Horse Racing Odds: 2024 Blue Grass Stakes On Road To The Kentucky Derby

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Written By Brett Gibbons | Last Updated
blue grass stakes odds 2024

Buckle up for one of the best races on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. Odds for the $1 million Blue Grass Stakes (GI) were released earlier this week and are available for bettors to wager on. The field of 11 horses is loaded for the 100th running of this Keeneland tradition, with proven commodities led by Sierra Leone, Dornoch, and Just a Touch. Expect a competitive 1 1/8 mile race on Saturday, with the winner being awarded 100 points and a spot when 2024 Kentucky Derby odds officially open before the first Saturday in May.

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2024 Blue Grass Stakes Odds

Post time for the Blue Grass Stakes is 5:52 p.m. ET on Saturday, April 6, from Keeneland in Lexington, Kentucky. Find morning line odds below. Final odds won’t become official until post time, per parimutuel regulations.

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1Top Conor15-1Chad BrownJose Ortiz
2Be You8-1Irad Ortiz Jr.Todd Pletcher
3Seize the Grey20-1D. Wayne LukasNik Juarez
4Dornoch3-1Danny GarganLuis Saez
5Good Money20-1Chad BrownJavier Castellano
6Just a Touch7-2Brad CoxFlorent Geroux
7Lat Long30-1Kenny McPeekBrian Hernandez Jr.
8Epic Ride20-1John EnnisAdam Beschizza
9Mugatu30-1Jeff EnglerJoe Talamo
10Sierra Leone2-1Chad BrownTyler Gaffalione
11Encino12-1Brad CoxFlavien Prat

Blue Grass Stakes Odds: Past Performances, Horse Profiles

1. Top Conor (15-1)

There’s a lot unknown about Top Conor, who won his debut race at Gulfstream Park in February. It was a one-mile sprint, below the Blue Grass’ 1 1/8 mile length. The competition is also a massive step up from a maiden special weight field where an 86 Brisnet Speed Figure was enough to win by two lengths. A solid maiden run combined with plenty of question marks plants Top Conor squarely in the middle of the field in odds.

2. Be You (8-1)

In six runs, Be You hit the board three times. His most notable finish was third in October’s American Pharaoh (GIII) and his fastest run was a 97 in his debut Msw at Saratoga. That 97 makes Be You an intriguing consideration Saturday, especially since he’ll be ridden by Eclipse Award winner Irad Ortiz Jr. It also helps that his trainer is Todd Pletcher. Be You is worth a look for exotics.

3. Seize the Grey (20-1)

Seize the Grey just finished third at the Jeff Ruby Steaks (GIII) and will suit up again for the Blue Grass. He also hit the board back in August in the Skidmore at Saratoga. The colt has improved with experience, as his pedigree suggested would happen. However, with no better than a show against graded competition, Seize the Grey lands as a longshot on the board. Do note his top Brisnet of 92 from February, recorded at Oaklawn.

4. Dornoch (3-1)

The Fountain of Youth (GII) winner projects as one of the favorites come post. In five starts, Dornoch finished no worse than second and three times against grade competition. Though Seize the Grey bested Dornoch in his maiden run, he’s ran away with three straight victories on dirt tracks. In the Remsen (GII), he posted a 98, where he nudged out Blue Grass favorite Sierra Leone. It’s the best run in this field.

5. Good Money (20-1)

Good Money showed a desire to set the pace at the Tampa Bay Derby (GIII). It was a plodding pace that day when he posted a career-best 83 Brisnet. All expectations are that he’ll want to jump out and set a faster pace on Saturday. Good Money finished fourth at Tampa Bay Downs but was less than a length off winner Domestic Product. His only other race resulted in a win in seven furlongs.

6. Just a Touch (7-2)

The Brad Cox product notched a win and a place in two career starts, the latter coming in the Gotham (GIII). Just a Touch maxed out at one mile in races so far, so the added 1/8 mile will be a challenge. His pedigree is exceptional, as his father is Triple Crown winner Justify. In that runner-up finish, Just a Touch posted a formidable 97 Brisnet, the second-best number in this field.

7. Lat Long (30-1)

In six starts, Lat Long hit the board six times (1-1-4). The concern around this colt, though, is that he hasn’t ran in six weeks – the longest layoff in the field. In his lone graded race, the Lecomte Stakes (GIII), he finished third against a strong field. His top-end Brisnet won’t be enough to out-pace speedsters like Just a Touch and Dornoch, but Lat Long’s made steady improvement over his six starts.

8. Epic Ride (20-1)

In four starts, Epic Ride hasn’t finished worse than second. In his most recent run, he finished runner-up to Encino, who runs out of Post 11 in the Blue Grass. The biggest question mark for Epic Ride is that he’s only run on synthetic surfaces, while this race runs on dirt. Though his speed numbers are formidable – he posted a blazing 96 Brisnet in his maiden run – the switch to dirt is a genuine concern. But Epic Ride might be worth an addition to an exotic ticket, given his top-end Brisnet.

9. Mugatu (30-1)

Nobody in this field has more starts than Mugatu (11). However, all that has resulted in a 1-1-3 record and no times hitting the board against graded competition. He managed to finish fourth in last month’s John Battaglia Memorial (LS), but stumbled his way to eighth in his latest run. In two races on dirt, Mugatu posted notably worse Brisnet Speed Figures, making Saturday a concern.

10. Sierra Leone (2-1)

In three starts, Sierra Leone was beaten just once by a nose to Dornoch at the Remsen. He bounced back in the Risen Star (GII) in February, closing the gap for a half-length win. With added length in the Blue Grass to what much of the field has run in the past, his position as a closer is advantageous. There’s a reason he opened the favorite on morning line odds and expects to close near the top of the board at post time.

11. Encino (12-1)

Encino is fairly accomplished in his three starts, winning twice and placing once. He beat out Epic Ride in the John Battaglia by a length and recorded a respectable 91 in the run. Encino is another horse who’s yet to run on dirt, a concern for cappers. It’s also a step up in competition. However, the colt improved over each of his three runs, meaning that a continued improvement could land Encino on the board come Saturday.