By Nate Weitzer
The NFL regular season wrapped up this weekend and the postseason seedings are all set. The 49ers scored a huge win at Seattle to take the top seed in the NFC and the Ravens coasted to the top seed in the AFC. The Patriots suffered a stunning home loss to the Dolphins, giving the Chiefs the second seed in the AFC.
In an effort to prepare you for the postseason and update you on the outlook of NFL teams that didn’t make the playoffs, TheLines provides our final weekly Power Rankings at the conclusion of the 2019-2020 regular season.
These Power Rankings look beyond records by predicting the actual potential of each team, thus helping fans think ahead when playing seasonal, Daily Fantasy Football, or placing bets on sportsbooks.
For teams that are in the playoffs, these rankings will serve as a starting point for placing Futures bets or betting on their individual matchups. Be sure to check our Super Bowl Futures page for changing odds.
Odds will change on sportsbooks and injuries are bound to play a huge factor in the NFL postseason, so stay tuned for updates each week.
Final NFL Power Rankings 2019-20
|Rank||Team||Super Bowl Odds|
1. Baltimore Ravens (14-2)
With Lamar Jackson and other key starters resting, the Ravens still coasted to a 26-14 victory over Pittsburgh and knocked their rivals out of postseason contention. Baltimore is the most physical team in the NFL with the most explosive talent under center, so it will be tough for any AFC challenger to knock off the top-seeded Ravens.
2. New Orleans Saints (13-3)
The Saints may have dropped a nail-biter to San Francisco in Week 15, but are clearly the most dominant team in the NFC right now. New Orleans absolutely demolished Carolina for a regular season finale and should be able to get back to the NFC Championship with relatively easy matchups on tap against the Vikings and Packers.
3. Kansas City Chiefs (12-4)
Last season, the Chiefs came up short in the AFC Championship game because their defense couldn’t hold up. Kansas City’s defense has become a strength during the second half and held Lamar Jackson to 46 rushing yards in a Week 3 home win. Could they do the same in a potential AFC title game at Baltimore? It’s at least worth considering the Chiefs at plus odds.
4. San Francisco 49ers (13-3)
While the Niners defense has regressed, Jimmy Garoppolo has been much better during the second half of the season and adding Emmanuel Sanders has a lot to do with that improvement. San Francisco still trails New Orleans and Green Bay in terms of experience, but that fierce defense will be set up for success with home field advantage.]
5. Seattle Seahawks (11-5)
The Seahawks have played the Niners very tough in two meetings this season and could meet their rivals for a third matchup if they can win a Wild Card matchup at Philadelphia. Marshawn Lynch and rookie Travis Homer give Seattle’s ground attack a different dynamic and Russell Wilson remains clutch as ever. Getting Jadeveon Clowney back healthy could make a big difference for their playoff push.
6. New England Patriots (12-4)
Since we’re ranking teams according to their postseason potential, the Patriots deserve extra respect. Bill Belichick and his staff will go back to the drawing board after an embarrassing home loss to cap a rough second half of the season. The Pats are a longshot to win in Kansas City if they survive the Titans, but we can’t yet count them out.
7. Green Bay Packers (13-3)
The Packers nearly choked away a first-round bye like the Patriots did in Week 17, but Aaron Rodgers managed to pull out a last second win in Detroit. With mediocre personnel surrounding a Hall of Fame QB, Green Bay’s offense parallels that of New England. But the Packers defense is far worse and a rookie HC is not to be trusted in the loaded NFC playoffs.
8. Tennessee Titans (9-7)
Derrick Henry finished the season atop the NFL in rushing and Ryan Tannehill owns a sparkling 116.5 passer rating since taking over as a starter. It wouldn’t be surprising if former Patriot Mike Vrabel takes his team into Foxboro and ends the Patriots dynasty, and we’ve already seen Tennessee beat Kansas City this season.
9. Buffalo Bills (10-6)
Behind what is arguably the best pass defense in the league and a solid running game, Buffalo locked up a playoff berth early and nearly challenged the Patriots for the AFC East title. This team has been impressive on the road this season and is certainly capable of winning a Wild Card matchup at Houston.
10. Houston Texans (9-7)
The Texans have been wildly inconsistent this season and are not exactly blowing the doors off opponents with three of their last four wins coming by 3 points. Houston might not have enough weaponry aside from Deshaun Watson and DeAndre Hopkins to make any noise in the AFC.
11. Minnesota Vikings (10-6)
The Vikings will hope that resting their starters in Week 17 gets them ready for the monumental challenge of winning in New Orleans. Yet their offense has been moving backwards for weeks and Kirk Cousins is not proven in the clutch. We don’t give the Vikings much of a chance in that brutal matchup.
12. Dallas Cowboys (8-8)
While they failed to make the playoffs, the Cowboys flexed their incredible potential in a beatdown of the Redskins in Week 17 and should be ready to take off in 2020 with a more capable coach taking over for Jason Garrett.
13. Philadelphia Eagles (9-7)
The Eagles have overachieved by edging the Cowboys for the NFC East crown and are clearly one of the least dangerous teams (on paper) in the entire postseason. We’ll see if Carson Wentz can kindle some of the magic Doug Pederson and his staff found with Nick Foles in recent postseasons.
14. Los Angeles Rams (9-7)
A rough start to the season put the Rams too far behind and they ultimately fell short of the playoffs after making the Super Bowl. Jared Goff’s contract is an albatross and Todd Gurley may never be the same player again, but Sean McVay will make the most of his personnel and the Rams have plenty of talent with which to bounce back.
