Best Eagles At Cowboys SNF Player Prop Bets, Same Game Parlay Promos: Will Jalen Hurts Score Again?

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Written By Evan Scrimshaw | Last Updated
Week 16 Anytime Touchdown

Sunday Night Football odds for Week 14 feature the battle for the NFC East at Jerry World, as the Philadelphia Eagles go to Dallas to play the Cowboys. The Eagles (10-2) can take a stranglehold on the NFC East lead, while Dem Boyz (9-3) could create a tie at the top. It is surely one of the best games of the rest of the regular season. Given that, SNF player props will be bet even more than usual.

Below, I’ll explain who I’m targeting in those SNF player props and share available SGP odds boosts. Use our free Prop Finder Tool on TheLines.com to shop player prop prices from the best betting sites. Click on the sportsbook odds below to bet now.

snf Player Props: eagles At cowboys

Eagles At Cowboys Same Game Parlay Strategy

This game hinges in many ways on the Eagles, whether they’re as good as their record indicates. Some metrics disagree. The Eagles have the best record in the league, but they’re only eighth in overall DVOA, worse than the Cowboys, who rank fifth. On defense, the Birds rank 27th by both DVOA and EPA. The Eagles just aren’t the team they were last year, according to advanced stats.

Correlating our bets on that fundamental truth is the key this week. Correlation betting is the key to profitability on props and SGPs, and in a situation where the line is this close, getting the side right can be pretty significant. The other thing is that the fact that there are two top-five offenses by EPA in this game means overs and anytime touchdown bets are more likely to hit than in a low total slugfest of mediocre-to-bad offenses.

SNF Player Props TO COnsider

Jake Ferguson Overs

Bettors who took George Kittle’s over last week against the Eagles cashed it in the first half, with the Eagles being terrible across the middle of the field. Dalton Kincaid had five catches in a half against the Eagles two weeks ago as well, showing their vulnerability.

Ferguson got six catches for 77 yards and a touchdown last week, showing evidence of a deepening connection with Dak Prescott. With the Eagles’ weaknesses across the middle, Ferguson put up 7-91-1 in Philly. In the rematch, he will be key to the Cowboys’ passing attack this week.

Jalen Hurts Anytime Touchdown ()

Hurts has been the ultimate goal-line voucher this year. He has 12 rushing TDs overall and six in the last four weeks. Hurts has decided that anything at or near the goal line will be his territory. And the market’s still not pricing him like that.

The concern is the Cowboys defense – they are third by EPA and have been very good. That said, the Seahawks did slice them up last week, and the Niners, the only other top-five EPA offense they’ve faced, lit them up for 40. I don’t think Hurts and Co. can quite do that, but the chances he can get across the line at least once aided by the Brotherly Shove are better than this price.

Tony Pollard Anytime Touchdown ()

Pollard was aggravating earlier in the season, but in the last three weeks, he’s been better. With touchdowns in all three, Pollard’s usage has increased, and last week he saw 23 touches. This bet depends on the Cowboys being able to move the ball efficiently, but the Eagles’ 27th-ranked EPA defense means they should be able to do it.

The Cowboys have many options to score the ball, but Pollard has been more involved in the offense in recent weeks, and should be able to extend his TD streak to four games.

Potential Legs To Add To Same Game Parlays

Dallas Moneyline ()

The Cowboys are the better team in this game. It’s rare to get a situation where there’s this big of a quality gap, but there is. Dallas ranks third in both Offensive and Defensive EPA, while the Eagles are fifth on offense and 27th on defense. These teams aren’t the same quality.

The Eagles got exposed last week, showing what skeptics thought they were. Philadelphia is a good team, but not a great one. They have a defense that can’t be sustained if they don’t get pressure immediately. Plus, their impressive result against the Chiefs’ offense a couple of weeks back looks much less impressive when you remember the Chiefs just similarly struggled against Green Bay.

The Cowboys are the better team. This isn’t coming from a Cowboys evangelist but a lifelong hater of Mike McCarthy. As much as it pains me, it’s true. Best of luck betting SNF player props!

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Head To Head

STATS
Eagles logo Eagles PHI
Cowboys logo Cowboys DAL
Offense Ranking OFF RNK 3rd 11th
Defense Ranking DEF RNK 1st 12th
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG 389.1 354.9
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG 301.5 330.2
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG 241.5 219.8
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG 1.1 1.4

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SNF SGP Odds Boosts

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Learn more about Odds Boosts here.

How To Find SGP Promos

Caesars Sportsbook, bet365, BetMGM, FanDuel Sportsbook, and DraftKings Sportsbook are among the sports betting apps that frequently offer Same Game Parlay promotions for Sunday Night Football. Navigate to the promos section of the app for more information.

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