Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Bets For NFL Week 10: Can TJ Hockenson Score A TD?
Week 10 kicked off as expected on Thursday Night Football between the Carolina Panthers and Chicago Bears. There was just one offensive touchdown in that game. This week’s slate brings another crowd of low totals, as half of the 14 games have Over/Unders of 40 points or less. We navigated last week’s low-scoring games to earn another winning week at 2-1. Only tight end Travis Kelce let us down, failing to score in Germany against the porous Dolphins’ defense. Maybe I’m a sucker for punishment, but we’re going back to a few tight ends’ anytime touchdown odds available across the best sports betting sites. Let’s get it.
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NFL Week 10 Anytime Touchdown Odds
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Vikings TE TJ Hockenson ()
T.J. Hockenson is having a pro-bowl-worthy season for the Vikings that seems like it’s flying under the radar. Minnesota’s TE1 has 60 passes on a massive 80 targets and three scores. He caught seven of his 12 attempted targets last week against Atlanta for 69 yards despite playing with QB Joshua Dobbs for the first time ever.
Dobbs is now the starter moving forward, which should only be good for Hock. Even better for his optimistic projections, the stud wide receiver Justin Jefferson will miss at least one more week. Since JJ’s injury four games ago, Hockenson has gobbled up eight, 12, nine, and 12 targets.
This week, he gets a New Orleans Saints team that has been weak against TEs. The Saints’ secondary has devastated opposing wide receivers but has allowed the most TDs to opposing tight ends. Two of those scores came last week at the hands of the Bears’ Cole Kmet, who piled up six receptions for 55 yards. Four of the last six tight ends who have faced New Orleans have reached pay dirt.
Let’s back the new Vikings QB to seek out the team’s best pass-catcher in scoring position.
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2023 Vikings Player Stats
| Player | GP Games Played | ATT Rushing Attempts | YDS Rushing Yards | YDS/C Yards Per Carry | YDS/G Rushing Yards Per Game | TDS Rushing Touchdowns |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Mattison – RB | 11 | 148 | 542 | 3.7 | 49.3 | 0 |
| Joshua Dobbs – QB | 11 | 70 | 389 | 5.6 | 35.4 | 6 |
| Cam Akers – RB | 7 | 60 | 167 | 2.8 | 23.9 | 2 |
| Ty Chandler – RB | 11 | 33 | 160 | 4.8 | 14.5 | 1 |
| Kirk Cousins – QB | 8 | 14 | 25 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 0 |
| Brandon Powell – WR | 11 | 4 | 15 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0 |
| Jaren Hall – QB | 2 | 4 | 10 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 0 |
| Kene Nwangwu – RB | 3 | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 0 |
| Jordan Addison – WR | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Myles Gaskin – RB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Player | GP Games Played | TGTS Targets | REC Receptions | YDS Receiving Yards | CTP% Catch Percentage | YDS/R Yards Per Reception | YAC/G Yards After Catch Per Game | TDS Receiving Touchdowns |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Hockenson – TE | 11 | 102 | 75 | 736 | 73.5% | 9.8 | 25.2 | 4 |
| Jordan Addison – WR | 11 | 72 | 48 | 647 | 66.7% | 13.5 | 16.6 | 7 |
| Justin Jefferson – WR | 5 | 53 | 36 | 571 | 67.9% | 15.9 | 36.4 | 3 |
| K.J. Osborn – WR | 10 | 51 | 33 | 384 | 64.7% | 11.6 | 13.9 | 2 |
| Brandon Powell – WR | 11 | 31 | 22 | 224 | 71.0% | 10.2 | 6.6 | 1 |
| Alexander Mattison – RB | 11 | 38 | 25 | 163 | 65.8% | 6.5 | 13.1 | 3 |
| Josh Oliver – TE | 11 | 18 | 16 | 118 | 88.9% | 7.4 | 7.1 | 2 |
| Ty Chandler – RB | 11 | 10 | 9 | 80 | 90.0% | 8.9 | 6.5 | 0 |
| Cam Akers – RB | 7 | 12 | 11 | 70 | 91.7% | 6.4 | 11.1 | 0 |
| Johnny Mundt – TE | 11 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 100.0% | 9.0 | 4.6 | 0 |
| Jalen Nailor – WR | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 100.0% | 16.0 | 3.3 | 0 |
| Trishton Jackson – WR | 6 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 50.0% | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0 |
| N’Keal Harry – WR | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 |
49ers RB Christian McCaffrey ()
Same Game Parlay: CMC ATTD + 49ers ML (+116)
Christian McCaffrey’s touchdown streak with the 49ers has been fascinating from a betting perspective. Like most NFL players, McCaffrey’s odds to score in his first few games were set at plus-money. However, those odds gradually plummeted until they reached an absurd -300 earlier this year. Now that CMC is facing a top-level Jaguars’ run defense, he is listed with (somewhat) reasonable odds of ().
Eating that much juice on a TD bet doesn’t sit right with me. So, I will add the San Francisco victory into the mix to get those odds above even money. Both McCaffrey and head coach/play-caller Kyle Shannahan want him to break the record for consecutive games with a TD. A score against the Jags would give CMC 18 straight.
Jacksonville’s rush defense has been in particularly dominant form this year. Led by all-world defensive tackle Josh Allen, the Jags have limited teams to the third-fewest rushing yards at just 3.5 YPC. It’s been tough for anyone to amass yards on the ground against them, but that has led to an opening in the RB receiving game. Jacksonville coughs up the third-most receiving yards to the other team’s running backs.
