NFL Week 15 Player Props: Will Tua Tagovailoa Produce Against The Bills?

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on December 16, 2022
NFL Week 15 player props

NFL player props have become a popular wagering option for football fans. Each week at TheLines, we break down some prop betting options from our popular YouTube show Coast 2 Coast with Josh Lander, Nate Weitzer and Mo Nuwwarah. Head over to YouTube and hit subscribe to get the latest Week 15 player props, betting information and picks analysis. It’s free to subscribe.

Let’s get to this week’s prop bets.

NFL Week 15 Player Prop Finder Tool

Simply type in the name of the player or team you are interested in betting and browse the best available odds in your state. Click on the odds in the Prop Finder Tool or anywhere in this post to bet now.

Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop: Over 235.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Back in Week 3, the Bills held Tua Tagovailoa to 186 passing yards, which had been his lowest full-game total of the season by a large margin until the Chargers put the clamps on him on Sunday Night Football.

And now, Tagovailoa again faces the Bills. This time, instead of pristine September weather in Miami, he’ll play in wintry conditions in Buffalo. The forecast calls for snow and medium-strength winds between 10-15 mph.

So why do I like the over?

Well, we’re getting an incredible discount due to these factors. Public perception of this offense has plummeted, and the market has posted a passing total 40 yards below Tagovailoa’s season average. Omit the game where he got hurt against the Bengals and it’s 54 yards below his average.

And the Bills defense, while still solid, is not as scary as it was at the beginning of the season. They’re missing stars S Micah Hyde and EDGE Von Miller. Ace coverage LB Matt Milano may play but is banged up and missed multiple practices this week.

And the weather, while potentially problematic, does seem like it should be so awful that nobody can move the ball. In fact, the total has ticked up a couple of points this week, suggesting the market believes these offenses will have some success.

I agree with that and expect at least a decent performance from Miami. That’s all Tagovailoa needs to clear this modest number.

Best Available Odds On Tua Tagovailoa Props

Week 15 NFL Player Props: Full Picks Video

This Tua Tagovailoa prop is just one of a long list of NFL Week 15 props the Coast 2 Coast crew dissected this week. For more Week 15 player props, head over to YouTube and watch the show below.

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Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

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