NFL Prop Bets 2023

Team, Player Props For Every Game

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The playoffs are here, and we have NFL player props available for every game of the postseason. Below, you’ll find some of our best prop bets for NFL Divisional Round weekend. Make sure to check out our prop bet search tool below to compare prices across all legal sportsbooks.

Below we will look at all of the various ways you can make NFL prop bets. And be sure to check out our NFL Player Props Search tool below to find the best odds on any team or player.

NFL prop bets search tool: Find the best odds

Search for NFL props below. Player prop bet odds from the top US sportsbooks will be shown.

The player props search tool was built to make life easier for everyone, and we didn’t try to hide its purpose in the name. TheLines provides a one-stop shop that gathers odds from dozens of sportsbooks and puts them all in one place. Besides reducing time from your search by putting DraftKings Sportsbook, BetMGM, Caesars Sportsbook, and others right in front of you; the search tool also shows you all the prop bets for an individual player.

Advice we frequently repeat at TheLines is to shop around when placing bets – just because Caesars Sportsbook offers certain odds doesn’t mean another sportsbook won’t offer better odds. For example, DraftKings may offer the over/under on Derrick Henry’s projected rushing yards this season at 1,825.5. However, Caesars Sportsbook may offer the same prop at over/under 1,775.5. That 50-yard discrepancy might not seem like much (that’s less than three yards per game), but it’s solid insurance against a bad beat and maximizes your win probability.

Similarly, two sportsbooks may offer the same prop, but at different odds. For example, Patrick Mahomes’ season-long odds to win the MVP may land at +450 at BetMGM. However, DraftKings Sportsbook may list his MVP odds at +600. A $100 bet at BetMGM would pay out $450 (plus the initial $100 bet), but the same $100 wager placed at DK would pay out $600– a $150 difference (plus the initial $100 bet).

The player props search tool is made to maximize winnings and minimize time flipping through windows and tabs.

Best NFL Player Props: Divisional Round

Best player prop bets for NFL Divisional Round Saturday

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Over 54.5 receiving yards)

The Jaguars rank 30th against the pass per DVOA and will likely look to shut down Mahomes’ primary target Travis Kelce. Jacksonville is talented at the linebacker position and can bracket Kelce with a safety, which should leave Smith-Schuster plenty of room to find open grass. Expect Mahomes to find JuJu more than a few times, easily clearing this number at 54.5 yards.

This prop is as high as 56.5, but you can find 54.5 at DraftKings.

Best player prop bets for NFL Divisional Round Sunday

Josh Allen (Over 46.5 rushing yards)

A Josh Allen rushing yard prop is always in the hands of Allen’s motivation. He’s shown at any moment in the game he can bust out a 25+ yard run, usually tacking on a few extra with a signature hurdle. Going over this prop is all about willingness to run, and during his career in the playoffs, JA has shown to be extra motivated when it comes to rushing.

Here are Josh Allen’s career rushing totals per playoff game:

  • 2019 at Houston: 9 rushes, 92 yards
  • 2021 vs. Indianapolis: 11 rushes, 54 yards
  • 2021 vs. Baltimore: 7 rushes, 3 yards
  • 2021 at Kansas City: 7 rushes, 88 yards
  • 2022 vs. New England, 6 rushes, 66 yards
  • 2022 at Kansas City: 11 rushes, 68 yards
  • 2023 vs. Miami: 4 rushes, 20 yards

So Josh Allen has gone over at least 54 yards in six of his eight playoff games. This game should be much more hotly contested than last week vs. Miami, and Allen should pretty easily clear 50 rushing yards on Sunday hosting the Bengals.

This prop is as high as 50.5 at PointsBet, but you can find 46.5 at DraftKings and Caesars.

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As long as you live in a state where sports betting is legal, you have nearly unlimited options to bet on the NFL this season. It’s important to stick to domestic sportsbooks, as offshore books are illegal in the United States. The major domestic books that you should consider are DraftKings Sportsbook, Caesars Sportsbook and BetMGM.

What are NFL props?

The NFL is the country’s most-bet league by a comfortable margin. Prop bets are bets that include single-game or season-long performances for players or teams. More specific bets can center around a single quarter or half (popular during Super Bowls) or as long as an entire regular season. Popular props for the NFL include passing yards in a season, rushing yards in a game, or team turnovers in a half. Other, less popular bets include Week 1 starting quarterbacks, Comeback Player of the Year odds, and odds to score a touchdown in a certain game.

Some prop bets classify as “team/game props” while others are classified as “player props.” Team or game props and player props can have many of the same metrics (touchdowns scored, yards gained, etc.), but team props refer to the entire team while player props refer to the player.

Some metrics that refer to only teams include first team to score (regardless of player), points scored in a quarter and team passing yards allowed.

NFL prop betting strategy

When it comes to the NFL, no metrics or stats can triumph the importance of individual matchups. For example, Carlton Davis may be one of the top cornerbacks in terms of grades and touchdowns allowed, but when he’s matched up with Tyreek Hill (who runs a 40 0.3 seconds faster than Davis), he’s going to be outmatched. In the Chiefs’ regular season matchup with the Buccaneers, Hill recorded a staggering 203 receiving yards in the first quarter despite many stats and metrics pointing to Davis being a good matchup for Hill.

Defensive and offensive schemes are also important to note. To take the previous example, Hill was able to record all of those first quarter receiving yards because then-Tampa Bay defensive coordinator Todd Bowles schemed Davis to be one-on-one with Hill with no top safety help. While schemes are an added layer of complexity, knowing a team’s tendencies can greatly benefit prop bettors.

Other factors to note are player home-away splits, weather conditions, injuries, and player tendencies in certain environments. However, it’s important not to overlook simple “it” factors. For example, in a big game or clutch situation, stats and trends go out the window for players like Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers. Sometimes, the best player just steps up to the moment regardless of outside factors.

The last piece of advice is the most important – shop around for different lines. Sticking to one sportsbook might be easy and comfortable, but other books may offer better odds. As mentioned earlier, just because DraftKings Sportsbook offers A.J. Brown’s season touchdown total at 10.5 doesn’t mean FanDuel won’t offer the same at 12.5, giving Under bettors a cushion. This can also help out when deciding to bet Over or Under. If DraftKings Sportsbook offers Brown at, say, 7.5 touchdowns, and all the other books offer 10.5 or 11.5, hitting the over at DK might be beneficial.

Shopping around for different lines can be time consuming, but not if you use our player props search tool! It eliminates all time wasted clicking through tabs and lays everything out for you instantly.

Are NFL futures different from NFL props?

Futures bets are prop bets that take place over a duration longer than a game. Common futures bets include odds to win individual awards (MVP, Offensive Rookie of the Year, etc.), season stats (rushing touchdowns, receptions, etc.), or winners of certain playoff series (Wild Card game, AFC Championship, Super Bowl etc.). All of the aforementioned bets are considered futures bets.

Futures bets take place over varying durations – a season, a month, etc. They can also take place over the duration of the regular season or postseason.

Prop bets, on the other hand, refer to individual game performances. They may include interceptions thrown, receiving touchdowns, etc., but they take place over the course of a single game. Both futures bets and prop bets include team/game props and player props.