Bills vs. Jets: NFL Betting Preview – September 13, 2020

Written By Staff on September 11, 2020
Bills Jets odds spread line Week 1

The Buffalo Bills (0-0) host the New York Jets (0-0) on Sunday, September 13 in matchup between AFC East rivals at Bills Stadium. New York is a 6.5-point underdog; an over/under of 39.5 is set for the contest.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings Sportsbook as of September 9, 2020, 8:11 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings.

Bills vs. Jets odds

Total Facts

  • The over/under for this game is 39.5 points– 3.7 more than the average points total for Bills games a year ago.
  • The average total points scored in Jets games last year (39.5) is 0.2 points higher than the total for this matchup.
  • Bills games went over 39.5 points on six occasions last season (37.5% of matchups).
  • In eight games last season (50%), the Jets combined with their opponents to go over 39.5 points.
  • Last year’s combined scoring average for these two teams (36.8 points per game) is 2.7 fewer than the total for this contest.
  • These teams allowed a combined 38.6 points per game a season ago, 0.9 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.

Bills Betting Insights

  • Buffalo went 6-6-2 ATS last year.
  • The Bills went 2-1 ATS last season when favored by at least 6.5 points.
  • Just four of Buffalo’s 17 games went over the total– last in the NFL.

Jets Betting Insights

  • New York and its opponents tallied more than the total in 43.8% of games last season (seven of 16).
  • New York’s record against the spread (ATS) last year was 7-9.
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Bills vs Jets: Last Five Meetings

  • In the past five meetings, New York has a 3-2 record against Buffalo.
  • Buffalo has outpaced New York 108 points to 100 in the past five games.

When the Bills Have the Ball

  • The Bills averaged points scored last season (19.6) and the Jets points allowed (22.4) were within 2.8 points of each other.
  • When they met or outpaced their scoring average last season, Buffalo was 7-0 and 4-2 ATS.
  • New York was 6-2 overall and 5-2 ATS last season in games where they allowed fewer than 22.4 points.
  • The total number of yards the Bills offense put up and the Jets defense gave up per game last season are within 7.1 yards of each other (330.2 to 323.1).
  • Buffalo’s record last season when they reached their season average in total yards: 6-2 overall and 4-1-1 ATS.
  • When the New York defense allowed less than their season average for total yards last season they were 5-4 ATS and 5-4 overall.
  • The Jets allowed opposing rushing attacks to average 86.9 yards per game in 2019, compared to the 128.4 yards the Bills offense averaged on the ground per contest.
  • When Buffalo rushed for at least 128.4 yards last season, they were 5-1 overall and 4-1 ATS.
  • When New York limited opposing teams to 86.9 rushing yards or fewer last year, they were 6-4 ATS and 5-6 overall.
  • The Jets forced roughly the same amount of turnovers per game (1.3) as the Bills offense committed (1.2).
  • In games where they turned the football over 1.2 times or fewer last season, Buffalo was 7-4 overall and 5-3-2 ATS.
  • When they forced more than 1.3 turnovers in a game last season, New York was 5-0 ATS and 4-2 overall.

When the Jets Have the Ball

  • The Jets scored 17.2 points per game last year, compared to the 16.2 per outing the Bills surrendered.
  • When New York put up at least 17.2 points last season, it finished 4-3 ATS and 5-2 overall.
  • Last season, Buffalo had a 4-2 record ATS and a 7-0 record overall in games when it held opponents to 19.6 or fewer points.
  • The Jets racked up 273 yards per game in 2019– 25.2 fewer yards than the 298.2 the Bills gave up per outing.
  • When the Buffalo offense put together a game with at least their 2019 average in yardage, they were 6-2 overall and 4-1-1 ATS last season.
  • When Buffalo kept its opponents to 298.2 yards or less last year, it put together a 5-2 record ATS and a 5-3 record overall.
  • Last season, the Jets racked up 78.6 rushing yards per game– 24.5 fewer per game than the Bills allowed per outing (103.1).
  • Last year, New York had a 4-4 ATS record and a 5-4 overall record in games the team ran for at least 78.6 yards.
  • Buffalo finished 6-2 ATS and 7-2 overall when holding opponents to 103.1 rushing yards or less last season.
  • The Jets turned the ball over 1.6 times per game last year– 0.2 more turnovers per game than the 1.4 the Bills forced on average.
  • In games in 2019, New York finished with a 6-3 record ATS and a 6-5 record overall when they turned the ball 1.6 or fewer times.
  • Last season, Buffalo had a 2-2 record ATS and a 5-0 record overall when they forced at least 1.4 turnovers.

Bills Players to Watch

  • Josh Allen threw for 3,089 yards while completing 58.8% of his passes (271-of-461), with 20 touchdowns and nine interceptions in 16 games last year (193.1 yards per game). He also carried the ball 109 times for 510 yards and nine touchdowns, averaging 31.9 yards per game.
  • Devin Singletary rushed for 775 yards on 151 carries (64.6 yards per game), scoring two touchdowns in 12 games a season ago. He also averaged 16.2 receiving yards per game, grabbing 29 passes for 194 yards and two touchdowns.
  • Stefon Diggs caught 63 passes for 1,129 yards and six touchdowns last season with the Vikings. He was targeted 93 times and averaged 75.3 yards per game over 15 outings.
  • John Brown had 1,060 yards on 72 grabs with six touchdowns. He was targeted 115 times and averaged 70.7 receiving yards per game over 15 matchups last year.
  • In 2019, Cole Beasley caught 67 passes on 106 targets for 778 yards and six touchdowns, averaging 51.9 receiving yards per game.
  • Mario Addison recorded 9.5 sacks, six TFL and 34 tackles last season.
  • Tremaine Edmunds racked up 117 tackles, nine TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one interception over the course of his 2019 campaign.
  • Tre’Davious White intercepted six passes while adding 57 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and defended 16 passes in 15 games.

Jets Players to Watch

  • Last year, Sam Darnold passed for 3,024 yards (232.6 yards per game) while going 273-for-441 (61.9% completion percentage) and throwing 19 touchdowns and 13 interceptions in 13 games.
  • Le’Veon Bell rushed for 789 yards on 246 attempts (52.6 yards per game) while scoring three touchdowns in 15 games a season ago. He also averaged 30.7 receiving yards per game, grabbing 66 passes for 461 yards and one touchdown.
  • Last season, Jamison Crowder reeled in 78 passes (122 targets) for 834 yards (52.1 yards per game) and six touchdowns.
  • Breshad Perriman chipped in with 645 yards on 36 grabs with six touchdowns. He was targeted 69 times and put up 46.1 receiving yards per game over the course of 14 matchups last year.
  • Last season, Jordan Jenkins put up eight sacks, nine TFL, and 32 tackles in 14 games.
  • Neville Hewitt recorded 73 tackles, six TFL, three sacks, and two interceptions in 12 games last year.
  • Last season, Pierre Desir grabbed three interceptions and added 50 tackles, one TFL, and 11 passes defended in 12 games.
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