Belmont Stakes Betting Guide

Odds, Analysis And Picks For 2022

Belmont Stakes odds

The Belmont Stakes is the third and final leg of the American Triple Crown. The race takes place on the first Saturday in June at Belmont Park. In 2021, the race took place on June 5.

The Belmont Stakes returned to its traditional 1 1/2 mile distance in 2021 following a shortened race in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Essential Quality was the victor in the 2021 race, winning with 6/5 odds. Hod Rod Charlie (9/2) finished second, while Preakness winner Rombauer (5/1) finished third.

On this page we will look at horse racing betting odds for the 2022 Belmont Stakes and more.

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Belmont Stakes odds 2021

Here were the morning line odds for the 2021 Belmont Stakes.

Post PositionHorseOddsJockeyTrainer
1Bourbonic15-1Kendrick CarmoucheTodd Pletcher
2Essential Quality2-1Luis SaezBrad Cox
3Rombauer3-1John VelazquezMichael McCarthy
4Hod Rod Charlie7-2Flavien PratDoug O'Neill
5France Go de Ina30-1Ricardo Santana Jr.Hideyuki Mori
6Known Agenda6-1Irad Ortiz Jr.Todd Pletcher
7Rock Your World9-2Joel RosarioJohn Sadler
8Overtook20-1Manny FrancoTodd Pletcher

Belmont Stakes payouts

Here are the Belmont Stakes payouts:

Essential Quality

  • Win: $4.60
  • Place: $3.00
  • Show: $2.60

Hot Rod Charlie

  • Place: $4.10
  • Show: $2.90

Rombauer

  • Show: $3.50

$1 Exacta

  • $7.50

$1 Trifecta

  • $21.70

$1 Superfecta

  • $60.70

Belmont race schedule and where to watch

Here is more information and tips on betting the Belmont Stakes, and how you can watch and wager on this year’s event.

  • Date: Saturday, June 5, 2021
  • Time: 6:48 p.m. ET
  • TV: NBC
  • Tablet, Online, Mobile: NBC Sports App and streamed live on NBCsports.com/live and fuboTV
  • Track & Location: Belmont Park in Elmont, NY
  • Distance: 1 1/2 miles
  • Surface: Dirt
  • Horses: 3-Year-Old Thoroughbreds
  • Track Record: Secretariat  (2:24.00 in 1973)
  • Largest Margin of Victory: Secretariat, 31 lengths in 1973

Horses to Watch

 

Looking back over the past 15 years, we’ve seen some surprising winners in the Belmont Stakes. Excluding last year’s schedule and distance change to 1 1/8 miles, and the two Triple Crown winners of 2015 and 2018, the history chart below shows 10-of-12 winners of at least 6/1 odds, and eight of those winners closing at double-digits.

So before you wager to win on Essential Quality or Preakness winner Rombauer as the two favorites, know the grueling 1 ½ mile Belmont Stakes produces plenty of winners with strong pedigree and not just popular favorites. Five Kentucky Derby runners who skipped the Preakness will race in this year’s Belmont Stakes, and four of them are leading contenders.

Here are the horse profiles for the 153rd running of the Belmont Stakes and “The Test of the Champion” following the post draw and odds for the eight runners. For reference, Equibase’s Speed Figures (ESF) tells you how fast a horse has been running in each of its races — adjusted for track, distances, and conditions.

Favorites

Essential Quality (2-1): Essential Quality was 5-for-5 before finishing a close fourth in the Kentucky Derby as the 5/2 favorite. He traveled wide around both turns in the 1 ¼ mile Derby, and still tied his career best Equibase Speed Figure of 109 in the Kentucky Derby. Essential Quality is versatile and has shown speed up front and also from off the pace with strong finishing ability. The 2-time Grade I winner is a son of Tapit, who has sired three Belmont Stakes winners since 2014. Essential Quality is the first Belmont Stakes starter for trainer Brad Cox, and jockey Luis Saez rides in his fifth Belmont Stakes looking for his first win.

