3 Best College Football Games On Week 2 Schedule by CFB Watchability
Odds are available across the best college football betting sites as Week 2 of the 2023 season is now up on us. Each week, I am going to preview the best college football games on the schedule, as measured by my “Watchability” game scores. Unlike Week 1, when the best games were spread across the primetime windows of the elongated schedule, fans will need a second screen on Saturday afternoon to catch all of the top games that Week 2 has to offer. We’ll reveal those games below and show the best available sports betting odds in your state.
Best College Football Games: Week 2 WATCHABILITY Scores
To summarize, Watchability is a weighted rating of projected quality (average KFord Ratings) and projected competitiveness (projected KFord spread) presented on a 0-100 scale. Which games are projecting to be the best in Week 2? Let’s discuss. Click on the odds to bet.
No. 11 Texas at No. 3 Alabama (89.8 Watchability Score)
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Odds updated September 9th, 2023, at 9:33 pm
One of the most highly anticipated non-conference games of the entire year kicks off at 7:00 p.m. ET from Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Alabama.
The Crimson Tide is my new No. 1 power-rated team this week, supplanting Georgia and passing Ohio State as well. Alabama looked good from the jump in their 56-7 win over Middle Tennessee in Week 1, and are now 1.5 points clear of the Bulldogs and Buckeyes atop my ratings and boast the No. 2 offense – led by new QB1 Jalen Milroe – and No. 6 defense in the nation. This is now projected as Alabama’s most difficult remaining game of the season, and I fully expect Nick Saban to have the Tide ready after a narrow 20-19 victory in Austin last season.
Even though Texas won 37-10 against Rice in Week 1, the Longhorns’ performance did not live up to the model’s lofty expectations, so Texas is down from No. 6 to No. 12 this week. While the defense actually improved from No. 16 to No. 12, it was Quinn Ewers-led offense that tumbled from No. 11 to No. 25.
I’m fairly certain the Longhorns held some things back in Week 1 as to not put everything on tape for the Tide to study. But my numbers favor Alabama on both sides of the ball, and this game is in Tuscaloosa, where Nick Saban hasn’t lost since the 2019 thriller against eventual national champion Joe Burrow and the LSU Tigers
My numbers project Alabama to win by 12.5, which equates to an 81% win expectancy for the Crimson Tide.
No. 23 Texas A&M at Miami (89.0 Watchability Score)
Texas A&M’s rating rose nearly a point this week, but their corresponding ranking fell one spot. It’s a good reminder that rating movement and ranking movement aren’t always the same. Fans should be more concerned with rating movement, so it was a good performance for A&M in their 52-10 victory against New Mexico in Week 1. Particularly on the offensive side the ball, as the Aggies offense rose from No. 49 to No. 28. The model liked what it saw in game 1 under new offensive coordinator Bobby Petrino.
Miami was my No. 1 biggest underachiever in 2022. But the Hurricanes took a big step towards putting last year behind them in a really solid 38-3 win against Miami (OH) in Week 1. The Canes are up 3.5 points in the ratings, and both units improved significantly. The offense rose from No. 55 to No. 37 while the defense jumped from No. 28 to No. 13. My biggest question is will the No. 37 Miami offense be able to score enough points against the No. 11 Texas A&M defense to pull off the upset?
My numbers project Texas A&M to win by two, which equates to a 55% win expectancy for the Aggies.
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No. 20 Ole Miss at #24 Tulane (84.9 Watchability Score)
It’s not every week we have a ranked Power Five team travelling to a Group of Five stadium. The Rebels demolished Mercer 73-7 last week, and their rating improved nearly five points as a result. The offense improved from No. 16 to No. 7 behind stellar play from QB Jaxson Dart and should be the best unit on the field in this one.
At No. 38 overall, Tulane is my highest power-rated Group of Five team. That’s up from No. 44 last week after the Green Wave took down another G5 power in South Alabama by a score of 37-17. This is the only game all season in which my numbers project Tulane to be an underdog. They’ll have the home crowd behind them, and the confidence that they can beat anyone following last year’s Cotton Bowl victory over USC.
My numbers project Ole Miss to win by 8.5, which equates to a 73% win expectancy for the Rebels.
College Football Schedule: Week 2 Watchability Scores
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