Bills vs. Bengals: NFL Playoff Betting Preview – January 22, 2023

Written By Staff on January 17, 2023

The AFC Divisional round features a matchup between the Buffalo Bills and the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals (+200 moneyline odds to win) take the field as visitors on January 22, 2023 at 3:00 PM ET on CBS against the Bills (-5.5). The contest’s over/under is currently set at 48.5.

In this article you’ll see everything you need to know to place a bet on the game, including injury updates, key metrics, and weather conditions, as well as up-to-date odds.

The betting facts in this article use the latest odds as of January 22, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET.

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Bills Vs. Bengals Betting Odds

Bills Vs. Bengals Player Props

Bills Vs. Bengals Betting Angles

Bills Vs. Bengals Weather

Snow and 2 mph winds are expected at Highmark Stadium on Sunday (as of 3:12 PM on January 22), with a high temperature of 33 degrees Fahrenheit.

Bills Vs. Bengals Injury Report

Buffalo Injuries

Player Pos. Injury Status Avg. Snap Count
DaQuan Jones DT Calf Out 52.0
Christian Benford CB Gameday inactive Out 45.1
DaQuan Jones DT Calf Out 43.7
Jordan Phillips DT Shoulder Probable 29.1
Terrel Bernard LB Gameday inactive Out 25.0
Tommy Sweeney TE Gameday inactive Out 23.8
Terrel Bernard LB Gameday inactive Out 22.8
Baylon Spector LB Gameday inactive Out 16.3
Ike Boettger OG Gameday inactive Out 11.0

Cincinnati Injuries

Player Pos. Injury Status Avg. Snap Count
Jonah Williams OT Knee Out 73.4
Alex Cappa OG Ankle Out 69.2
Jonah Williams OT Knee Out 32.0
Tre Flowers CB Hamstring Out 28.3
Jay Tufele DT Gameday inactive Out 22.0
Tre Flowers CB Hamstring Out 17.0
Chris Evans RB Gameday inactive Out 14.4
Jeffrey Gunter DE Gameday inactive Out 11.6
Jay Tufele DT Gameday inactive Out 5.0
Clark Harris LS Biceps Out 4.0
Ben Brown C Biceps Out
Nick Bowers TE Gameday inactive Out

Bills Offense Vs. Bengals Defense

Bills Offense Stats (Rank) Bengals Defense
28.4 (2) Points/Gm 20.1 (5)
0.4 (2) Points/Play 0.3 (1)
397.6 (2) Yards/Gm 335.7 (16)
258.1 (7) Pass Yards/Gm 229.1 (23)
139.5 (7) Rush Yards/Gm 106.6 (7)
6.1 (2) Yards/Play 5.4 (15)
7.2 (6) Yards/Pass 6.6 (15)
5.2 (2) Yards/Rush 4.2 (6)
50.3% (1) 3rd Down % 39.6% (20)
60.3% (9) Red Zone % 52.0% (9)
27 (30) Turnovers 24 (11)
33 (8) Sacks 30 (29)

Bengals Offense Vs. Bills Defense

Bengals Offense Stats (Rank) Bills Defense
26.1 (7) Points/Gm 17.9 (2)
0.4 (2) Points/Play 0.3 (1)
360.5 (8) Yards/Gm 319.1 (6)
265.0 (5) Pass Yards/Gm 214.6 (15)
95.5 (29) Rush Yards/Gm 104.6 (5)
5.5 (11) Yards/Play 5.1 (7)
7.0 (8) Yards/Pass 6.0 (5)
3.8 (29) Yards/Rush 4.3 (11)
46.1% (3) 3rd Down % 37.5% (7)
64.9% (5) Red Zone % 44.9% (2)
18 (4) Turnovers 27 (4)
44 (20) Sacks 40 (14)

When The Bills Have The Ball

  • The Bengals’ defense has totaled 30 sacks (fourth-fewest in the NFL). The Bills have conceded 33 sacks to rank eighth in the league.
  • Buffalo is the NFL’s 30th-ranked offense in terms of committing turnovers (27), and are facing the 11th-ranked team in turnovers forced, Cincinnati (24).
  • The Bengals give up third-down conversions on 39.6% of their opponents’ attempts (20th in the NFL). The Bills have a 50.3% third-down conversion rate, which ranks first in the league.
  • Buffalo averages 258.1 passing yards per game (seventh in the NFL) compared to the 229.1 per game Cincinnati allows (23rd in the league).

