Josh’s Best NBA Player Prop Bets For Monday Night: Will Julis Randle Score 19+ Points?
We start off the work week with a small NBA slate on Monday. It’s a tough night for picking sides, although Nate and I both like the Knicks to cover against the Celtics. There are, however, plenty of solid options among NBA player prop bets. Two of the four matchups hold totals of around 230 points and are nice spots to find some overs. I’m 3-3 in article plays and have three more player props for tonight. Let’s climb over .500!
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Julius Randle over 18.5 points
Use our player props search tool to find the best odds for NBA props on your favorite players. If you’re interested in betting spreads, TheLines.com’s Lead Writer Mo Nuwwarah is off to a 10-4-1 start to the season, and all his bets can be found in the #staff-basketball-bets channel of our free Discord.
Editor’s Note
Randle endured a brutal start to the season on offense. Through the first six games, he averaged 13.7 PPG with awful shooting splits of 27% FG / 22% 3P / 61% FT. To his credit, he chose to pass more rather than continuing to force shots, posting seven assists per game on 10 potential assists. His free throw rate took a massive hit as well, dropping to five per game.
Still, none of this was truly sustainable for a power forward with Randle’s touch—especially not one whose primary objective has always been to score first.
Over his last three games, the All-Star forward has upped his usage rate to 34% from the 25% he held after the first six. His free throw attempts are up to more than seven a night, leading to a nice jump in his scoring to 24 PPG. Simply put, the version of J Randle, the Knicks’ choppy offense has come to rely upon, is back.
Let’s not forget how much Randle loves competing with the division-rival Celtics either. In his first two games as a Knick, Randle only put up 18 points combined. Since then, in 13 matchups with Boston, he’s averaged 24 per game, eclipsing 19 points in all but two of them. We’re still getting great value on a low points prop thanks to his initial shooting woes, which included a 1-10 night in the opener against this Celtics squad. We shouldn’t see Randle’s points prop this low too often, so let’s jump on it while it lasts.
Knicks vs. Celtics Player Props
Kevin Huerter Over 15.5 Points
Sacramento will be without starting point guard De’Aaron Fox for the sixth straight game on Monday night. Through the first three games of his absence, the lack of a point guard on offense truly showed, as the Kings averaged 95 points per game. Over the last two, however, the answer has been Kevin Huerter.
Huerter put up 17 and 28 points, respectively, over the last two contests. His minutes rose dramatically, and with them, his usage rate. Through the first three games without Fox, the guard, fondly known as Red Velvet, couldn’t stay on the court due to foul trouble. He averaged just 9 PPG on a 19% usage rate in less than 23 minutes of action. The usage rate was always there, but the minutes weren’t.
Over the last two games, Huerter’s ability to stay on the court has benefited himself and the team. Sacramento won its last two as Huerter has maintained his ability to stay out of foul trouble. He climbed up to 37.5 minutes per game vs. the Trail Blazers and Thunder, averaging 22.5 PPG on a 22% usage rate. The Kings are well aware that Huerter is their best scoring option from the wing in Fox’s absence, both in terms of creating his own shot or playing off of Domantas Sabonis.
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