Sept. 26 against the Mets, throwing 5 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs.
  • The Braves have scored 790 runs this season, which ranks eighth in MLB. They are batting .244 for the campaign with 239 home runs, third in the league.
  • His team won his only start as an underdog this season.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of October 11, 2021 at 12:39 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Braves Stats vs Peralta

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Freddie Freeman 9 .222 2 0 1 .222 .555
Ozzie Albies 7 .143 1 0 1 .333 .619
Ehire Adrianza 7 .143 1 0 0 .250 .393
Joc Pederson 6 .167 1 0 0 .500 .667
Dansby Swanson 5 .000 0 0 0 .286 .286
Eddie Rosario 4 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
William Contreras 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Austin Riley 2 .500 1 0 0 .667 1.167
Adam Duvall 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500

Braves Betting Trends

  • The Braves’ offense is averaging 5.1 runs in home games while scoring 4.7 per game away from Truist Park.
  • The Braves are the eighth-highest scoring team in baseball averaging 4.9 runs per game (790 total).
  • The Braves have gone 65-47 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 58% of those games).
  • Atlanta has gone 61-43 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -115 or shorter (58.7%).
  • Atlanta has combined with opponents to go over the total 74 times this season for a 74-77-10 record against the over/under.
  • Atlanta was the moneyline favorite for eight of its last 10 games, and finished 7-1 in those matchups.
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Brewers Betting Trends

  • The Brewers rank 12th in the league with 738 total runs scored this season.
  • In 81 road games this season, they’ve scored 4.8 runs per contest compared to the 4.2 per game they average at home.
  • The Brewers have won 19, or 52.8%, of the 36 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • Milwaukee has a record of 15-14, a 51.7% win rate, when they’re set as an underdog of -105 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 75 of their 162 opportunities.
  • Milwaukee has played as the underdog in five of its past 10 games and won one of those contests.

Braves Players to Watch

  • Austin Riley has accumulated a team-best batting average of .303, while pacing the Braves in home runs (33) and runs batted in (107).
  • Among the qualifying hitters in MLB play, Riley’s 179 hits rank sixth, his 33 HR rank 21st, his 107 RBI rank seventh, his .303 AVG ranks eighth, and his .367 OBP ranks 19th.
  • Freddie Freeman is batting .300 with 25 doubles, two triples, 31 home runs and 85 walks.
  • Among qualifying hitters in MLB action, Freeman ranks fifth in hits (180), 10th in AVG (.300), and fourth in OBP (.393).

Braves Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Ozzie Albies 629 .259 103 30 106 .310 .798
Freddie Freeman 600 .300 120 31 83 .393 .896
Austin Riley 590 .303 91 33 107 .367 .898
Dansby Swanson 588 .248 78 27 88 .311 .760
Adam Duvall 314 .229 41 22 68 .277 .755
Jorge Soler 308 .192 38 13 37 .288 .658
Guillermo Heredia 305 .220 46 5 26 .311 .665
Eddie Rosario 283 .254 29 7 46 .296 .685
Joc Pederson 256 .230 35 11 39 .300 .718
Travis d’Arnaud 209 .220 21 7 26 .284 .672

Brewers Players to Watch

  • Willy Adames has been key for Milwaukee with 26 hits, an OBP of .254 plus a slugging percentage of .371.
  • Adames enters this game on a five-game hitting streak, during which he’s hitting .263 with one homer.
  • Luis Urias is batting .249 with an OBP of .345 and a slugging percentage of .445 this season.
  • Urias does not rank in the top 10 in average and home runs among qualified hitters in the majors.

Brewers Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Luis Urías 490 .249 77 23 75 .345 .790
Avisaíl García 461 .262 68 29 86 .330 .820
Kolten Wong 445 .272 70 14 50 .335 .782
Christian Yelich 399 .248 70 9 51 .362 .735
Omar Narváez 391 .266 54 11 49 .342 .744
Jackie Bradley Jr. 387 .163 39 6 29 .236 .497
Eduardo Escobar 370 .246 50 22 65 .300 .778
Willy Adames 365 .285 61 20 58 .366 .887
Jace Peterson 259 .247 36 6 31 .348 .715
Lorenzo Cain 257 .257 40 8 36 .329 .730

Braves vs Brewers Player Props

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