Bills vs. Broncos: Week 15 NFL Betting Preview – December 19, 2020

Posted By Staff on December 15, 2020

The Buffalo Bills (10-3) are favored by  as they look to keep their three-game winning streak intact against the Denver Broncos (5-8) on Saturday, December 19, at Empower Field at Mile High. The point total is set at  for the outing.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of December 14, 2020, 2:41 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Bills vs Broncos Betting Odds

Bills vs Broncos Props

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Betting the Total (Over/Under)

  • Broncos games average 46.5 total points, 3.5 fewer than the total for this matchup.
  • Buffalo and its opponents have combined to score more than 50 in seven games (53.8% of matchups).
  • Denver’s contests have gone over 50 points on five occasions (38.5% of games).
  • The two teams average a combined 47.4 points per contest, 2.6 fewer than the total for this matchup.
  • The Broncos are the league’s 29th-highest scoring team this season compared to the eighth-ranked Bills.
  • These two teams combine to surrender 51.4 points per game, which is 1.4 greater than the total for this matchup.
  • Buffalo is the NFL’s 15th-ranked scoring defense while Denver is the 23rd-ranked.
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Bills Betting Insights

  • Buffalo has compiled an 8-5 record against the spread this season.
  • The Bills have an even ATS record of 1-1 when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites.
  • Most of Buffalo’s games this year — nine out of 13 — have gone over the point total (69.2%).

Broncos Betting Insights

  • Seven of Denver’s 13 games this year have gone over the point total (46.2% of its opportunities).
  • Denver has compiled an 8-5 record against the spread this season.

Bills vs Broncos: Head to Head

Bills vs Broncos: Last Meeting
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
11/24/2019 Bills Bills -3.5 37 -200 +175 424-134 BUF 20-3 BUF

Check out TheLines YouTube channel to learn more about betting tips and picks for this week’s NFL action.

When the Bills Have the Ball

  • The Bills average points scored this season (27.6) and the Broncos points allowed (26.7) are within 0.9 points of each other.
  • In games where Buffalo score at least 27.6 points this season, they are 5-1 overall and 5-1 against the spread.
  • When the Denver defense allows 26.7 points or fewer this year, the Broncos have accumulated a 2-3 overall record and a 5-0 record against the spread.
  • The Bills hold a 23.7-yard advantage in total yards gained versus total yards allowed compared to the Broncos defense this season (375.4 to 351.7). The Bills average 5.9 yards per play while the Broncos give up 5.3 per play.
  • In contests where the Buffalo offense totals at least their average yard output this season, they are 3-2 against the spread and 5-0 overall.
  • When Denver allows fewer total yards to opposing offenses than their season average, they are 3-2 against the spread and 3-2 overall this season.
  • The Broncos have allowed opposing rushing attacks to average 131 yards per game, compared to the 102.4 yards the Bills offense has averaged on the ground per contest.
  • In games where the Buffalo rushing attack puts together at least their season average this season, the Bills are 5-0 overall and 2-3 against the spread.
  • This season, when the Denver defense allows opponents to pick up less than 131 yards on the ground, they are 6-3 against the spread and 4-5 overall.
  • This season, the Broncos have forced an average of 0.8 turnovers per game, compared to the 1.5 times Bills have turned the football over in each contest.
  • When Buffalo turns the football over 1.5 times or fewer this season, they are 6-1 overall and 3-4 against the spread.
  • Denver’s record this season when they force more than 0.8 turnovers: 4-3 ATS, 3-4 overall

When the Broncos Have the Ball

  • The Broncos score 4.9 fewer points per game (19.8) than the Bills surrender (24.7).
  • When Denver puts up at least 19.8 points, it is 5-1 against the spread and 4-2 overall.
  • Buffalo has a 5-1 record against the spread and a 5-1 record overall in games when it gives up 27.6 points or less.
  • The Broncos rack up 35.2 fewer yards per game (328.6), than the Bills give up per outing (363.8). On average, the Broncos pick up 5.2 yards per play, while the Bills allow 5.7 per play.
  • In games Buffalo keeps its opponents to 363.8 or fewer yards, it has a 2-3 record ATS and a 4-1 record overall.
  • The Broncos rush for 117.2 yards per game, just 2.6 fewer yards per game than the 119.8 the Bills allow per contest.
  • Denver has a 3-1 ATS record and a 2-2 overall record when the team runs for at least 117.2 yards.
  • This season, Buffalo is 6-2 against the spread and 8-0 overall when holding opponents to no more than 119.8 rushing yards.
  • This year, the Broncos turn the ball over 2.2 times per game, 0.6 more turnovers per game than the 1.6 the Bills force on average.
  • Denver has a 7-2 record against the spread and a 4-5 record overall when it turns the ball over 2.2 times or less.
  • When it forces 1.6 or more turnovers, Buffalo has a 7-1 record against the spread and a 7-1 record overall.

Get the best betting breakdowns and picks on TheLines sports betting podcast

Bills Players to Watch

  • Josh Allen leads the team with 3,643 passing yards (280.2 yards per game) and has a 68.6% completion percentage this year (323-of-471) while throwing 28 touchdowns and nine interceptions. He also has 349 rushing yards on 93 carries with six touchdowns, averaging 26.8 yards per game.
  • Devin Singletary has rushed for 575 yards on 135 attempts (44.2 yards per game) while scoring one touchdown in 13 games. He also averages 17.8 receiving yards per game, grabbing 32 passes for 231 yards.
  • Stefon Diggs has grabbed 100 passes to lead the team with 1,167 yards while scoring five touchdowns. He has been targeted 136 times and averages 89.8 yards per game over 13 outings.
  • Cole Beasley’s statline this year shows 71 grabs for 838 yards and four touchdowns in 13 games. He averages 64.5 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 92 times.
  • Over 13 games, Gabriel Davis has caught 28 passes on 47 targets for 441 yards and six touchdowns, averaging 33.9 receiving yards per game.
  • A.J. Klein has five sacks to lead the team, and has also added five TFL and 66 tackles over 13 games.
  • Jordan Poyer has totaled 105 tackles, four TFL, two sacks, and two interceptions to lead the team in tackles so far.
  • Tre’Davious White has intercepted three passes to lead the team while adding 54 tackles, one TFL, 0.5 sacks, and nine passes defended over 12 games.

Broncos Players to Watch

  • This year, Drew Lock has racked up 2,198 passing yards (199.8 yards per game) while going 185-for-323 (57.3% completion percentage) and throwing 13 touchdowns and 13 interceptions in 11 games.
  • Melvin Gordon III has churned out a team-high 753 rushing yards (62.8 yards per game) and scored six touchdowns in 12 games.
  • Phillip Lindsay has 464 yards on 107 carries (46.4 ypg), with one rushing touchdown over the course of 10 games.
  • This season, Tim Patrick has 43 catches (on 67 targets) for 643 yards (53.6 per game) with six touchdowns in 12 games.
  • Jerry Jeudy has also tacked on 40 catches for 636 yards and two touchdowns. He has been targeted 86 times and averages 48.9 receiving yards per game.
  • Noah Fant has collected 492 yards on 44 passes with two touchdowns, averaging 41 yards per game on 67 targets in 12 contests.
  • Bradley Chubb has collected a team-leading 7.5 sacks, while adding eight TFL and 41 tackles.
  • This season, Alexander Johnson has totaled 100 tackles, four TFL, and one sack and leads the team in tackles.
  • Justin Simmons leads the team with four interceptions and has added 83 tackles, two TFL, and seven passes defended this year.

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