The Buffalo Bills are AFC East champs for the first time since 1995. That means a home playoff game to kick off the New Year in 2021, and with fans in the stands! Bills Wild Card odds will be posted shortly after the NFL Week 17 games wrap up. For now, we can look at Bills futures and also survey the sports betting landscape to see what kind of props will be available to those wagering on Buffalo.
New York State has approved a capacity of 6,700 fans to attend our Wild Card playoff game. #BillsMafia
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) December 30, 2020
The Bills (12-3) will be the No. 2 seed with a Week 17 win over the Miami Dolphins or a Pittsburgh Steelers loss at Cleveland. The success of the Bills has bettors wagering on Buffalo, and the playoffs will offer many betting options from leading legal online sportsbooks like FanDuel Sportsbook and DraftKings Sportsbook.
Every big NFL game these days has props for every key player and plenty of parlay options. With that said, here are 10 ways you can bet on the Bills opening playoff game in the Wild Card round.
10. Josh Allen rushing yards
With colder conditions and changing weather in Buffalo in early January, the Bills may opt to run even more than they typically do. The Dolphins could be the Bills’ opponent the weekend of Jan. 9-10, so follow the Week 17 contest against Miami and also know that Allen rushed four times for 19 yards with a long of 16 yards in Buffalo’s 31-28 Week 2 win at Miami. Allen has shown off his cannon arm and passing skills in a breakout season and MVP candidate, but he’s mobile and more than willing to run. Allen has 418 total yards rushing this season, and has averaged 32 yards per game over his last three contests in December. He rushed for a season high 61 yards against the Jets in Week 7. Look for the sportsbooks to post an over/under near 30 rushing yards.
9. Stefon Diggs receptions
The Bills were hoping to bolster their passing production with the offseason trade of Stefon Diggs from the Vikings. Diggs has delivered and then some. Voted to the Pro Bowl as a starter, Diggs has over 1,400 receiving yards on 120 receptions and 8 touchdowns. His last three games leading into the Week 17 finale have produced at least 130 receiving yards each contest. That may cause some inflation in his receiving yards prop in the playoffs, and teams will isolate more coverage on Diggs. But a better option may be to look towards his receptions. Diggs has been targeted by QB Josh Allen at least nine times in each of the past nine games. In his last six contests, Diggs has caught 9, 11, 10, 10, 7 and 10 passes. That includes against some statistically solid pass defenses of Pittsburgh, San Francisco, New England, LA Chargers and Arizona. His over/under receptions may be 6.5 or 7, but Diggs is delivering as Allen’s top target.
8. Cole Beasley receptions
With a focus on Diggs by opposing defenses, Beasley will see single coverage in the slot. The short rhythm passing game will favor Beasley along with potential traction or weather issues. Beasley has been targeted by Allen at least 10 times in four of the last six games. That’s up significantly from the previous nine games where he was targeted more than seven times just once. Beasley has 82 receptions for 967 yards this season – both career highs. Five catches in the Wild Card game will cash an ‘Over’ receptions prop.
7. Single game parlays
Parlay bettors will love the offers at PointsBet Sportsbook as PB has single game parlays. That allows bettors the chance to parlay items in a single game, such as the spread, over/under, player props, team points and more. To sign up for PointsBet go here.
6. Multiple game parlays
There will be two other Wild Card NFL games on the day that the Bills host their first playoff game in 24 years. Keep an eye out for bonus offers and odds boosts from top sportsbooks like DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM.
5. Point spread
The most popular bet for NFL games is on the point spread, and the Bills should be at least a 3-point favorite in the Wild Card game regardless of opponent. Buffalo has gone 6-1 straight up (SU) and 5-2 against the spread (ATS) at home this season heading into Week 17.
Buffalo is 6-1 SU at home this season and 5-2 ATS with their lone loss to the top-seeded Kansas City Chiefs. If you simply want to bet on whether the Bills will win or lose, go the moneyline route over “point spread.” Of course you can parlay the Bills moneyline to another game and team(s) of interest.
3. Alternate point spread
Like the Bills to win in a blowout? You can get a plus price on the alternate point spread. If the Bills are a 3.5-point favorite with -110 odds, the alternate spread options could be Bills -5.5 (+115) or -7.5 (+145) or -10.5 (+180).
2. Game Over/Under and team totals
The Bills have averaged 28.5 points per game at home this season. The game total for totals betting in the Wild Card game may be near 48-49, which would make the Bills team total about 26.5 with a 3.5-point spread. Only the Chiefs and Steelers’ AFC-best defenses were able to slow the Bills offense at home. It will probably take blustery weather or the Bills’ own mistakes to slow them down in their opening postseason game.
1. Super Bowl futures
The Bills have exceeded expectations and their season win total (9) this season. If you like the Bills to take another huge step forward and win the Super Bowl, you can get them for +850 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Buffalo has the second lowest odds to win the AFC at +400 at DK. Kansas City is the only other team more highly regarded as they are -134 to return to the Big Game.