Best Vikings At Bengals Saturday Player Prop Bets, Same Game Parlay Promos: Will Jake Browning Stay Hot?
NFL Week 15 odds feature Saturday games for the first time this season, kicking off with Minnesota at Cincinnati. With the Bengals continuing to win games even after Joe Burrow suffered a season-ending wrist injury and the Vikings holding the 6-seed in the NFC, there is everything to play for. Even despite backup QBs, both can keep their playoff chances alive. With that in mind, Vikings at Bengals player props are a fun way to attack this game for bettors.
Below, I’ll explain who I’m targeting in Saturday player prop betting markets and share available SGP odds boosts. Use our free Prop Finder Tool on TheLines.com to shop player prop prices from the best betting sites. Click on the sportsbook odds below to bet now.
Saturday NFL Player Props: Vikings At Bengals
NFL Saturday: Vikings at Bengals Player Props Strategy
The Vikings only managed to score three points in Week 14 and had to change their QB to achieve even that. Nick Mullens has had a chequered career as an occasional spot starter in the NFL, and there’s little reason to think he can excel here. That said, Jake Browning, Tommy Devito, and Zach Wilson were three of the top QBs in EPA last week.
That said, I’m inclined to trust Browning here slightly more. Against the Jaguars and then the Colts, Browning has been incredibly efficient. In the last two weeks, Browning’s third in Dropback EPA and second in Success Rate. He’s been legitimately good, somehow.
Correlating your bets is important, and in this case, I’m a bigger believer in the Bengals than the Vikings. Barely being able to move the ball against Las Vegas is such an indictment of the Vikings offense – an offense that wasn’t exactly robust against either Denver or Chicago. The Bengals become downright trustworthy by comparison.
Vikings at Bengals Player Props To Consider
Jake Browning Over Rushing Yards
Browning hasn’t been a prolific runner in the NFL, but as he was in college, he will run if needed. The Bengals’ offensive schemes have always been conducive to running lanes if the QB wants to take them. Joe Burrow would take advantage in big games, mostly avoiding running when the team was well ahead.
Browning ran for only seven yards last week, but in the highly competitive Jaguars game, he racked up 22 yards on the ground on two rushes. If this game projects to be close, Browning could bust out a run with his legs. A low total makes this an even more attractive bet.
Joe Mixon Over Rushing Attempts
Mixon has rushed the ball 40 times in Browning’s last two games. That average would put him above the number this week. The Bengals ran it even against the Jaguars, where the pre-game expectation was a pass-heavy game. Against a Vikings defense that is slightly worse against the run than the pass (ninth by EPA versus sixth). With a backup QB, if you want to stay on schedule, the Bengals will run it.
Even with Chase Brown mixing in, Mixon has been getting the workload. If Mixon increases his efficiency at all, or Brown can’t be quite as effective as a change of pace, then Mixon’s workload would increase even more. And even if that doesn’t happen, this total is low enough to exploit.
Nick Mullens: Over () Interceptions
Mullens only played 19 games with the 49ers, but in those games – his only extended use in non-garbage time in his career – he threw 22 interceptions. Some of that was that the two Niners teams he played for – the pre-Jimmy Garoppolo team and then the Jimmy G ACL tear team that ended up drafting Nick Bosa – were not very good. However, Mullens is not great, either. He is reckless with the football; he averages over an interception a game as a starter.
Even in college, Mullens threw 46 Interceptions in 44 games. Mullens has never been a safe quarterback, which is part of the job of backup quarterbacks. He won’t reduce the Vikings’ chances of an interception, and this correlates very well with the Bengals being favorites to win and Mixon getting a lot of running work.
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Potential Saturday NFL Same Game Parlay LEGS
Bengals Moneyline ()
The most NFL outcome of this game is the Bengals losing this game after beating Jacksonville and Indy, but Minnesota is worse than both teams Jake Browning has beaten. The Vikings are bottom 10 in offensive EPA the last 5 weeks, and while their defensive stats are juiced by two games with a combined 25 points scored, Browning’s Bengals look like a step up offensively.
The Bengals should be able to hold the Vikings. Last week, they were league average defensively against a Colts team that is likely tougher offensively than this Vikings squad. Yes, the Vikings get Justin Jefferson back (again), but Nick Mullens hasn’t shown any reason to think he can take advantage of that. And that’s why I’m backing Browning and the Bengals.
Best of luck betting Saturday NFL props!
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