Big Sky Tournament Odds: Is Two-Seed Montana State The Rightful Favorite?

Written By Eli Hershkovich on March 4, 2023
Big Sky Tournament Odds

The Big Sky Conference men’s basketball tournament tips off on Saturday, and one of 10 teams will punch its ticket into the Big Dance. We’ll take a look at all of the pertinent 2023 Big Sky Tournament odds (courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook), schedule, and how you can watch. It all begins on March 4, yet Montana State — the favorite to win the tournament — won’t take the court until Sunday.

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Big Sky Tournament Odds

(Eastern Time)
Montana State
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Eastern Washington
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Weber State
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Sacramento State
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Idaho State
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Northern Colorado
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Northern Arizona
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Portland State
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Tournament Notes

Your vision isn’t acting up. Montana State, which finished one game behind Eastern Washington in the regular season standings, is set at +115 to deliver its second consecutive March Madness berth. It would be an impressive feat for fourth-year coach Danny Sprinkle, who’s manning the D-I sidelines for the first time in his career.

Although the Eagles boast a far superior offense, the Bobcats showcase the 75th-ranked adjusted defensive efficiency (per KenPom) across college basketball. That wasn’t showcased in their victory over Eastern Washington in the season finale, surrendering 1.16 PPP. However, Montana State generated 1.23 PPP, led by its fourth-leading scorer Darius Brown (18 points, 3-of-5 shooting on 3s, five boards, and four assists).

Those numbers may not immediately jump off the page. But then digest that Brown is the lone player in the sport to shoot 40%+ from deep and 90%+ from the line while averaging at least 4.5 assists and 1.5 steals per game.

Granted, the Bobcats will likely square off against a pesky Weber State bunch in the semifinals. That theoretically gifts the Eagles an easier path to the title game, especially since Montana State already fell to the Wildcats on Feb. 9. The 6-foot-6 Dillon Jones was the difference with a double-double. His athleticism should give a normally-crisp Bobcats defense fits yet again if they match up again.

Additionally, there isn’t a longshot worth considering among Big Sky tournament odds, especially since I make Montana State a slightly bigger favorite than its 46.51% implied probability suggests. With that said, I won’t have any action in this betting market.

The entire Big Sky Conference tournament takes place in Boise, Idaho, meaning there’s no true home-court advantage involved.

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Big Sky Tournament Schedule

  • First Round: Saturday, March 4
  • Quarterfinals: Sunday/Monday, March 5/6
  • Semifinals: Tuesday, March 7
  • Big Sky Championship: Wednesday, March 8

How To Watch

The first two rounds are available for viewing on the ESPN+ streaming platform. Additionally, on Tuesday, the Big Sky tournament semifinals are on ESPNU and ESPN2, respectively. Wednesday’s title game will tip off at 11:30 p.m. ET on ESPN2. Here is the rest of the conference tournament schedule.

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