Best Bills Anytime Touchdown Prop Bets: Will Josh Allen Score NFL Wild Card ATTD?
The first game Sunday for NFL Wild Card odds sees the Pittsburgh Steelers heading up to Buffalo to play in miserable conditions. This could be a classic NFL winter game with high winds and cold weather. That said, there are still plenty of reasons to think the Bills’ explosive offense can find their way into the endzone more than once. Bills anytime touchdown markets are now available at betting sites.
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First TD Scorer Odds
Bills Anytime Touchdown Strategy
Buffalo is more than a touchdown favorite in this game, which would suggest that they should be rather effective at scoring. That is slightly counteracted by the game’s low total of , which is dampened by below-freezing temperatures and forecasted winds above 25 MPH all game long. That could dampen the passing game for the Bills, but this may be creating value in the market.
Given the weather-based uncertainty, it makes sense to take a stance at the top of the Bills anytime touchdown odds board and then take a couple of longshots. With that in mind, let’s get into my Bills anytime touchdown selections for Super Wild Card Weekend.
Bills anytime touchdown bets to consider
QB Josh Allen ()
Allen has become the de facto goalline back in Buffalo this season, calling his number an increasing amount. The Bills have adopted a version of the Eagles’ Tush Push this year, which has helped them run with Allen more efficiently. He’s also liable to run it in from longer distances, on either designed runs or scrambles.
The dual-threat nature of Allen’s rushing touchdowns makes him valuable as a Bills anytime touchdown scorer. Allen has scored eight TDs in his last six games and 15 overall over the season. His willingness to run in the red zone means he won’t be limited to getting lucky that someone gets tackled short.
If the weather leads to a more ground-based attack, then Allen might have more faith in keeping it himself, especially in the red zone. Either way, Allen makes a ton of sense.
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TE Dalton Kincaid ()
Kincaid has been one of the season’s stories for the Bills, proving his value as the Bills’ first-round rookie. Having split time with Dawson Knox, his counting stats haven’t always been immaculate, but he’s found himself a role in the offense. With Gabe Davis injured and likely either out or in a reduced role, Kincaid will be one of the beneficiaries.
Against New England and Miami the last two weeks, Kincaid broke 80 yards both times on 11 total catches. After a few down weeks of production, he seems to have earned his way back into Josh Allen’s good graces. Getting that volume of targets for an anytime touchdown bet is key.
Yes, Knox got the touchdown against Miami, but volume is much more predictive of touchdowns than what happened in any specific week. Kincaid has game-breaking potential, as his 51-yard reception against New England showed. As a complete player, he’s one of the best pass-catchers in Buffalo. Be it from a longer range or in the Red Zone, Kincaid can score in multiple ways. And that’s a player worth taking a shot at.
Also, the existence of Knox elevates Kincaid’s price in a way that makes him even more attractive to bet.
WR Khalil Shakir ()
Shakir is another possible beneficiary of the Gabe Davis limitations. When Davis left the game on Sunday, Shakir had his best game in weeks, breaking 100 yards and nearly getting into the end zone. We know that Shakir has game-breaking abilities, scoring an 81-yard TD against the Jets earlier this season. The Dolphins game also saw Josh Allen trying a more aggressive offensive strategy.
Shakir is a longshot, but he is paired with the right kind of QB. His sense of when to launch a deep shot is … shambolic, to be kind. But that volatility is hugely valuable when you’re betting anytime touchdown odds. It doesn’t matter if Allen throws two INTs on four deep shots if one deep shot goes for a touchdown.
Shakir’s likely to take the Davis volume if he’s out or merely a decoy. Getting a few opportunities to create in space will do him well, and he’s a worthwhile punt at his elevated price.
2023 Bills TD Scorer Stats
| Player | GP Games Played | ATT Rushing Attempts | YDS Rushing Yards | YDS/C Yards Per Carry | YDS/G Rushing Yards Per Game | TDS Rushing Touchdowns |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cook – RB | 5 | 70 | 309 | 4.4 | 61.8 | 4 |
| Josh Allen – QB | 5 | 26 | 160 | 6.2 | 32.0 | 2 |
| Ray Davis – RB | 5 | 26 | 75 | 2.9 | 15.0 | 1 |
| Ty Johnson – RB | 5 | 10 | 42 | 4.2 | 8.4 | 1 |
| Curtis Samuel – WR | 5 | 3 | 6 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Khalil Shakir – WR | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Mitchell Trubisky – QB | 4 | 3 | -3 | -1.0 | -0.8 | 0 |
| Player | GP Games Played | TGTS Targets | REC Receptions | YDS Receiving Yards | CTP% Catch Percentage | YDS/R Yards Per Reception | YAC/G Yards After Catch Per Game | TDS Receiving Touchdowns |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil Shakir – WR | 4 | 19 | 18 | 230 | 94.7% | 12.8 | 35.3 | 2 |
| Keon Coleman – WR | 5 | 16 | 9 | 175 | 56.3% | 19.4 | 5.3 | 2 |
| Dalton Kincaid – TE | 5 | 24 | 15 | 166 | 62.5% | 11.1 | 23.8 | 1 |
| James Cook – RB | 5 | 13 | 11 | 123 | 84.6% | 11.2 | 23.3 | 1 |
| Mack Hollins – WR | 5 | 17 | 6 | 73 | 35.3% | 12.2 | 2.5 | 1 |
| Ty Johnson – RB | 5 | 6 | 4 | 61 | 66.7% | 15.3 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Curtis Samuel – WR | 5 | 13 | 9 | 48 | 69.2% | 5.3 | 10.0 | 0 |
| Dawson Knox – TE | 5 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 60.0% | 10.0 | 5.0 | 0 |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling – WR | 5 | 9 | 2 | 26 | 22.2% | 13.0 | 1.5 | 0 |
| Ray Davis – RB | 5 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 80.0% | 4.5 | 7.0 | 0 |
| Quintin Morris – TE | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 |
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