Bills vs. Steelers: Week 14 NFL Betting Preview – December 13, 2020

Posted By Staff on December 8, 2020

The AFC East-leading Buffalo Bills (9-3) square off against the AFC North-leading Pittsburgh Steelers (11-1) on Sunday, December 13, at Bills Stadium. Buffalo is  in the matchup and the over/under is set at for the contest.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of December 8, 2020, 2:41 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Bills vs Steelers Betting Odds

Bills vs Steelers Props

Looking to bet on props for this game? Use our prop search tool to find the best odds across legal sportsbooks in the US.

Betting the Total (Over/Under)

  • The points total average for Bills games this season is 53.2, 6.7 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • Steelers games average 45.4 total points, 1.1 fewer than the total for this matchup.
  • Bills games have gone over 46.5 points on seven occasions this season (58.3% of matchups).
  • In five (41.7%) games this season, the Steelers have combined with their opponents to go over 46.5 points.
  • These two teams score a combined average of 55.6 points per game, higher than the total for this matchup by 9.1 points.
  • The Steelers are the NFL’s seventh-highest scoring team this season compared to the eighth-ranked Bills.
  • The over/under for this game is set at 46.5 points, 3.4 points higher than the two teams’ opponents scoring average.
  • This game features the league’s top-ranked (Pittsburgh) and 18th-ranked (Buffalo) scoring defenses.
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Bills Betting Insights

  • Buffalo has put together a 7-5 record against the spread this season.
  • The Bills have an ATS record of 4-4 when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
  • Most of Buffalo’s games this year — nine out of 12 — have gone over the point total (75%).

Steelers Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has compiled an 8-4 record against the spread this season.
  • The Steelers are 6-4 ATS when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.
  • Half of Pittsburgh’s games this year — six out of 12 — have gone over the point total.

Bills vs Steelers: Head to Head

Bills vs Steelers: Last Meeting
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
12/15/2019 Steelers Steelers -1.5 37 -117 +102 261-229 BUF 17-10 BUF

Check out TheLines YouTube channel to learn more about betting tips and picks for this week’s NFL action.

When the Bills Have the Ball

  • The Bills have put an average of 27.8 points per game on the scoreboard this season, 10.2 more than the 17.6 the Steelers have surrendered in each contest.
  • When they meet or go over their scoring average this season, Buffalo is 5-1 and 5-1 against the spread.
  • Pittsburgh is 5-0 overall and 4-1 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 17.6 points.
  • The Bills hold a 78.3-yard advantage in total yards gained versus total yards allowed compared to the Steelers defense this season (378.8 to 300.5). The Bills average 6 yards per play while the Steelers give up 4.9 per play.
  • In contests where the Buffalo offense totals at least their average yard output this season, they are 3-2 against the spread and 5-0 overall.
  • When Pittsburgh allows fewer total yards to opposing offenses than their season average, they are 5-1 against the spread and 6-0 overall this season.
  • The Bills have averaged 102.2 yards per game on the ground this season, 1.5 yards more than the Steelers have allowed to opposing rushing attacks (100.7).
  • In games where the Buffalo rushing attack puts together at least their season average, the Bills are 4-0 overall and 1-3 against the spread.
  • When Pittsburgh holds opposing teams to 100.7 rushing yards or fewer this year, they are 6-1 against the spread and 6-1 overall.
  • This season, the Steelers have forced an average of 1.9 turnovers per game compared to the 1.4 times Bills have turned the football over in each contest.
  • In games where they turn the football over 1.4 times or fewer this season, Buffalo is 6-1 overall and 3-4 against the spread.
  • Pittsburgh is 6-3 against the spread and 9-0 overall this season when they force at least 1.9 turnovers in a game.

When the Steelers Have the Ball

  • The Steelers average 27.8 points per game, the same number the Bills surrender.
  • When Pittsburgh scores at least 27.8 points, it is 5-0 against the spread and 5-0 overall.
  • Buffalo has a 5-1 record against the spread and a 5-1 record overall in games when it surrenders 27.8 points or less.
  • The Steelers rack up 30.6 fewer yards per game (344.8), than the Bills give up per contest (375.4). The Steelers average 5.2 yards per play, while the Bills give up 5.8 per play.
  • In games Buffalo keeps its opponents to 375.4 or fewer yards, it has a 2-3 record ATS and a 4-1 record overall.
  • The Steelers rush for 92.6 yards per game, 33.3 fewer per game than the 125.9 the Bills allow per contest.
  • Pittsburgh has a 6-1 ATS record and a 7-0 overall record when the team runs for at least 92.6 yards.
  • This season, Buffalo is 5-2 against the spread and 7-0 overall when holding opponents to no more than 125.9 rushing yards.
  • This year, the Steelers turn the ball over one time per game, 0.6 fewer turnovers per game than the 1.6 the Bills force on average.
  • Pittsburgh is 7-2 against the spread and 8-1 overall when it turns the ball over one or fewer time.
  • When it forces 1.6 or more turnovers, Buffalo has a 6-1 record against the spread and a 6-1 record overall.

Get the best betting breakdowns and picks on TheLines sports betting podcast

Bills Players to Watch

  • Josh Allen leads the team with 3,405 passing yards (283.8 yards per game) and has a 69.9% completion percentage this year (299-of-428) while throwing 26 touchdowns and eight interceptions. He also has 321 rushing yards on 87 carries with six touchdowns, averaging 26.8 yards per game.
  • Devin Singletary has taken 128 carries for a team-leading 543 rushing yards (45.3 yards per game) while scoring one touchdown. He’s also caught 31 passes for 229 yards (19.1 receiving yards per game).
  • This season, Stefon Diggs has grabbed 90 passes to lead the team with 1,037 yards with four touchdowns. He has been targeted 122 times and averages 86.4 yards per game.
  • Cole Beasley’s statline this year shows 66 grabs for 797 yards and four touchdowns. He averages 66.4 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 82 times.
  • This year, Gabriel Davis has caught 25 passes on 39 targets for 422 yards and five touchdowns, averaging 35.2 receiving yards per game.
  • A.J. Klein has five sacks to lead the team, and has also racked up five TFL and 61 tackles over 12 games.
  • Jordan Poyer has racked up 97 tackles, four TFL, two sacks, and two interceptions this season.
  • Tre’Davious White has picked off three passes to lead the team while adding 50 tackles, one TFL, 0.5 sacks, and eight passes defended 11 over games.

Steelers Players to Watch

  • Ben Roethlisberger has thrown for 3,105 yards while completing 66.9% of his passes (324-of-484), with 27 touchdowns and seven interceptions (258.8 yards per game).
  • Benny Snell Jr. has churned out 260 rushing yards (21.7 yards per game) and scored three touchdowns.
  • Anthony McFarland Jr. has 91 yards on 27 carries (10.1 ypg) over the course of nine games.
  • This season, Diontae Johnson has 65 catches (on 106 targets) for 654 yards (59.5 per game) and five touchdowns in 11 games.
  • Rookie Chase Claypool has contributed with 47 catches for 649 yards and eight touchdowns. He has been targeted 78 times and puts up 54.1 receiving yards per game.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster has caught 73 passes on 94 targets for 600 yards and six touchdowns, averaging 50 yards per game.
  • T.J. Watt has 12 sacks to lead the team, and has also collected 19 TFL, 45 tackles, and one interception.
  • Avery Williamson has collected 71 tackles, one TFL, and one interception this year.
  • This year, Minkah Fitzpatrick has a team-high four interceptions and has tacked on 54 tackles and nine passes defended.

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