Rombauer (3-1): Rombauer powered home to win the Preakness at 11/1 odds, and has now finished 1st, 2nd and 3rd in three Grade I and II races. He also finished a distant fifth at long odds last November in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile behind winner Essential Quality and runner-up Hot Rod Charlie. In his second start of 2021, Rombauer finished a distant third behind Essential Quality in the Blue Grass Stakes. His win in the Preakness was his best ESF of 109, and he’s stalked the pace in his last two starts and showed more maturity, strength and stamina as trainer Mike McCarthy had said leading into the Preakness. He’ll need some pace up front to run into again, and faces some questions about getting this distance versus others in the field that are also more rested. Jockey John Velazquez rides Rombauer for the first time in his 25th Belmont Stakes start, and he’s a two-time winner with three other runner-up finishes.

Contenders

Hot Rod Charlie (7-2): After showing little last summer and fall, Hot Rod Charlie has since finished runner-up in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile at huge odds, and then finished third in his 2021 debut in the Grade III Robert B. Lewis. He broke through to win the 1 3/16 mile Louisiana Derby impressively before running strong to finish a close third in the 1 ¼ mile Kentucky Derby with his best speed figure (109). Trainer Doug O’Neill has his third Belmont starter, and jockey Flavien Prat gets aboard again after riding him well in the Derby. While some may question Hot Rod Charlie’s pedigree and distance ability, O’Neill is unwavered and says his colt has a “full tank” and is bigger, better and stronger after adding weight and muscle since the Derby. Hot Rod Charlie will get a stalking trip and try to hold up with the leaders down the long Belmont stretch in “The Test of the Champion.”

Rock Your World (9-2): Rock Your World is 3-for-4 with an impressive wire-to-wire 4-length win over Kentucky Derby winner Medina Spirit in the Santa Anita Derby. His 103 speed figure was his best and made him one of the main contenders in the Kentucky Derby. But Rock Your World broke poorly and was shuffled back and unable to show off his top end speed when finishing a disappointing 17th in the Derby. Rock Your World should be running on the lead in the Belmont Stakes with strong stretch rider Joel Rosario looking to keep him settled through a modest pace. Rock Your World is by super sire Candy Ride, and he’s classy and fit to go further. Rosario has finished in-the-money in 6-of-9 Belmont starts, with two wins in the last eight years riding horses with double-digit odds.

Known Agenda (6-1): Known Agenda is one of three Belmont Stakes runners for New York-based trainer Todd Pletcher, who is always a threat going a route of ground on his home track. Pletcher has won the Belmont Stakes three times with 30 starters and finished runner-up six times. A son of Curlin, Known Agenda can clearly handle the 1 ½ mile distance with solid stamina and foundation. He won the 1 ⅛ mile Florida Derby with a career-best 112 speed figure, but struggled in the Kentucky Derby along the rail and finished ninth. Leading Belmont jockey Irad Ortiz, Jr. rides Known Agenda looking for his third Belmont Stakes victory.

Long shots

Bourbonic (15-1): Bourbonic stunned the field and race fans with a Wood Memorial win at 72/1 odds in his first stakes race start in April. Trainer Todd Pletcher was not as surprised by his emerging and maturing colt, who posted his best speed figure (100). But Bourbonic never fired from the very back and finished 13th in the Kentucky Derby. Bourbonic is a classic closer, and well bred for the distance as a son of Bernardini with A.P. Indy bloodlines. Jockey Kendrick Carmouche will try to pull off another shocker in his first Belmont Stakes start.

