Best Chiefs Anytime Touchdown Prop Bets For Super Bowl 58: Can Rashee Rice Score TD?
The last game of the NFL season is here, with the 49ers favored over Kansas City in Super Bowl odds. No game is bigger than the Super Bowl for prop betting. In this article, we’ll break down Chiefs anytime touchdown odds for this matchup and who from Kansas City might be worth a Super Bowl ATTD bet.
Find point spread, total, and moneyline odds at the bottom of the article. For more in-depth Chiefs odds and 49ers odds, be sure to check out our NFL team pages.
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49ers vs. Chiefs Anytime Touchdown Odds: Super Bowl 58
Compare ATTD odds from the best NFL betting sites below. Click on odds anywhere in the table to place an ATD bet.
Super Bowl First TD Scorer Odds
Chiefs Anytime Touchdown Scorer Strategy
The Chiefs are underdogs, and the game carries a -point over/under. Implied team totals make the expected final score: 49ers 25, Chiefs 23. That means we should expect three touchdowns from the Chiefs.
Isiah Pacheco has been a touchdown machine for the Chiefs, particularly in the second half of the season. Unfortunately, after I highlighted him in this space multiple weeks in a row, the market finally fixed his price as he opened around -130 in touchdown scorer markets. That has lengthened a tad as money has rightfully come in on other players. But I still don’t see much value in backing Pacheco, so I had to dig a little deeper. The Travis Kelce ATTD odds don’t look terribly attractive either in a minus matchup.
Chiefs ATTD Scorer Bets
Will Chiefs WR Rashee Rice score a touchdown? ()
If I’m dubious of the Pacheco and Kelce prices, that leaves an obvious pivot to Rice. He enjoyed a brief stint as a go-to scoring weapon, with three scores in four games late in the season. Of late, he has faded in favor of the other stars, failing to score and not having terribly productive games against the Bills and Ravens.
Prior to that, he did ravage the Dolphins for 130 yards and a TD, though. And I like buying low here in a spot where the 49ers probably have two options. Either they can play their normal defense, which involves a lot of zone, or they can switch to more man coverage.
If the Niners do play their normal defense, they figure to at least hone in on noted zone-buster Kelce with extra eyes. That leaves less attention on Rice, and he’s been tremendous against zone as well.
If the Niners opt for some man coverage, which Rice has struggled more against, he still has ways of doing damage. For one, the Niners don’t really have the slot cover options to run with Rice. For another, the Chiefs may still turn him into a runner with the screen game, as they did with a long TD against the Ravens that got called back.
Either way, Rice looks like the main value play here.
Will Chiefs WR Mecole Hardman score a touchdown? ()
This might be lunacy, and I’m not saying I’m betting this, but bear with me here. Why would I suggest a Super Bowl ATTD bet on a guy who played one offensive snap in the AFC Championship? I’ll attempt to explain.
One much-discussed recent talking point has involved the 49ers’ weakness at holding the edges on outside rushes. They’ve been quite vulnerable there this year, but those sorts of runs aren’t a strong suit of Pacheco, who much prefers to stay inside the tackles.
Obviously, the Chiefs have tried to make Hardman the jet sweep guy, only for it to blow up in their faces before they benched him against Baltimore. But what if they give him another shot?
It’s not as crazy as it sounds. In fact, there’s some proof of concept from last year’s meeting. Incredibly, Hardman scored three times, including twice on rushes. The Chiefs don’t have to dig deep through the tape to find that and consider trying to exploit it here.
Again, I’m not saying I’m betting this, but I’m not finding a lot of value in these Chiefs ATTD numbers this week outside of Rice. I think this is a reasonable shot to take on a longshot whom the market has essentially priced into irrelevance.
Best of luck with your Super Bowl anytime touchdown odds bets.
Chiefs TD Scorer Stats
Player | GP Games Played | ATT Rushing Attempts | YDS Rushing Yards | YDS/C Yards Per Carry | YDS/G Rushing Yards Per Game | TDS Rushing Touchdowns |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kareem Hunt – RB | 2 | 41 | 171 | 4.2 | 85.5 | 1 |
Isiah Pacheco – RB | 2 | 34 | 135 | 4.0 | 67.5 | 1 |
Carson Steele – FB | 4 | 28 | 105 | 3.8 | 26.2 | 0 |
Patrick Mahomes – QB | 5 | 23 | 83 | 3.6 | 16.6 | 0 |
Xavier Worthy – WR | 5 | 6 | 42 | 7.0 | 8.4 | 2 |
Samaje Perine – RB | 5 | 11 | 39 | 3.5 | 7.8 | 1 |
Rashee Rice – WR | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
Travis Kelce – TE | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
Keaontay Ingram – RB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 |
Player | GP Games Played | TGTS Targets | REC Receptions | YDS Receiving Yards | CTP% Catch Percentage | YDS/R Yards Per Reception | YAC/G Yards After Catch Per Game | TDS Receiving Touchdowns |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rashee Rice – WR | 4 | 29 | 24 | 288 | 82.8% | 12.0 | 46.5 | 2 |
Travis Kelce – TE | 5 | 31 | 24 | 228 | 77.4% | 9.5 | 14.3 | 0 |
Xavier Worthy – WR | 5 | 21 | 12 | 179 | 57.1% | 14.9 | 19.5 | 2 |
JuJu Smith-Schuster – WR | 5 | 12 | 9 | 147 | 75.0% | 16.3 | 2.3 | 1 |
Noah Gray – TE | 5 | 11 | 10 | 119 | 90.9% | 11.9 | 10.3 | 0 |
Justin Watson – WR | 5 | 8 | 6 | 87 | 75.0% | 14.5 | 5.8 | 0 |
Isiah Pacheco – RB | 2 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 87.5% | 7.7 | 41.0 | 0 |
Samaje Perine – RB | 5 | 9 | 6 | 52 | 66.7% | 8.7 | 9.3 | 0 |
Mecole Hardman – WR | 5 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 100.0% | 8.3 | 0.0 | 0 |
Kareem Hunt – RB | 2 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 75.0% | 10.3 | 0.0 | 0 |
Jared Wiley – TE | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 100.0% | 7.0 | 0.8 | 0 |
Jody Fortson – TE | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 100.0% | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0 |
Carson Steele – FB | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 40.0% | 1.0 | 2.8 | 0 |
Skyy Moore – WR | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 |
Peyton Hendershot – TE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 |
Kansas City Chiefs Vs. San Francisco 49ers Player Props
Chiefs Vs. 49ers Spread, Moneyline, and Total
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