15. Atlanta Falcons (7-9)
Like the Rams, the Falcons got off to a horrible start this year and that makes their impressive second half relatively meaningless. Atlanta figured things out defensively and fittingly capped their season with a Pick Six to seal an OT win at Tampa. Dan Quinn has ceded defensive play calling duties and will be back in 2020 to lead a redemption campaign.
16. Pittsburgh Steelers (8-8)
Mike Tomlin proved this season that he can get the most out of his talent and he should have much more to work with offensively if Ben Roethlisberger (elbow) decides to forego retirement for one last ride. The Steelers have a Top 10 defense that would put them in contention if they find an answer at QB, and Cam Newton should also be available for trade.
17. Chicago Bears (8-8)
The Bears lost their best offensive lineman (Kyle Long) and best defensive lineman (Akeem Hicks) in the middle of the season, which has been overlooked when evaluating this team in terms of Mitchell Trubisky’s performance. Another potential suitor for Cam Newton, the Bears could make a leap forward with one key addition.
18. Cleveland Browns (6-10)
Freddie Kitchens became the first coach to get fired after the season and the Browns are certainly capable of bouncing back under new leadership with all that talent on their roster.
19. Tampa Bay Bucs (7-9)
The Bucs also have some questions to answer at QB after Jameis Winston posted the first 30 touchdown, 30 interception season in NFL history. With a stellar run defense and dangerous receivers to pair with Winston, this team will at least be exciting to watch next year.
20. Denver Broncos (7-9)
Drew Lock could be the solution Denver has been seeking at QB and the Broncos defense should only improve with Bradley Chubb set to return from an ACL tear next season.
21. Arizona Cardinals (5-10-1)
If the Cardinals can find some defensive playmakers (and possibly a new DC) to complement their explosive offense, this team should be very competitive next year. Unfortunately for Kyler Murray and company, the NFC West is now the best division in football.
22. Oakland Raiders (7-9)
Josh Jacobs, Hunter Renfrow, and Darren Waller are three young weapons that will help the Raiders compete going forward. Yet unless they find some answers for their woebegone secondary and get some consistency from their coaching staff, they’re bound to disappoint their new host city.
23. Los Angeles Chargers (5-11)
While Philip Rivers appears to be fading into the sunset, he could have a redemptive campaign in 2020 if the Chargers front office moves on from Anthony Lynn and finds a HC that is better positioned to work with Rivers and his talented skill players.
24. Indianapolis Colts (7-9)
All season long, the Colts soldiered on through bad breaks and misfortune. So it’s especially surprising to see Frank Reich’s squad lay an egg in their finale at Jacksonville. On the plus side, Jacoby Brissett and T.Y. Hilton should be healthy to start next season.
25. Detroit Lions (3-12-1)
David Blough nearly led the Lions to a spoiler win over Green Bay in Week 17 and he’ll likely be backing up Matt Stafford next season. Detroit’s underachieving defense struggled all year, so it’s on Matt Patricia to coach up that unit if he wants to save his job.
26. New York Giants (4-12)
The needle is pointing up for the Giants offense with Saquon Barkley healthy and Daniel Jones growing into a more reliable pro QB. Their defense, however, will need a ton of help this offseason to field a competitive team.
27. New York Jets (7-9)
What a rollercoaster season for a Jets franchise that has become quite dysfunctional, yet intends to stay the course with HC Adam Gase. Perhaps prized acquisitions Le’Veon Bell and C.J. Mosley will have a much bigger impact in 2020.
28. Jacksonville Jaguars (6-10)
When Gardner Minshew was under center, this team was quite competitive. Albeit in a small sample size, the roster seemed to quit on a struggling Nick Foles. That’s an odd situation to monitor going forward since Foles is under an expensive contract.
29. Miami Dolphins (5-11)
Gutsy is how to best describe the second half of the Dolphins season. Widely regarded as one of the least talented NFL teams this decade, Miami capped a surprising run with a stunning win at New England and Brian Flores will have this group believing when training camp opens next summer.
30. Washington Redskins (3-13)
Washington received viable play from its defense all year and the offense started to come around with Dwayne Haskins, Steven Sims, and Kelvin Harmon showing potential down the stretch. Ron Rivera is rumored to be the favorite for this coaching vacancy and he has nowhere to go but up with this franchise.
31. Carolina Panthers (6-10)
Whether its Will Grier or Kyle Allen starting the season under center, the Panthers will be well behind the 8-ball in terms of establishing a viable QB. Whomever is hired to replace Ron Rivera will have a rebuilding challenge on their hands.
32. Cincinnati Bengals (2-14)
Will Andy Dalton be able to move to a new franchise if the Bengals use the No.1 overall pick on Heisman winner Joe Burroughs? Both Dalton and A.J. Green deserve a chance to showcase their talents for a contender.
How to use NFL Power Rankings
Reading these weekly rankings (or even creating your own Power Rankings) can significantly increase your odds of placing correct bets against the spread each Sunday. You may even be able to create your own formula based on win probability, results over the past couple of seasons, and current updates.
Of course, you have to account for factors such as travel time, home-field advantage, and injuries as the season progresses. Yet early in the season, it’s possible to go against oddsmakers by sticking to your own process.
Sports bettors tend to overreact to transactions, such as Antonio Brown leaving the Steelers, and sportsbooks adjust the odds accordingly as money comes in. This creates opportunities to bet against the public as you see value appear in the market.
If you stick with the raw data, i.e. metrics on offensive line play, a quarterback’s record at home, and turnover differential, you might be able to cash big early in the season before oddsmakers and the betting public adjust. Trust your data and stay one step ahead with a comprehensive Power Rankings system.