NRFI & YRFI Odds: MLB No Runs & Yes Runs First Inning Betting For Wednesday, April 10
If you're looking to bet NRFI (or YRFI) in MLB odds, TheLines has you covered. Here, we'll collect the best No Run First Inning odds from a variety of betting sites to aid your NRFI odds line shopping. Read on to find the best NRFI odds from Wednesday, April 10.
It's not the most inspiring slate of pitchers today. Replacement arms are up for the Astros and Braves. And a slew of bottom-of-the-rotation lefties take the bump for teams like the Brewers, Marlins, and Orioles. Want to learn more? Explore our "What is NRFI?" page.
Programming note: we're focusing on the evening games in these articles.
Game Best NRFI Odds Best YRFI Odds White Sox at Guardians Brewers at Reds Cubs at Padres Marlins at Yankees Orioles at Red Sox Mets at Braves Astros at Royals A's at Rangers
Handicapping NRFI & YRFI Odds For April 10
Which games have a decent setup for NRFI odds, and which ones might be more attractive for YRFI bettors?
White Sox At Guardians
Erick Fedde is a guy many bettors have been excited to fade in the past. Small wonder since he has been around enough to pitch 464 MLB innings despite a 5.35 career ERA.
However, Fedde has matriculated back home after a stint in Korea, where he won not only the league's Cy Young equivalent but also MVP after an exemplary season. Fedde has reworked his arsenal by adding a changeup, and it has produced strong early results. He'll probably do a better job than the market expects against a Guardians offense that has started hot.
Meanwhile, the White Sox are already looking at the smoldering ruins of what was once at least a respectable top-of-the-order. Each of Eloy Jimenez, Luis Robert Jr., and Yoan Moncada is out injured.
In a good pitcher's park, NRFI may be worth a look here.
Mets At Braves
Allan Winans is a name few baseball fans likely recognize. He came up for a few spot starts last year for Atlanta and did fine work, though. Despite a somewhat ugly ERA over 5, he had estimators right around 4 with league-average chase and called strike+whiff rates.
Against a Mets offense that has scuffled to start the season (86 wRC+) after underperforming last year, he projects to do decently.
Of course, the scariest part of betting NRFI odds in this game comes from the other side of the ball. Atlanta projected to have probably the best offense in MLB coming into the season, and that's exactly where they sit. It isn't very close, either.
Still, Jose Quintana will do a decent job avoiding the heart of the plate, so maybe the Braves just hit into a few outs. And they have tended to start slow and do most of their damage in the later innings.
I think Winans is at least underpriced, so that side of the equation looks good for NRFI.
Marlins at Yankees
I was initially a little excited by Ryan Weathers' spring training and then the start of the season. He bumped his fastball velocity up over 97 mph after sitting 95 last year, which was a jump in and of itself.
However, he lost a tick of that back in his second start. And the results have still been pretty poor. He's walking a ton of guys (5 BB/9), hitters are pounding his stuff when they make contact (93.9 exit velocity), and his xERA is 6.1. Obviously, facing a very tough Yankees lineup, he doesn't project to have a great day.
Marcus Stroman has gone the other way, dropping a worrisome 2.3 mph from last year's velocity. Now, he's a guy who can probably survive with reduced velocity as he relies much more on weak contact than getting the ball past hitters. However, the magnitude of the drop is concerning, as is the fact he has dipped below 90. If he were going from 95 to 93, it would be a different story.
Of course, he has the great pleasure of facing the putrid Marlins offense. However, major league hitters can generally pound 89 mph heaters no matter how bad they are, or they wouldn't be getting MLB checks.
I don't mind a YRFI play here, as the market may not be pricing in Stroman's velocity drop.
Astros at Royals
Houston is calling up MLB debutant Spencer Arrighetti with Framber Valdez hitting the IL. Yes, that's a pitcher and not a pasta.
Diving a little bit into Arrighetti, he doesn't have much of a pedigree as a sixth-round college draftee. His prospect grades befit a future reliever, and his Triple-A numbers are not very inspiring. He is handing out eye-popping numbers of free passes, but perhaps he'll do better away from the automatic balls and strikes (ABS) system. Even in the high-offense league where he pitched, an ERA around 5 doesn't translate very well to MLB.
At the top of the Royals order, Maikel Garcia and especially Bobby Witt Jr. (197 wRC+!) are beating the brakes off the ball. Arrighetti might get a rude welcome.
And while Seth Lugo is a fine, roughly average starter, the top of the Houston order remains a real bear. Yordan Alvarez is practically an automatic base hit right now. He just needs someone else to step up and help him out.
Kauffman Stadium has also played surprisingly hitter-favored over the past few years with a 105 park factor.
This is my favorite one today. YRFI looks pretty nice, and the market has a number that's blindly profitable as of around noon.
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