A wild Week 2 is in the books, and before you know it, the third football Sunday of the season will be here. Hundreds of player and team prop bet options are available for this coming weekend’s games.
Below we will look at all of the various ways you can make NFL prop bets. And be sure to check out our NFL Player Props Search tool below to find the best odds on any team or player.
NFL props search tool: Find the best odds
Search for NFL props below. Player prop bet odds from the top US sportsbooks will be shown.
The player props search tool was built to make life easier for everyone, and we didn’t try to hide its purpose in the name. TheLines provides a one-stop shop that gathers odds from dozens of sportsbooks and puts them all in one place. Besides reducing time from your search by putting DraftKings Sportsbook, BetMGM, Caesars Sportsbook and others right in front of you; the search tool also shows you all the prop bets for an individual player.
Advice we repeat frequently at TheLines is to shop around when placing bets – just because Caesars Sportsbook offers certain odds doesn’t mean another sportsbook won’t offer better odds. For example, DraftKings may offer the over/under on Derrick Henry’s projected rushing yards this season at 1,825.5. However, Caesars Sportsbook may offer the same prop at over/under 1,775.5. That 50-yard discrepancy might not seem like much (that’s less than three yards per game), but it’s solid insurance against a bad beat and maximizes your win probability.
Similarly, two sportsbooks may offer the same prop, but at different odds. For example, Patrick Mahomes’ season-long odds to win the MVP may land at +450 at BetMGM. However, DraftKings Sportsbook may list his MVP odds at +600. A $100 bet at BetMGM would pay out $450 (plus the initial $100 bet), but the same $100 wager placed at DK would pay out $600– a $150 difference (plus the initial $100 bet).
The player props search tool is made to maximize winnings and minimize time flipping through windows and tabs.
Best NFL props for Week 3
Each Friday throughout the season, we’ll go over our best props for Sunday’s NFL action.
Derek Carr (Over 255.5 passing yards)
The Titans have a young and ineffective secondary and a nonexistent pass rush. Derek Carr should feast on this defense and will be eager to get back on track with Davante Adams a week after connecting on just two passes for 12 yards. Carr nearly went over this prop last week with 252 yards, and it would be highly unlikely if he and Adams have another week with only two catches on seven targets.
Kyler Murray (Over 26.5 rushing yards)
In each of the first two weeks, Kyler Murray has five rushing attempts for 28 and 29 yards. Not gaudy totals, but numbers that would cash a ticket on over. Last year against the Rams, Murray ran for 39 yards on six carries in the first matchup and ran for 61 yards on seven carries in the second game. Murray will need to use those legs again if the Cardinals want to pull off another upset, and given his recent history against the Rams in the regular season, 26.5 rushing yards looks ripe for the over.
Justin Fields (Over 172.5 passing yards)
If you’re reading this, you’re probably thinking, who could possibly be taking the Justin Fields over passing yards prop? But hear me out, and if you hate the handicap, go ahead and take the under, which you can find as high as 176.5 at DraftKings and FanDuel.
Let’s start with the Bears’ first two games. You can throw the monsoon game out the window, and when Fields was throwing, it was reasonably effective for 7.1 yards per attempt and over 15 yards per completion. In the second game, the Bears ran for 180 yards on the Packers, so you can understand why they stuck with the run. Rodgers also played keep away, limiting the Bears to just 41 plays. Further, Bears OC Luke Getsy revealed that of those 41 plays, 20 passes were called, but nine of them either resulted in a scramble or a sack.
I don’t believe the first two games the Bears played are indicative of how their offense will operate the rest of the season. Chicago just played two of the best defenses in the NFC and now faces a below-average Texans D. Getsy and Fields have both heard all week about the lack of pass attempts and how anemic the offense looks. And don’t get me wrong, this is a bad offense. But they were a bad offense last year as well. And to finish Fields’ rookie season, he went over 172.5 passing yards in 7 of 9 games, and in one of those games, he was ruled out with an injury early in the third quarter.
