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Sunday Night Football betting in Week 3 sees Atlanta as a field goal underdog, trying to build on a big bounce-back win at Philadelphia. Kansas City is trying to keep its 2-0 start going, but more important is whether Kirk Cousins can build on his Week 2 game-winning drive. The catalog for Underdog Fantasy picks is now available for the Chiefs at Falcons, with the best Underdog promo code offering a $1000 deposit match ahead of Sunday Night Football.
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Underdog NFL Picks: Sunday Night Football
The Falcons seemed to find some fixes to their issues in Week 2, beating the Eagles with a clutch 2-minute drill. Betting markets expect them to be competitive against KC. Whether or not you buy the Falcons is key to how you attack this game. As a hater of Kirk Cousins and a Falcons doubter, I’m expecting the Chiefs to lead for most of the game. And these correlated picks flow accordingly.
Rashee Rice Higher Than 70.5 Yards
The loss of AJ Brown limited Philadelphia’s ability to exploit the Falcons secondary but I’m betting on Rashee to break at least one big play. He’s broken this total in both games so far, and he’s had long plays north of 30 yards in both games.
The Chiefs offense is increasingly dependent on Rice. Travis Kelce has been useless so far this season, and Pacheco is hurt. This is gonna require Rice to hit at least one big play, but I think Kansas City’s offense needs a big play or two more.
Bijan Robinson Higher Than 0.5 Touchdowns
The Falcons haven’t yet gotten Bijan in the end zone, but I think that’s more a matter of luck than anything else. Kirk Cousins looked much more mobile and comfortable on Monday night than he did in Week 1. That raises the Falcons’ offensive ceiling and their general touchdown expectancy.
He’s also gotten plenty of touches in the first two games. 14 carries, and 5 targets last game could have gotten him a touchdown if not for the fact that Cousins connected on a 41-yard bomb to Darnell Mooney. Nothing has changed the fact that Bijan should be the one getting high-leverage carries in the red zone.
Xavier Worthy Lower Than 19.5 Yards Longest Reception
This is not an anti-Worthy play; this is me being opposed to the options Underdog is giving up. Worthy proved in Week 1 that he can be a big play player, but he has a lot of utility as a runner. His first touchdown was a run. If this were the biggest play rush or pass, I’d go for the higher. But the chances that Worthy can connect on a long pass on minimal targets are less clear.
The other case for this is that with Isiah Pacheco’s injury, the Chiefs might want to use Worthy more in a rushing role. If his overall usage stays the same, but his role tilts towards jet sweeps and being a rich man’s Kaderious Toney, then he might get even less than the 7 targets through 2 games he has so far.
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