NRFI & YRFI Odds: MLB No Runs & Yes Runs First Inning Betting For Friday, April 26
If you want to bet on NRFI (or YRFI) odds, we have you covered at TheLines. I’ve collected the best No Run First Inning odds across various betting sites to aid your NRFI odds line shopping. Read on to find the best NRFI odds from Friday, April 26.
We’re looking at a pretty typical slate today, although some games have near-20 mph winds. Corbin Burnes, Zac Gallen, and Chris Sale (?!) all loom as potential aces for NRFI bettors. Want to learn more? Explore our “What is NRFI?” page.
| Game | Best NRFI Odds | Best YRFI Odds |
|---|---|---|
| A’s at Orioles | ||
| Dodgers at Blue Jays | ||
| Cubs at Red Sox | ||
| Cardinals at Mets | ||
| Nationals at Marlins | ||
| Guardians at Braves | ||
| Rays at White Sox | ||
| Reds at Rangers | ||
| Yankees at Brewers | ||
| Twins at Angels | ||
| Diamondbacks at Mariners | ||
| Phillies at Padres | ||
| Pirates at Giants |
Handicapping NRFI & YRFI Odds For April 26
Which games have a decent setup for NRFI odds, and which might be more attractive for YRFI bettors?
A’s At Orioles
Ross Stripling is off to a decent start, with much better ERA estimators than he had in 2023. While his 5.34 ERA looks rough, Statcast is impressed with his work, tabbing him for a 3.88 xERA. He should be able to continue providing league-average innings.
Getting through the top of the powerful Orioles order will be a tall task, but Striping certainly isn’t drawing dead.
Of course, NRFI bettors won’t have too much to worry about on the other side. Corbin Burnes is back to dominating after a hiccup in the first half of last season. He should have easy pickings mowing through the top of the A’s order, especially if leadoff dinger machine Esteury Ruiz isn’t in the lineup as projected.
NRFI odds are only a bit higher than the projected number. If a bettor likes Stripling’s chances, it should be a reasonable play.
Nationals At Marlins
The expected scoring has inched up here, thanks to a pitching change. Jesus Luzardo won’t be going. Instead, the Marlins will play a bullpen game.
While the downgrade in pure run prevention is real, this strategy allows the Marlins to match up ideally in the first inning against the top of the Nationals order.
Speaking of lineups, this game features two of the weakest offenses in MLB. Washington ranks No. 22 in wRC+, and the Fish are behind them at No. 29. Aside from CJ Abrams, these lineups lack punch. Playing in the cavernous loanDepot Park, early runs should be tough to come by.
Nationals starter Trevor Williams isn’t normally reliable, but he’s off to a hot start this year with a 2.91 ERA. The estimators that back it up. Although the regression monster is coming, this game doesn’t seem like the spot.
Twins At Angels
Bailey Ober and Patrick Sandoval are perfectly respectable starters. Ober projects above average, and Sandoval, despite his ugly 6.75 ERA, is above average.
These offenses aren’t particularly inspiring, either.
So, why does YRFI look a little bit attractive here? The wind is howling at Angel Stadium at 21 mph. That could mean dingers in a stadium with the fifth-highest home run factor.
Obviously, having the best hitter in the world batting leadoff for the Angels also helps. And he gets to face Bailey Ober, an extreme fly baller like few other pitchers (under 30% grounder rate).
Additionally, Minnesota will have its top-of-the-lineup stacked with right-handed batters. Sandoval has been roughly one half-run worse against righties by xFIP, and his command has been spotty early on.
Phillies At Padres
Under normal circumstances, Joe Musgrove and Aaron Nola would be two pitchers bettors can count on to keep scoring to a minimum. Combined, their career ERAs don’t even add up to 7.50.
However, both pitchers are struggling in the early going.
Musgrove has been pitching near replacement level. Many of his under-the-hood numbers look normal, yet something looks off here. While his BABIP is high, that doesn’t come close to explaining his 6.73 xERA.
Nola’s numbers look a bit better, but there are also warning signs. He’s working with reduced velocity (91.5 mph, down from 92.9 last year) and is well below average at inducing swinging strikes.
Both lineups pack a lot of their punch at the top as well. The Phillies got Bryce Harper back from the paternity list, as did the Padres with Manny Machado. Kyle Schwarber will also be ready to punish any mistakes from Musgrove. He’s got six dingers already.
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