2021 BMW Championship Odds: Rahm Big Favorite To Defend But Different Course

Written By FairwayJay on August 22, 2021 - Last Updated on August 24, 2021

The FedExCup Playoffs continue, and for the first time in nearly 60 years, the Baltimore area will host a PGA TOUR event. The BMW Championship takes place this week at the Caves Valley Golf Club in Owings Mills, Maryland. And fans will get to see world No. 1 Jon Rahm take his swings as the sizable favorite in 2021 BMW Championship odds, as well as No. 2 in the FedExCup standings.

With Tony Finau‘s win Monday at The Northern Trust catapulting him to the top of the FedEx Cup Standings, top players are positioning themselves in the top 10 or 20. The top-70 players in the FedExCup points standings advance to the BMW Championship, and the top 30 at the conclusion of four rounds get a shot at the big payouts at next week’s TOUR Championship in Atlanta.

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2021 BMW Championship Odds

You can find complete outright odds at legal sportsbooks, like DraftKings Sportsbook, Caesars Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, and Bet MGM.

Top Golfers in BMW Championship

With the smaller field and players that have performed best during the course of the season, we’re seeing the best players on TOUR for this week’s event. Justin Thomas won this tournament in 2019, and John Rahm in dramatic fashion last year at Olympia Fields, sinking an incredible 60 foot putt in a playoff over Dustin Johnson.

Now those top favorites join the other leading golfers in playing the Caves Valley course for the first time.  Thomas and Rahm were the co-first round leaders at last week’s Northern Trust, and are favorites to win this week’s BMW Championship.

Here are the top-20 players in the FedEx Cup Standings going into the second leg of the three-tournament playoffs:

  • Tony Finau
  • John Rahm
  • Cameron Smith
  • Patrick Cantlay
  • Justin Thomas
  • Collin Morikawa
  • Jordan Spieth
  • Harris English
  • Bryson DeChambeau
  • Abraham Ancer
  • Louis Oosthuizen
  • Sam Burns
  • Xander Schauffele
  • Viktor Hovland
  • Brooks Koepka
  • Hideki Matsuyama
  • Jason Kokrak
  • Kevin Na
  • Stewart Cink
  • Corey Connors
  • Joaquin Niemann

Cameron Smith shot a course record 11-under-par 60 on Saturday to shoot up the leaderboard and play in the final group with Jon Rahm Monday.

Collin Morikawa dropped from No. 1 to No. 6 after missing the cut at The Northern Trust, and Dustin Johnson fell out of the top 20 after also missing the cut. Big movers from near the top 70 to pushing at or near the top 30 include Shane Lowry, Erik Van Rooyen and Harold Varner. Corey Connors is ahead of all of them in the top 20 after shooting 62 on Saturday.


  • Course: Caves Valley Golf Club
  • Location: Owings Mills, MD
  • Date: Aug. 26-29, 2021
  • Par: 72 / Yardage 7,542
  • Purse: $9.5 Million / Winner $1.7 Million
  • Fairways/Rough: Bluegrass / Perennial Ryegrass mixture
  • Greens: Bentgrass
  • TV: Golf Channel and NBC (Sat-Sun)
  • Live Streaming: NBCSports.com/live, NBC Sports App and PGA Tour Live
  • Twitter: @BMWChamps

Caves Valley opened in 1991 with the original design by Tom Fazio. The course will require more accuracy with the rough reportedly grown out and more bunkers added to the lush green landscape. The front and back nines have been switched to allow for better spectator views.

While there is no strokes gained data for the course, the best ball strikers will rise to the top and be your best golf betting choices. Added length will benefit bigger hitters with stronger Off-the-Tee and Tee-to-Green performance.

What to Watch For as BMW Championship Unfolds

As golfers shoot for a win at the BMW Championship, there is plenty at stake for positioning and a strokes advantage into the TOUR Championship.

Here is how the players will start in relation to par for next week’s TOUR Championship based on their FedExCup Points Standings at the conclusion of the BMW Championship.

1: (-10)
2: (-8)
3: (-7)
4: (-6)
5: (-5)
6-10: (-4)
11-15: (-3)
16-20: (-2)
21-25 (-1)
26-30: (E)

Next week is the TOUR Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta. A total of 30 golfers will compete for the $15 million top prize, and seven golfers will earn at least $1.3 million.

So when analyzing 2021 BMW Championship odds this week, understand the remaining golfers in the FedEx Cup Playoffs have a lot of money motivating them.

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FairwayJay is a leading national sports and gaming analyst and is recognized as one of the sports industry's most insightful professionals. Jay has pursued his passions and maintained a pulse on the sports, gaming and poker industries while living in Las Vegas for nearly two decades. He's been a regular featured guest on sports and gaming radio shows, podcasts and produces sports betting and related industry articles and content for various sites and sources.

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