The dust has settled after a whirlwind NBA offseason and win totals have been set for all 30 teams in the league.
Recapping some of the biggest moves:
- The Nets made a play for the future by pairing an injured Kevin Durant (Achilles) with Kyrie Irving and their pal DeAndre Jordan.
- The Jazz acquired Mike Conley via trade and solidified the roster by signing Bojan Bogdanovic amongst others.
- The Warriors look to replace Durant and an injured Klay Thompson with D’Angelo Russell and added center Willie Cauley-Stein
- Houston pried Russell Westbrook from the Thunder for Chris Paul. But Westbrook and Harden aren’t the only newly formed dynamic duo…
- Kawhi Leonard and Paul George pulled off a surprise coup in heading to their hometown Clippers.
- The Lakers finally acquired the long-sought-after Anthony Davis to pair with LeBron James, and the Blazers acquired a number of complementary pieces including Hassan Whiteside.
- Boston replaced Irving with Kemba Walker.
- Miami traded for Jimmy Butler, and the Sixers replaced Butler and J.J. Redick (signed with the Pelicans) with Josh Richardson and Al Horford.
Now at TheLines, we’re ready to digest all that news and give you an updated look at the NBA landscape. We will show you how to use that information to place Futures bets prior to the NBA season and adjust throughout the year. Specifically, we’ll highlight how to bet on Win Totals prior to the season.
How to bet NBA Futures
Futures bets are propositions, usually on how a team might fair during the season or postseason. Odds are set very early during the offseason on most sportsbooks, including the favorites to win the NBA Finals.
As of September 2019, the Los Angeles Clippers were the favorites to win it all at +330 on FanDuel Sportsbook. That means a bet of $100 would pay $330 if Kawhi Leonard and Co. bring home a trophy.
Odds are also available on Division Winners, Conference Winners, and all of the individual Postseason Awards such as MVP, Sixth Man of the Year, and more.
When a team or player is considered likely to win an award or a division, they will be listed with negative odds. So, for example, say Zion Williamson is a -155 favorite to win Rookie of the Year on DraftKings Sportsbook. It would take a bet of $155 to pay out $100 if he wins the award. Because Zion is such a favorite to win this award, DK Sportsbook offers a bet on the “field” or any other player (+120) to edge him out.
The most important thing about futures bets is to not overreact. There is so much hype surrounding professional sports, especially after such a tumultuous offseason, that it’s important to slow down and consider the tangible impact of each player added.
Yes, Leonard moved from the Raptors to a Clippers team with a stronger supporting cast, but that does not make the Clips a lock to win the NBA title? With so many contenders in the field, consider the level of risk compared to the reward, as +330 odds are not great when choosing one team out of a field of 30.
These odds are set in order to inspire action. The lines move based on how much action they get and are often an indication of where the public is leaning in terms of America’s favorite new Super Team.
Where do I find NBA win totals in a sportsbook?
In order to find win totals on an online sportsbook, simply click the NBA tab and look for a subset labeled “Team Wins” or “Regular Season Win Totals.”
All 30 NBA teams should be listed with a proposition listed between two numbers. For example, the Atlanta Hawks proposed win total is 33.5 so that 34 wins is over and 33 wins would clearly be under. If a book lists a team on an exact number and they hit that number, it’s a “Push” and your bet is returned.
Each team has different odds for going over or under their projected win total based on the sportsbook. Continuing with the Hawks example, they’re favored to go over 33.5 wins at -125 odds on FanDuel Sportsbook, whereas going under 33.5 wins has plus odds at +105.
NBA win totals FAQ
Where can I bet on season win totals in the US?
Sports betting is currently legal at a regulated sportsbook in the following states:
- New Jersey
- New Mexico
- New York
- Rhode Island
- West Virginia
Legislation is on the table in a number of states with the more states sure to legalize sports betting in the upcoming years.
What are the lowest and highest NBA win total propositions?
On FanDuel Sportsbook, the Cavs and Hornets are tied for the lowest projected win total at 23.5, while the Bucks are projected to win a league-best 57.5 games.
On DraftKings Sportsbook, the Clippers and Bucks are tied for the highest projection at 56.5 games. Since the Clippers are only projected to win 54.5 games on FD Sportsbook, that can be an exploitable number.
Can win totals change during the season?
Since win totals are a season-long proposition, they’re only available to bet prior to the start of the season. Other futures bets are available during the season, but can temporarily be taken off the board during a slate of night games.
When does the 2019-2020 NBA season start?
The regular season begins on October 22, 2019, the playoffs begin on April 18, 2020, and the 2020 NBA Finals begin on June 4.
Where can I get advice on betting NBA futures?
PlayPicks.com is a valuable resource for bettors of all levels and offers free columns to help you place wagers on the NBA, NFL, and more. New bettors can find rewarding offers and bonuses exclusive to PlayPicks.com readers that are first-time depositors.