Blue Jays Vs Red Sox: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 22, 2022

Written By Staff on July 21, 2022

The Toronto Blue Jays (50-43) visit the Boston Red Sox (48-45) on Friday to start a three-game series, with the first pitch at 7:10 PM ET at Fenway Park. The Blue Jays enter the matchup following a series win over the Royals, and the Red Sox are coming off a series loss to the Yankees. Toronto’s (-115 to win) Kevin Gausman starts against Boston’s (-104) Nathan Eovaldi.

The insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of July 22, 2022 at 5:27 PM ET.

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Blue Jays vs Red Sox Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Gausman (TOR) Pitcher Eovaldi (BOS)
6 – 7 W/L 4 – 2
94.0 IP 72.2
2.87 ERA 3.34
1.287 WHIP 1.142
10.1 K/9 9.4
1.7 BB/9 1.5

Blue Jays Probable Starter Kevin Gausman

  • Gausman (6-7 with a 2.87 ERA and 106 strikeouts in 94 innings pitched) makes the start for the Blue Jays, his 18th of the season.
  • His last appearance was on Thursday, July 14 against the Kansas City Royals, when the righty threw 6 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing seven hits.
  • The 31-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.87, with 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in 17 games this season. Opponents have a .274 batting average against him.
  • Gausman heads into this matchup with 10 quality starts under his belt this season.
  • He will face a Red Sox offense that ranks fourth in MLB with 824 total hits (on a .256 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .411 (eighth in MLB) with 91 total home runs (18th in MLB).
  • The 31-year-old’s 2.87 ERA ranks 16th, 1.287 WHIP ranks 49th, and 10.1 K/9 ranks eighth among qualifying pitchers this season.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 22, 2022 at 5:27 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Red Sox Stats vs Gausman

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Xander Bogaerts 48 .333 16 1 5 .373 .811
Jackie Bradley Jr. 28 .071 2 1 2 .188 .367
Christian Vázquez 21 .143 3 0 0 .217 .360
J.D. Martinez 19 .316 6 1 4 .381 .907
Rafael Devers 14 .143 2 0 0 .250 .464
Rob Refsnyder 11 .364 4 0 0 .462 .917
Alex Verdugo 9 .111 1 0 1 .182 .293
Bobby Dalbec 8 .375 3 0 0 .375 .750
Kevin Plawecki 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Red Sox Probable Starter Nathan Eovaldi

  • The Red Sox will hand the ball to Eovaldi (4-2) for his 14th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up three earned runs in 4 2/3 innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the New York Yankees.
  • The 32-year-old has pitched in 13 games this season with an ERA of 3.34 and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .249.
  • He has started 13 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in six of them.
  • The Blue Jays have scored 428 runs this season, which ranks ninth in MLB. They are batting .262 for the campaign with 119 home runs, sixth in the league.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 22, 2022 at 5:27 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Blue Jays Stats vs Eovaldi

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
George Springer 22 .227 5 1 1 .227 .591
Bo Bichette 18 .278 5 1 2 .278 .722
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 17 .294 5 0 1 .368 .662
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 16 .312 5 2 3 .389 1.077
Cavan Biggio 9 .333 3 2 2 .400 1.400
Teoscar Hernández 9 .333 3 0 2 .400 .956
Matt Chapman 9 .222 2 1 1 .417 .973
Bradley Zimmer 7 .143 1 0 0 .143 .429
Alejandro Kirk 6 .500 3 0 0 .571 1.238
Santiago Espinal 6 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Blue Jays Betting Trends

  • The Blue Jays have been the moneyline favorite 74 total times this season. They’ve finished 43-31 in those games.
  • When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -115 or shorter, Toronto has gone 42-30 (58.3%).
  • The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives the Blue Jays a 53.5% chance to win.
  • Toronto has played in 93 games with set over/under, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 49 times (49-42-2).
  • The Blue Jays have covered 44.1% of their games this season, going 41-52-0 ATS.
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Red Sox Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox have been underdogs in 43 games this season and won 18 (41.9%) of those contests.
  • This season, Boston has won 16 of its 39 games, or 41%, when they’re the underdog by at least -104 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 51% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
  • Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 42 of their 93 opportunities.
  • In 93 games with a spread this season, the Red Sox are 51-42-0 ATS.

Blue Jays Players to Watch

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .271 with 15 doubles, 20 home runs and 38 walks.
  • Guerrero ranks 46th in batting average, 48th in on base percentage, and 28th in slugging among the qualified hitters in baseball.
  • Guerrero takes a three-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with a double, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
  • Alejandro Kirk’s 84 hits and .395 OBP both lead his team. He has 13 doubles, 11 home runs and 33 walks while batting .315.
  • Among the qualified, Kirk ranks seventh in batting average, seventh in on-base percentage, and 25th in slugging.
  • Kirk has safely hit in six games in a row. During his last 10 games he is hitting .297 with a double, a home run, two walks and four RBI.
  • George Springer is hitting .250 with 14 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 33 walks.
  • Springer enters this game on a two-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with two walks and two RBI.
  • Bo Bichette’s .418 slugging percentage paces his team. He has 20 doubles, 14 home runs and 25 walks while hitting .257.

Blue Jays Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Bo Bichette 385 .257 49 14 50 .302 .720
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 351 .271 51 20 57 .346 .830
Santiago Espinal 325 .271 33 6 37 .320 .711
George Springer 308 .250 53 17 42 .330 .804
Matt Chapman 304 .227 45 15 45 .300 .728
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 304 .306 37 5 36 .356 .787
Alejandro Kirk 267 .315 45 11 37 .395 .882
Teoscar Hernández 264 .265 32 12 43 .314 .787
Raimel Tapia 240 .275 27 4 25 .300 .688
Cavan Biggio 131 .221 20 2 12 .350 .716

Red Sox Players to Watch

  • Rafael Devers leads Boston with 112 hits and a team-best slugging percentage of .601.
  • Of all the qualifying hitters in the majors, Devers is third in batting average, 14th in on-base percentage and third in slugging percentage.
  • Xander Bogaerts has 104 hits this season and a team-best OBP of .389.
  • Among all qualifying hitters, Bogaerts is sixth in batting average, ninth in on-base percentage and 51st in slugging percentage.
  • Alex Verdugo has collected 88 base hits, an OBP of .306 and a slugging percentage of .372 this season.
  • J.D. Martinez has nine home runs, 38 RBI and a batting average of .303 this season.

Red Sox Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Rafael Devers 346 .324 62 22 55 .379 .980
Alex Verdugo 336 .262 36 6 48 .306 .678
Xander Bogaerts 329 .316 54 7 37 .389 .842
J.D. Martínez 317 .303 51 9 38 .369 .852
Christian Vázquez 256 .273 27 6 36 .318 .732
Jackie Bradley Jr. 242 .202 16 1 25 .255 .544
Bobby Dalbec 224 .205 26 7 22 .286 .630
Franchy Cordero 191 .230 26 4 25 .304 .681
Jarren Duran 107 .252 15 1 7 .304 .697
Kevin Plawecki 81 .160 8 1 5 .274 .509

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Player Props

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