NFL Prop Bets 2021

Team, Player Props For Every Game

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It’s no secret that America’s favorite sport is football and its most popular league is the NFL. The NFL tops TV ratings – with Sunday Night Football, Thursday Night Football, and Monday Night Football being three of the four most-watched television programs of 2020. Fantasy football is the most popular form of fantasy sports with a whopping 78% of fantasy players saying they participate in fantasy football, and the NFL dominates US betting markets with a report from the state of New Jersey reporting that football made up 46.5% of all money bet in the state in the month of November 2020.

The player props market is a growing one across all sports, but especially the NFL. Access to advanced metrics and stats give fans and bettors a new edge that helps them make informed decisions.

However, without being able to search and compare prop bets, a bettor doesn’t have a true edge. TheLines is fixing that problem with our NFL Player Props Search tool.

NFL props tool: Find the best odds

The player props search tool was built to make life easier for everyone, and we didn’t try to hide its purpose in the name. TheLines provides a one-stop shop that gathers odds from dozens of sportsbooks and puts them all in one place. Besides reducing time from your search by putting DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, BetMGM, and others right in front of you; the search tool also shows you all the prop bets for an individual player.

Advice we repeat frequently at TheLines is to shop around when placing bets– just because FanDuel Sportsbook offers certain odds doesn’t mean another sportsbook won’t offer better odds. For example, Fox Bet may offer the over/under on Derrick Henry’s projected rushing yards this season at 1,825.5. However, DraftKings Sportsbook may offer the same prop at over/under 1,775.5. That 50-yard discrepancy might not seem like much (that’s less than three yards per game), but it’s solid insurance against a bad beat and maximizes your win probability.

Similarly, two sportsbooks may offer the same prop, but at different odds. For example, Patrick Mahomes’ season-long odds to win the MVP may land at +450 at BetMGM. However, DraftKings Sportsbook may list his MVP odds at +600. A $100 bet at BetMGM would pay out $450 (plus the initial $100 bet), but the same $100 wager placed at DK would pay out $600– a $150 difference (plus the initial $100 bet).

The player props search tool is made to maximize winnings and minimize time flipping through windows and tabs.

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As long as you live in a state where sports betting is legal, you have nearly unlimited options to bet on the NFL this season. It’s important to stick to domestic sportsbooks, as offshore books are illegal in the United States. The major domestic books that you should consider are DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, and William Hill.

DraftKings Sportsbook is an official partner of ESPN, Turner Media, and announced a new exclusive deal with the NFL in April 2021 as their Official Daily Fantasy Partner. For new users, DK offers a 20% bonus on first deposit up to $1000.

FanDuel Sportsbook is the newest authorized partner of the NFL in that same April 2021 deal. New users at FanDuel get a $1000 risk-free bet after placing their first real-money bet. This means that, up to $1000, if your first bet on the site loses – they will refund your bet amount to your account to try again (offer valid through December 31, 2021).

The third and final gaming company to be an authorized partner of the NFL is Caesars Entertainment (William Hill), who expanded their relationship in the league with the April 2021 tri-deal. They offer a $500 risk free bet for new users. If your first bet with the company loses, BetMGM will refund the bet amount in free bet credit.

What are NFL props?

The NFL is the country’s most-bet league by a comfortable margin. Prop bets are bets that include single-game or season-long performances for players or teams. More specific bets can center around a single quarter or half (popular during Super Bowls) or as long as an entire regular season. Popular props for the NFL include passing yards in a season, rushing yards in a game, or team turnovers in a half. Other, less popular bets include Week 1 starting quarterbacks, Comeback Player of the Year odds, and odds to score a touchdown in a certain game.

Some prop bets classify as “team/game props” while others are classified as “player props.” Team or game props and player props can have many of the same metrics (touchdowns scored, yards gained, etc.), but team props refer to the entire team while player props refer to the player.

Some metrics that refer to only teams include first team to score (regardless of player), points scored in a quarter and team passing yards allowed.

NFL prop betting strategy

When it comes to the NFL, no metrics or stats can triumph the importance of individual matchups. For example, Carlton Davis may be one of the top cornerbacks in terms of grades and touchdowns allowed, but when he’s matched up with Tyreek Hill (who runs a 40 0.3 seconds faster than Davis), he’s going to be outmatched. In the Chiefs’ regular season matchup with the Buccaneers, Hill recorded a staggering 203 receiving yards in the first quarter despite many stats and metrics pointing to Davis being a good matchup for Hill.

Defensive and offensive schemes are also important to note. To take the previous example, Hill was able to record all of those first quarter receiving yards because Tampa Bay defensive coordinator Todd Bowles schemed Davis to be one-on-one with Hill with no top safety help. While schemes are an added layer of complexity, knowing a team’s tendencies can greatly benefit prop bettors.

Other factors to note are player home-away splits, weather conditions, injuries, and player tendencies in certain environments. However, it’s important not to overlook simple “it” factors. For example, in a big game or clutch situation, stats and trends go out the window for players like Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers. Sometimes, the best player just steps up to the moment regardless of outside factors.

The last piece of advice is the most important – shop around for different lines. Sticking to one sportsbook might be easy and comfortable, but other books may offer better odds. As mentioned earlier, just because DraftKings Sportsbook offers A.J. Brown’s season touchdown total at 10.5 doesn’t mean FanDuel won’t offer the same at 12.5, giving Under bettors a cushion. This can also help out when deciding to bet Over or Under. If DraftKings Sportsbook offers Brown at, say, 7.5 touchdowns, and all the other books offer 10.5 or 11.5, hitting the over at DK might be beneficial.

Shopping around for different lines can be time consuming, but not if you use our player props search tool! It eliminates all time wasted clicking through tabs and lays everything out for you instantly.

Are NFL futures different from NFL props?

Futures bets are prop bets that take place over a duration longer than a game. Common futures bets include odds to win individual awards (MVP, Offensive Rookie of the Year, etc.), season stats (rushing touchdowns, receptions, etc.), or winners of certain playoff series (Wild Card game, AFC Championship, Super Bowl etc.). All of the aforementioned bets are considered futures bets.

Futures bets take place over varying durations – a season, a month, etc. They can also take place over the duration of the regular season or postseason.

Prop bets, on the other hand, refer to individual game performances. They may include interceptions thrown, receiving touchdowns, etc., but they take place over the course of a single game. Both futures bets and prop bets include team/game props and player props.