Best Steelers Anytime Touchdown Prop Bets: Will Jaylen Warren Score NFL Wild Card ATTD?

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Written By Derek Wagner | Last Updated
steelers anytime touchdown

NFL Wild Card odds are on the move, and there are a lot of options at the best sports betting sites for Steelers vs. Bills to kick off Sunday’s three-game schedule. The touchdown and first TD scorer props are two of the most popular markets. Between the fun of a quarterback running one in or a wide receiver cashing with an insane catch, Steelers anytime touchdown bets have become a fan favorite for Pittsburgh fans.

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Bills vs. Steelers anytime touchdown odds

Click on any of the odds below to bet now. We’ve assembled the best available on each player so you do not have to flip between NFL betting sites and sites.

First TD Scorer Odds

Bills vs. STEELERS Anytime Touchdown Scorer Strategy

Be careful!

Bettors who are excited to bet on the Steelers anytime touchdown markets this week should be aware of the low game total. With the Over/Under bouncing around 36, there will likely be fewer scores in this game than in a higher total game. The Steelers implied team total is about 13 points, meaning sportsbooks are only projecting Pittsburgh to score one touchdown, two if they overperform.

Awareness of the total can ensure bettors do not bet too many ATTDs when there are likely fewer total touchdowns.

In this case, the two teams will play in nasty, windy NFL weather. Some mild caution should be applied here, as there may be fewer explosive plays.

steelers bills ATTD Scorer Bets

If you want to take a stab at some Steelers anytime touchdown bets, here’s who I would target.

Steelers RB Najee Harris ()

When playing in adverse weather, the Steelers’ plan is simple: feed Najee.

We saw it last week against the Ravens, so should we expect it to change in Buffalo? Mason Rudolph’s ADOT was a mere 3.1 yards last week. If the forecast holds, the explosive shots to Pickens won’t be there in this game. The Bills defense also allows 4.6 YPC, the third-highest clip in the league.

On top of that, the Steelers are averaging more than 38 rushing attempts over their last three games, which is the most in the league. The big recipient of those carries has been Harris, who has an average of 24 per game in that span. All things point to Najee, and even though his odds are short, it’s the most logical choice.

The shoulder injury Bills linebacker Tyrel Dodson is nursing could also factor in here. Dodson was one of the Bills’ best run-stoppers this season, with eight tackles for loss. If he misses, it’ll be a big loss.

Steelers TE Pat Freiermuth ()

The Bills defense boasts the eighth-highest pressure rate in the league, which should result in Rudolph having minimal time to throw. I’d expect fewer explosive plays downfield and more of a methodical approach; enter Pat Freiermuth.

Although he only scored two touchdowns in 12 games this season, he’s facing a Buffalo defense that has been soft in coverage. They allow 4.9 receptions per game (10th most) to the TE position. That’s partially due to the loss of linebacker Matt Milano in Week 5.

In the redzone, they’ve been fantastic against TEs, allowing only three touchdowns to the position this season. That said, when the Steelers get into the redzone, they lob it up to the 6-foot-5 Freirmuth, who will likely draw Jordan Poyer in coverage.

Steelers RB Jaylen Warren ()

Although he’s not seen as a traditional goal-line back, Warren is still getting touches in the redzone. For the season, he’s getting 32% of the carries there and three carries inside the 10 over the past two weeks. The touchdown opportunity is there, especially when you factor in the increased running volume from the Steelers offense.

Should they go to the air, I’d expect a heavy dose of Warren there as well, given the expected weather. Short checkdowns and screens to Warren should be plentiful in this game. Warren and Najee combined for 10 catches in dreadful weather last week, so that shouldn’t change now.

Additionally, the Bills have given up 45 explosive rushes of 10 yards or more, and with Warren’s elusiveness in the open field, he’s always a threat to pop a big one.

Best of luck betting Steelers anytime touchdown odds vs. Bills!

2023 Steelers TD Scorer Stats

Player GP Games Played ATT Rushing Attempts YDS Rushing Yards YDS/C Yards Per Carry YDS/G Rushing Yards Per Game TDS Rushing Touchdowns
Najee Harris – RB 172551,0354.160.98
Jaylen Warren – RB 171497845.346.14
Calvin Austin III – WR 1711575.23.41
Kenny Pickett – QB 1242541.34.51
George Pickens – WR 173186.01.10
Mason Rudolph – QB 41080.82.00
Connor Heyward – TE 17100.00.00
Godwin Igwebuike – RB 12000.00.00
Player GP Games Played TGTS Targets REC Receptions YDS Receiving Yards CTP% Catch Percentage YDS/R Yards Per Reception YAC/G Yards After Catch Per Game TDS Receiving Touchdowns
George Pickens – WR 17106631,14059.4%18.122.85
Diontae Johnson – WR 13875171758.6%14.119.55
Jaylen Warren – RB 17746137082.4%6.128.60
Pat Freiermuth – TE 12473230868.1%9.612.12
Allen Robinson II – WR 17493428069.4%8.24.00
Calvin Austin III – WR 17301718056.7%10.64.31
Najee Harris – RB 17382917076.3%5.910.30
Connor Heyward – TE 17342316767.6%7.35.50
Darnell Washington – TE 171076170.0%8.72.90
Miles Boykin – WR 17431775.0%5.70.10
Rodney Williams – TE 132000.0%0.00.00
Dez Fitzpatrick – WR 10000.0%0.00.00
Marquez Callaway – WR 30000.0%0.00.00

STEELERS vs. Bills player props

steelers vs bills, spread, moneyline, and total

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