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When The Bengals Have The Ball

  • The Bills allow 104.6 rushing yards per game (fifth in the NFL). The Bengals’ running game ranks 29th in the league (95.5).
  • Cincinnati averages 3.8 yards per carry (29th in the league) compared to the 4.3 per attempt Buffalo gives up (11th in the NFL).
  • The 265.0 passing yards per game the Bengals average ranks them fifth in the NFL, while the 214.6 the Bills allow ranks them 15th in the league.
  • Cincinnati is 20th-ranked in the league in sacks allowed (44), and is playing the team ranked 14th in bringing down opposing quarterbacks, Buffalo (40).

Bills Betting Trends And Insights

  • The Bills went 8-8-0 ATS in the regular season, and are 0-1-0 in the playoffs.
  • When playing as at least 5.5-point favorites this season (regular season and playoffs), the Bills have an ATS record of 5-6.
  • The Bills and their opponents combined to hit the over six out of 16 times in the regular season, and one of one in the playoffs.
  • Buffalo and its opponents have scored more than 48.5 points in five of 16 games this season (in the regular season and playoffs).
  • The Bills won 13 of the 16 games they were favored on the moneyline during the regular season (81.2%). They are 1-0 as the moneyline favorite in the playoffs.

Bengals Betting Trends And Insights

  • The Bengals went 12-4-0 ATS in the regular season. Meanwhile, the team has a 0-1-0 against the spread in the postseason.
  • The Bengals and their opponent combined to hit the over six out of 16 times in the regular season. As for the postseason, one of one games have eclipsed the total.
  • Cincinnati has played six regular and postseason games this season that finished with a point total higher than 48.5 points.
  • The Bengals won two of the three games in which they were underdogs during the regular season, and are 0-0 in the postseason.

Bills Players To Watch

  • This season Josh Allen has registered 4,283 passing yards (267.7 YPG) while completing 63.3% of his passes, with 35 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. He also has 762 rushing yards on 124 attempts (plus seven scores), averaging 47.6 YPG.
  • Devin Singletary has 177 rushing attempts for a team-best 819 rushing yards (51.2 per game) and five touchdowns. He also has 38 catches for 280 receiving yards (17.5 per game) and one touchdown.
  • Stefon Diggs has 108 catches (153 targets) and paces his team with 1,429 receiving yards (89.3 ypg) and 11 touchdowns.
  • Gabriel Davis’ stat line this year reveals 48 catches for 836 yards and seven touchdowns. He puts up 55.7 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 92 times.
  • Dawson Knox has caught 48 passes for 517 yards and six touchdowns, averaging 34.5 yards per game.
  • Gregory Rousseau has 8.0 sacks to lead the team, and has also added 9.0 TFL and 37 tackles.
  • Over the course of the current campaign, Tremaine Edmunds has collected 104 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and one interception and leads the team in tackles.
  • Jordan Poyer has intercepted four passes to lead the team while adding 63 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and eight passes defended.

Bengals Players To Watch

  • Joe Burrow has 4,475 passing yards (279.7 per game) and a 68.3% completion percentage, throwing 35 touchdown passes and 12 interceptions. He also has 257 rushing yards on 75 carries (with five touchdowns), averaging 16.1 yards per game.
  • Joe Mixon has taken 210 carries for a team-leading 814 rushing yards (58.1 per game) while scoring seven touchdowns. He’s also caught 60 passes for 441 yards (31.5 receiving yards per game) with two touchdowns through the air.
  • So far this year Samaje Perine has run for 394 yards on 95 carries (24.6 yards per game), with two touchdowns. Perine also helps out in the passing game, catching 38 passes for 287 (17.9 yards per game) while scoring four touchdowns.
  • Ja’Marr Chase has 87 catches (134 targets) and paces his team with 1,046 receiving yards (87.2 per game) while scoring nine touchdowns.
  • Tee Higgins has chipped in with 74 catches for 1,029 yards and seven touchdowns this year. He has been targeted 110 times, and puts up 64.3 receiving yards.
  • Tyler Boyd has caught 58 passes on 82 targets for 762 yards and five touchdowns, averaging 47.6 yards per game.
  • Trey Hendrickson has notched a team-leading 8.0 sacks, while adding 6.0 TFL and 32 tackles.
  • Logan Wilson has totaled 121 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception, and he’s tops on his team in tackles.
  • Vonn Bell has a team-high four interceptions and has tacked on 78 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and seven passes defended in 16 games this season.

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