McCaffrey is almost as good of a receiver as he is a runner. During his 18-game TD streak with the 49ers, eight of his 23 were through the air.
2023 49ers Player Stats
| Player | GP Games Played | ATT Rushing Attempts | YDS Rushing Yards | YDS/C Yards Per Carry | YDS/G Rushing Yards Per Game | TDS Rushing Touchdowns |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey – RB | 10 | 174 | 825 | 4.7 | 82.5 | 9 |
| Deebo Samuel – WR | 8 | 22 | 123 | 5.6 | 15.4 | 2 |
| Brock Purdy – QB | 10 | 30 | 121 | 4.0 | 12.1 | 2 |
| Jordan Mason – RB | 10 | 21 | 117 | 5.6 | 11.7 | 2 |
| Elijah Mitchell – RB | 7 | 34 | 97 | 2.9 | 13.9 | 0 |
| Ray-Ray McCloud III – WR | 10 | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | 2.3 | 0 |
| Tyrion Davis-Price – RB | 1 | 6 | 21 | 3.5 | 21.0 | 0 |
| George Kittle – TE | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Sam Darnold – QB | 5 | 8 | -8 | -1.0 | -1.6 | 0 |
| Player | GP Games Played | TGTS Targets | REC Receptions | YDS Receiving Yards | CTP% Catch Percentage | YDS/R Yards Per Reception | YAC/G Yards After Catch Per Game | TDS Receiving Touchdowns |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Aiyuk – WR | 9 | 61 | 43 | 831 | 70.5% | 19.3 | 24.7 | 4 |
| George Kittle – TE | 10 | 56 | 43 | 648 | 76.8% | 15.1 | 29.5 | 5 |
| Deebo Samuel – WR | 8 | 40 | 27 | 395 | 67.5% | 14.6 | 26.4 | 1 |
| Christian McCaffrey – RB | 10 | 52 | 43 | 364 | 82.7% | 8.5 | 33.6 | 5 |
| Jauan Jennings – WR | 9 | 24 | 13 | 189 | 54.2% | 14.5 | 5.4 | 0 |
| Ray-Ray McCloud III – WR | 10 | 10 | 8 | 90 | 80.0% | 11.3 | 5.9 | 0 |
| Ronnie Bell – WR | 10 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 80.0% | 12.8 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Jordan Mason – RB | 10 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 50.0% | 13.0 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Ross Dwelley – TE | 10 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 50.0% | 12.0 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Willie Snead IV – WR | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 100.0% | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0 |
| Elijah Mitchell – RB | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60.0% | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0 |
| Brayden Willis – TE | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Charlie Woerner – TE | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Chris Conley – WR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 |
Texans TE Dalton Schultz ()
It took a little while for Schultz and rookie quarterback CJ Stroud to find a connection. Schultz began dealing with nagging injuries around Week 3 and couldn’t stay on the field long enough to truly build a rhythm with his QB. Then, in Week 5, Stroud targeted him 10 times, connecting on seven of those attempts, including a TD score.
Since Week 4, the former Cowboy has reached pay dirt in four of five contests. Equally as promising for his projections, he’s upped his snap share from 46% in Week 4 to 77% over the last two games. He’s also seen seven red zone targets, tied for the most among TEs during that time.
The Bengals should provide a soft defense around the middle of the field and up the seams. Cincinnati has allowed four TDs to opposing tight ends, suitable for second-most this season. We’re getting an excellent price for Schultz to put up his fifth score in six games.
Best of luck betting anytime touchdown odds this week!
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2023 Texans Player Stats
| Player | GP Games Played | TGTS Targets | REC Receptions | YDS Receiving Yards | CTP% Catch Percentage | YDS/R Yards Per Reception | YAC/G Yards After Catch Per Game | TDS Receiving Touchdowns |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Collins – WR | 9 | 64 | 43 | 696 | 67.2% | 16.2 | 33.3 | 4 |
| Tank Dell – WR | 9 | 67 | 42 | 659 | 62.7% | 15.7 | 16.2 | 6 |
| Dalton Schultz – TE | 10 | 59 | 39 | 453 | 66.1% | 11.6 | 17.5 | 5 |
| Noah Brown – WR | 5 | 28 | 21 | 439 | 75.0% | 20.9 | 38.2 | 1 |
| Robert Woods – WR | 8 | 54 | 28 | 286 | 51.9% | 10.2 | 9.4 | 1 |
| John Metchie III – WR | 9 | 11 | 10 | 123 | 90.9% | 12.3 | 5.3 | 0 |
| Dameon Pierce – RB | 7 | 12 | 9 | 84 | 75.0% | 9.3 | 12.3 | 0 |
| Devin Singletary – RB | 10 | 15 | 12 | 59 | 80.0% | 4.9 | 6.9 | 0 |
| Brevin Jordan – TE | 7 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 100.0% | 10.2 | 3.6 | 1 |
| Mike Boone – RB | 9 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 77.8% | 5.7 | 3.7 | 0 |
| Teagan Quitoriano – TE | 7 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 66.7% | 16.5 | 2.6 | 0 |
| Steven Sims – WR | 1 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 100.0% | 12.5 | 25.0 | 0 |
| Dalton Keene – TE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Eric Saubert – TE | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 |
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