They say to win at sports betting, you need to be contrarian, and you cannot get more contrarian than betting Justin Fields over passing yards a week after 11 attempts for 70 yards. Hold your nose, and take the plunge. Or, feel free to fade.
Best sportsbooks to bet NFL props
As long as you live in a state where sports betting is legal, you have nearly unlimited options to bet on the NFL this season. It’s important to stick to domestic sportsbooks, as offshore books are illegal in the United States. The major domestic books that you should consider are DraftKings Sportsbook, Caesars Sportsbook and BetMGM.
What are NFL props?
The NFL is the country’s most-bet league by a comfortable margin. Prop bets are bets that include single-game or season-long performances for players or teams. More specific bets can center around a single quarter or half (popular during Super Bowls) or as long as an entire regular season. Popular props for the NFL include passing yards in a season, rushing yards in a game, or team turnovers in a half. Other, less popular bets include Week 1 starting quarterbacks, Comeback Player of the Year odds, and odds to score a touchdown in a certain game.
Some prop bets classify as “team/game props” while others are classified as “player props.” Team or game props and player props can have many of the same metrics (touchdowns scored, yards gained, etc.), but team props refer to the entire team while player props refer to the player.
Some metrics that refer to only teams include first team to score (regardless of player), points scored in a quarter and team passing yards allowed.
NFL prop betting strategy
When it comes to the NFL, no metrics or stats can triumph the importance of individual matchups. For example, Carlton Davis may be one of the top cornerbacks in terms of grades and touchdowns allowed, but when he’s matched up with Tyreek Hill (who runs a 40 0.3 seconds faster than Davis), he’s going to be outmatched. In the Chiefs’ regular season matchup with the Buccaneers, Hill recorded a staggering 203 receiving yards in the first quarter despite many stats and metrics pointing to Davis being a good matchup for Hill.
Defensive and offensive schemes are also important to note. To take the previous example, Hill was able to record all of those first quarter receiving yards because then-Tampa Bay defensive coordinator Todd Bowles schemed Davis to be one-on-one with Hill with no top safety help. While schemes are an added layer of complexity, knowing a team’s tendencies can greatly benefit prop bettors.
Other factors to note are player home-away splits, weather conditions, injuries, and player tendencies in certain environments. However, it’s important not to overlook simple “it” factors. For example, in a big game or clutch situation, stats and trends go out the window for players like Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers. Sometimes, the best player just steps up to the moment regardless of outside factors.
The last piece of advice is the most important – shop around for different lines. Sticking to one sportsbook might be easy and comfortable, but other books may offer better odds. As mentioned earlier, just because DraftKings Sportsbook offers A.J. Brown’s season touchdown total at 10.5 doesn’t mean FanDuel won’t offer the same at 12.5, giving Under bettors a cushion. This can also help out when deciding to bet Over or Under. If DraftKings Sportsbook offers Brown at, say, 7.5 touchdowns, and all the other books offer 10.5 or 11.5, hitting the over at DK might be beneficial.
Shopping around for different lines can be time consuming, but not if you use our player props search tool! It eliminates all time wasted clicking through tabs and lays everything out for you instantly.
Are NFL futures different from NFL props?
Futures bets are prop bets that take place over a duration longer than a game. Common futures bets include odds to win individual awards (MVP, Offensive Rookie of the Year, etc.), season stats (rushing touchdowns, receptions, etc.), or winners of certain playoff series (Wild Card game, AFC Championship, Super Bowl etc.). All of the aforementioned bets are considered futures bets.
Futures bets take place over varying durations – a season, a month, etc. They can also take place over the duration of the regular season or postseason.
Prop bets, on the other hand, refer to individual game performances. They may include interceptions thrown, receiving touchdowns, etc., but they take place over the course of a single game. Both futures bets and prop bets include team/game props and player props.