Josh’s Best NBA Player Prop Bets For Monday Night: Will James Harden Record 8 Assists?

, ,
Written By Josh Lander on November 20, 2023
nba player prop bets

NBA action rolls on with eight games on Monday night. The Nuggets, Pistons, Celtics, Kings, and Rockets are all playing for the second night in a row, so keep an eye on late-afternoon injury reports. We had a clean 2-0 sweep in last week’s NBA player prop bets article, so let’s keep it going. I’ve got three-player prop bets for tonight, including a look at James Harden’s assists in the Clippers vs. Spurs game. For my full list of plays, make sure to check out the Coast 2 Coast episode at the bottom of the page!

We’ve also listed available NBA Odds Boosts for tonight. Click Bet Now to get in on the action, and click any of the odds for NBA player prop bets below to bet now.

NBA Odds Boosts Tonight

Haliburton 11+ assists & Lakers Win
25% Boost
Haliburton 11+ assists & Lakers Win
25% Boost
Turner Over 20 Points & 10 Rebounds
40% Boost
LeBron James, Haliburton, Davis Each Over 24.5 Points


u003cpu003eu003cstrongu003eThelines.comu003c/strongu003e does not promote or endorse any form of wagering or gambling to users under the age of 21. This site encourages responsible gambling and provides advice for anyone who believes they, or someone they know, may have a gambling addiction.u003c/pu003e

TheLines recommends comparing odds boosts across the sports betting market to lock in the best available price.
Learn more about Odds Boosts here.

James Harden under 7.5 assists

Use our player props search tool to find the best odds for NBA props on your favorite players. Discuss NBA betting angles in our free Discord.

Editor’s Note

At first glance, assists doesn’t seem like a lot for the NBA’s reigning assists leader. However, Harden’s situation in Los Angeles is not like those he faced in Philadelphia, Brooklyn, or Houston. The Clippers simply don’t play the style of ball on offense that creates assist opportunities.

L.A. averages the fewest passes per game in the league, leading to the majority of their buckets coming off unassisted makes. Ty Lue’s squad posts the fourth-fewest assist points created, meaning they aren’t even creating potential assists. No team executes in isolation as often as the Clipps do, running their offense through one guy on 11.4% of their possessions. As a result, Harden has averaged fewer than 10 potential assists per game since joining the team.

It would be naive not to mention that Russell Westbrook recently volunteered to come off the bench, which could cause Harden’s assist numbers to increase. In the one game with Russ out of the starting lineup, Harden put up seven dimes against the Rockets, his highest total this season. His potential assists were still incredibly low at just 11 on the night.

It’s difficult to see Harden’s potential assists increasing to a number that gets him consistently over seven assists. I’ll keep taking the under here until the Clippers’ offense shows it can create more assist opportunities for its playmakers.

Clippers vs. Spurs Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo Over Assists

After 12 games together, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard appear to be figuring things out on offense. The Bucks’ spacing was clunky and disorganized through the first nine games despite posting a top-ten offensive rating. Such is the power of having two of the top 15 offensive players in the game on one team; you don’t need to be perfect to have success.

Over the last three games, Milwaukee’s offense is starting to click. A major reason for that is Antetokounmpo’s resurgence as a playmaker rather than as the roll man in a heavy pick-and-roll gameplan. Through the first three-quarters of the season, Giannis played the part of roll man on nearly 14% of the Bucks’ possessions. As a result, he only saw 8.2 potential assists per game and rarely found himself in space with the ball in his hands.

In his last three outings, the Greek Freak has averaged 14.2 potential assists per game. He’s been the roll man just 7% of the time, opening up his options to pass more once he has the ball. While he only managed two assists against a stingy Bulls defense, he put up nine in just 28 minutes against the Hornets and seven in the Mavericks’ last game.

Washington will afford him even more chances than normal to find open teammates. In three matchups with the Wizards last season, Giannis averaged 10 dimes per game on 17 potential assists. He also put up 23 points in the paint per game, about half as many as most teams average. Washington’s inability to stop Giannis down low with Kyle Kuzma or Deni Avdija means they have no choice but to double and triple-team him. When that happens, there are usually at least two players standing all alone for a wide-open shot.

The Wizards have only gotten worse on defense this year. I would consider a small ladder play with Antetokounmpo’s assists up to seven or more.

NBA Coast 2 Coast Podcast

Check out the NBA Coast 2 Coast podcast each and every weekday with co-host Nate Weitzer and give him a follow on Twitter, @jlboogy.

Same Game Parlay: Mitchell Robinson 8+ Rebounds / Rudy Gobert 10+ Rebounds

As two of the better rebounders and shot blockers in the league, it’s always a fun battle when Rudy Gobert and Mitchell Robinson square off. The key to this wager is that they both need to be on the floor to guard each other. Robinson has averaged nine boards in 31 minutes per game against Gobert’s teams over the last four matchups. Gobert has averaged nearly 12 in 34 minutes a contest.

Both of these big men limit their direct opponents to the fewest rebounds per game. The Knicks are number one at limiting opposing centers’ rebounds, the Timberwolves are second.

There should also be a decent amount of rebound chances for both of these teams. New York elicits the fourth-most rebound chances, snatching up more of them than any other team. Despite playing at the slowest pace in the league, the Knicks still take the fourth-most shots. That’s in part because they get so many second chances off of offensive rebounds. The other reason is that they miss so many shots, posting the fourth-lowest true shooting percentage.

Expect Rudy to limit the amount of rebounds and shots available to the Knicks in this one. He’s leading the league with more than 22 rebound chances per game. At a 57% individual rebound rate, that should push Gobert past the 10 boards we need from him.

Best of luck with your NBA player prop bets.

Best Sportsbook Promos For NBA Player Prop Bets

UP TO $1,000
In Bonus Bets
First Bet Safety Net up to $1,000, or Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets
Sign Up, Deposit and Play Today in VA!
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Use Bonus Code: THELINESVA
Up to $250
Bonus Bet with First Wager
First Bet Reset Up to $250 Back in Bonus Bets 
Get Betway Boosts & Enhanced Odds
To Claim: Click Play Now
UP TO $1,500
In Bonus Bets
$1,500 Paid Back in Bonus Bets
Free Live Streaming – Watch Live Games
Use Bonus Code: THELINES
$1,000 FIRST BET
On Caesars
Up to $1,000 Back as a Bonus Bet if Your Bet Loses
Stream NFL Games In-App for Free
21+ Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Use Promo Code: THELINES1000
Bet $5
Get $150
In Bonus Bets
Up to $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Team Wins
Available on Desktop, Android & iOS
To Claim: Click Play Now
$100 bonus
No Regret First Bet
Up to $100 Back if Your First Bet Doesn’t Hit
Get Your Bets Boosted
To Claim: Click Play Now
$500 BONUS
2nd Chance Bet
Up To $500 in Bet Credits
ONLY 1x Play Through!
Use Exclusive Bonus Code: LINESRIV

21+ in most states to use sportsbook bonus codes. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.