Bills vs. Chargers: NFL Betting Preview – November 29, 2020

Posted By Staff on November 24, 2020

The Los Angeles Chargers (3-7) are  heading into their matchup on Sunday, November 29, against the Buffalo Bills (7-3). The over/under is set at  for the contest.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of November 24, 2020, 1:41 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Betting Information

Total Facts

  • The over/under in this game is 54 points, 0.3 higher than the average total in Bills games this season.
  • Chargers games average 53.3 total points, 0.7 fewer than the total for this matchup.
  • Bills games have gone over 54 points on five occasions this season (50% of matchups).
  • In six (60%) games this season, the Chargers have combined with their opponents to go over 54 points.
  • This year’s combined scoring average for these two teams (53.2 points per game) is 0.8 fewer than the total for this contest.
  • The Bills are the 11th-highest scoring team in the NFL this year. The Chargers have scored the 15th-most points.
  • The over/under for this game is set at 54 points, 0.2 points higher than the two teams’ opponents scoring average.
  • This matchup features the NFL’s 24th-ranked (Los Angeles) and 20th-ranked (Buffalo) scoring defenses.
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Bills Betting Insights

  • Buffalo has put together a 5-5 record against the spread this season.
  • The Bills are just 1-2 ATS when favored by at least 5.5 points.
  • Most of Buffalo’s games this year — eight out of 10 — have gone over the point total (80%).

Chargers Betting Insights

  • Los Angeles has put together a 5-5 record against the spread this season.
  • The Chargers have a losing ATS record of 1-2 when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs.
  • Los Angeles’ games have hit the over in seven out of 10 outings this season (70%).

Bills vs Chargers: Head to Head

Bills vs Chargers: Last Meeting
Date Home Team Total Yards Result
9/16/2018 Bills 349-293 LAC 31-20 LAC

When the Bills Have the Ball

  • The Bills average points scored this season (27.2) and the Chargers points allowed (27.3) are within 0.1 points of each other.
  • In games where Buffalo score at least 27.2 points this season, they are 4-1 overall and 4-1 against the spread.
  • Los Angeles is 1-2 overall and 2-1 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 27.3 points.
  • The Bills hold a 32.5-yard advantage in total yards gained versus total yards allowed compared to the Chargers defense this season (376.5 to 344).
  • The Bills average 5.9 yards per play while the Chargers give up 5.6 per play.
  • In contests where the Buffalo offense totals at least their average yard output this season, they are 2-2 against the spread and 4-0 overall.
  • When the Los Angeles defense allows less than their season average for total yards, they are 2-4 against the spread and 3-3 overall.
  • The Chargers have allowed opposing rushing attacks to average 115.3 yards per game, compared to the 97.4 yards the Bills offense has averaged on the ground per contest.
  • In games where the Buffalo rushing attack runs for at least their season average this season, the Bills are 5-0 overall and 2-3 against the spread.
  • When Los Angeles holds opposing teams to 115.3 rushing yards or fewer this year, they are 2-4 against the spread and 1-5 overall.
  • The Bills have turned the ball over 1.3 times per game this season, while the Chargers have averaged 0.9 takeaways per contest.
  • In games where they turn the football over 1.3 times or fewer this season, Buffalo is 5-1 overall and 2-4 against the spread.
  • Los Angeles is 4-4 against the spread and 3-5 overall this season when they force at least 0.9 turnovers in a game.

When the Chargers Have the Ball

  • The Chargers score just 0.5 fewer points per game (26) than the Bills allow (26.5).
  • Los Angeles is 3-3 against the spread and 2-4 overall a season ago when the team records at least 26 points.
  • This season, Buffalo has a 4-1 record against the spread and a 4-1 record overall in games when it holds opponents to 27.2 or fewer points.
  • The Chargers rack up 27.3 more yards per game (400.9), than the Bills give up per outing (373.6). The Chargers average 5.6 yards per play, while the Bills give up 5.8 per play.
  • Buffalo has a 1-3 record ATS and a 3-1 record overall when holding its opponents to 373.6 yards or less.
  • The Chargers rush for 121.3 yards per game, 13.6 fewer per game than the 134.9 the Bills allow per outing.
  • Los Angeles has a 3-2 ATS record and a 2-3 overall record when the team rushes for at least 121.3 yards.
  • This season, Buffalo is 3-2 against the spread and 5-0 overall when holding opponents to no more than 134.9 rushing yards.
  • This year, the Chargers turn the ball over 1.2 times per game, 0.4 fewer turnovers per game than the 1.6 the Bills force on average.
  • Los Angeles is 4-3 against the spread and 3-4 overall when it turns the ball over 1.2 or fewer times.
  • When it forces 1.6 or more turnovers, Buffalo has a 5-1 record against the spread and a 5-1 record overall.

Bills Players to Watch

  • Josh Allen leads the team with 2,873 passing yards (287.3 yards per game) and has a 68.4% completion percentage this year (249-of-364) while throwing 21 touchdowns and seven interceptions. He also has 278 rushing yards on 72 carries with five touchdowns, averaging 27.8 yards per game.
  • Devin Singletary has rushed for 400 yards on 99 carries (40 yards per game) while scoring one touchdown. He also averages 18.7 receiving yards per game, grabbing 25 passes for 187 yards.
  • This season, Stefon Diggs has 73 catches (102 targets) for 906 yards (90.6 per game) and four touchdowns.
  • Cole Beasley has tacked on 642 yards on 55 catches with three touchdowns. He has been targeted 67 times and puts up 64.2 receiving yards per game.
  • Over eight games, John Brown has caught 29 passes on 48 targets for 386 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 48.3 receiving yards per game.
  • Jerry Hughes has four sacks to lead the team, and has also collected three TFL, 22 tackles, and one interception.
  • Jordan Poyer’s 81 tackles, four TFL, two sacks, and two interceptions make him the team leader for tackles and interceptions.

Chargers Players to Watch

  • Rookie Justin Herbert has thrown for 2,699 yards while completing 68% of his passes (238-of-350), with 22 touchdowns and six interceptions in nine games this year (299.9 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 39 times for 187 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 20.8 yards per game.
  • Rookie Joshua Kelley has taken 102 attempts for 311 rushing yards (31.1 yards per game) and one touchdown.
  • In his first year with the Chargers, Kalen Ballage has 194 yards on 52 carries (32.3 ypg), with one rushing touchdown. He also has 23 catches for 143 yards (23.8 ypg).
  • Keenan Allen has been targeted 112 times and has 81 catches to lead the team with 835 yards (83.5 ypg) with six touchdowns.
  • Mike Williams has added 29 catches for 503 yards and four touchdowns. He has been targeted 52 times and puts up 55.9 receiving yards per game.
  • Hunter Henry has caught 41 passes on 65 targets for 435 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 43.5 yards per game.
  • Joey Bosa has 4.5 sacks to lead the team, and has also added eight TFL and 20 tackles over eight games.
  • In 10 games, rookie Kenneth Murray has racked up 62 tackles and two TFL.

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