Best NBA Player Props For In-Season Tournament Tuesday: Bets On LeBron, Durant, Same Game Parlay
NBA In-Season Tournament action continues with odds available across the best betting sites for both games. Tuesday night offers another pair of quarterfinal matchups featuring the Knicks at the Bucks and Suns at the Lakers. I’m backing the superstars to shine in the Western Conference game and targeted NBA player props for LeBron James and Kevin Durant. In the East, expect another bludgeoning affair between the Knicks and Bucks, providing us opportunities to attack rebounding props. Make sure you know the NBA In-Season Tournament rules before betting.
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NBA Bet: Kevin durant over points AND Rebounds (1 unit)
Use our player props search tool to find the best odds for NBA props on your favorite players. If you’re interested in betting spreads, discuss betting angles with other NBA bettors in our free Discord.Editor’s Note
This game is full of juicy narratives, not the least being the longstanding rivalry (and respect) between LeBron and KD. Durant will always be regarded as slightly below The King, and he knows it. It’s also hugely impactful towards his success against LeBron’s teams.
Over his last three meetings with L.A., including one as a member of the Nets, Durant is averaging 36 PPG and 10 RPG. He’s shooting 50% from both the field and the 3-point line on a 38% usage rate. Devin Booker was absent from one of those games, contributing to Durant’s increased usage. In nine games this season with Booker in the lineup, KD has averaged a 31% usage rate, well below his average vs. LeBron-led teams.
Still, 31% is a healthy dose of shot attempts. Plus, Booker will continue to act as the main ballhandler and facilitator, allowing Durant to act as an off-ball scorer. With Booker, he’s still dropping 30.4 points a night while shooting 58% from deep.
I’m projecting between 30 and 35 points from Durant tonight. A few rebounds should put us comfortably over his prop line on Tuesday.
NBA Bet: lebron james over Points (1u)
We can’t expect Kevin Durant to go off without addressing how LeBron James will react. When KD puts up big numbers, James usually responds in kind. A case in point is the Group Stage game between Phoenix and L.A. when these two combined for 70 points and 20 rebounds.
If Monday’s IST games are any indication, Tuesday’s doubleheader should provide a couple of playoff atmospheres. A rested LeBron James in the playoffs usually equates to a big night in the box scores. Last postseason, he went over this points prop in five of his last seven games.
While some may look at James’s recent output over his last five games as a reason to fade him on Tuesday, I have the opposite view. He may have gone under 26 points in all five, but each situation was much less favorable than the one he will face at home vs. Phoenix. Four of the five defenses he played were notably better than Phoenix’s 20th-ranked unit. The only team with a higher defensive rating was Detroit. In that one, LeBron put up 25 points in 29 minutes in a Lakers’ blowout before sitting the entire fourth quarter.
Lakers vs. Suns Player Props
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NBA same game parlay: Khris Middleton 4+ reb / brook lopez 4+ reb / giannis antetokounmpo 4+ assists (0.5u)
This parlay will net you exactly or right around +160 on BetMGM. NBA player props in this SGP are fairly conservative, so I like the plus money we get if it hits.
Khris Middleton Rebounds
Starting with Khris Middleton’s rebounds, I feel most confident in his prop line on Tuesday. I’m also going to put 0.5 units on his core line of . Middleton has recorded at least four rebounds in each of his last four meetings with the Knicks.
Defensively, he matches up with the Knicks’ athletic, off-ball players such as Josh Hart, Quentin Grimes, and Donte DiVincenzo. With all due respect, his days of guarding the other team’s best scorers are behind him. As a result, he’s often standing near the baseline to defend against a corner three and to box out potential offensive rebounders. That’s how the game shapes out for most small forwards who face New York, resulting in the Knicks allowing the eighth-most rebounds per game to opposing SFs.
Brook Lopez Rebounds
Brook Lopez increases his rebound chances via almost the same premise. On defense, he’s responsible for boxing out Knicks’ center Mitchell Robinson. This keeps him closer to the basket than he might otherwise be when defending more versatile big men. In the teams’ first matchup this season, Lopez saw 19 rebound chances, collecting five of them. That’s not a great rebound percentage, but he’s averaged 15 rebound chances vs. New York over the last four games, collecting at least four rebounds in each of them.
Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists
Most NBA teams deploy the same strategy vs. Giannis: Build a wall with your tallest players and place it right at the foul line. The idea is to keep him from building enough speed to make him nearly unstoppable. Only a few teams can achieve their goal, however, and the Knicks are one of them.
When Antetokounmpo meets Julius Randle and Mitchell Robinson at the foul line, he’s proven more likely to pass out than force his way to the rim. He’s recorded at least four assists in four straight against the Knicks, including earlier this season. In those four, he’s averaged 14 potential assists, much higher than the 10.4 he averages on the season as a whole.
Knicks vs. Bucks Player Props
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