Overtook (20-1): Overtook completes the Todd Pletcher trifecta of runners in the Belmont. He’s also a son of Curlin, and showing improvement as he gets stronger. Overtook finished third in local Belmont Stakes prep, the Grade III Peter Pan in early May off a three month layoff. He posted his best speed figure (99) in that race in his fifth start. Overtook has been working sharply since over the Belmont track, but lacks the competition and proven profile of the leading favorites and contenders. However, other well-bred, improving distance runners have pulled of surprising finishes when stepping up to handle the grueling Belmont Stakes distance.

France Go de Ina (30-1): The longest shot in the Belmont Stakes is France Go de Ina. He finished sixth in the UAE Derby, and then faded to seventh in the Preakness after stalking along the backstretch towards the far turn. The Japanese-trained colt has the stamina and pedigree to go further, but hasn’t shown enough speed to match-up thus far in his biggest races. Trainer Hideyuki Moriwill has his first Belmont Stakes starter, and selected Ricardo Santana, Jr. to ride in his third Belmont Stakes.

Horse racing wagers and bets

In addition to the traditional “straight” wagers (Win, Place, Show), fans can also attempt to cash big in the various “exotic” pools. Exacta (first two), Trifecta (first three) and Superfecta (first four) wagering are all offered, and cashing a ticket in any of these pools can produce a bigger payday.

  • Win: Bet on the horse you think you will win the Belmont Stakes.
  • Place: Get paid the place price if your horse finishes first or second.
  • Show: A show bet pays the least, but you win and get paid the show price if your horse finishes first, second or third.
  • Exacta: Predict the first two horses in the correct order.
  • Trifecta: Predict the first three horses in the correct order.
  • Superfecta: Predict the first four horses in the correct order.
  • Super High Five: Predict the first five horses in the correct order.

The Belmont Stakes betting odds are finally determined by the pari-mutuel system at the track which means your potential payout depends on how much money is in the pot overall, divided by how many bets are placed. The odds will fluctuate in the build-up to the race and never more so than in the final few moments before post time.

Picking a Belmont Stakes winner

In the last 14 non-Triple-Crown editions of the Belmont Stakes, the favorite has won just three times. Afleet Alex (2005) won by 7 lengths, Point Given (2001) by 12 lengths and Tiz The Law by 3 3/4 lengths. Traditionally, long shots have cashed in and have provided some strong payouts in the win and exotic pools.

Belmont Stakes history and results

YearWinnerOddsTimeJockeyTrainer
2021Essential Quality6/52:27.11Luis SaezBrad Cox
2020Tiz the Law4-51:46.53 (1 1/8 miles)Manny FrancoBarclay Tagg
2019Sir Winston10-12:28.30Joel RosarioMark Casse
2018Justify4-52:28.18Mike SmithBob Baffert
2017Tapwrit6-12:30.02Jose OrtizTodd Pletcher
2016Creator15-12:28.51Irad Ortiz, Jr.Steve Asmussen
2015American Pharoah3-52:26.65Victor EspinozaBob Baffert
2014Tonalisst12-12:28.52Joel RosarioChris Clement
2013Palace Malice13-12:30.70Mike SmithTodd Pletcher
2012Union Rags3-12:30.42John VelazquezMichael Matz
2011Ruler on Ice24-12:30.88Jose Valdivia, Jr.Kelly Breen
2010Drosselmeyer13-12:31.57Mike SmithBill Mott
2009Summer Bird12-12:27.54Kent DesormeauxTim Ice
2008Da' Tara38-12:29.65Alan GarciaNick Zito
2007Rags to Riches (f)4-12:28.74John VelazquezTodd Pletcher
2006Jazil6-12:27.86Fernando JaraKiaran McLaughlin
2005Afleet Alex6-52:28.60Jeremy Ros  Tim Ritchey
2004Birdstone3-12:27.40Edgar PradoNick Zito
2003Empire Maker2-12:28.20Jerry BaileyRobert Frankel
2002Sarava70-12:29.60Edgar PradoKen McPeak
2001Point Given7-52:26.40Gary StevensBob Baffert
2000Commendable18-12:30.00Pat DayD. Wayne Lukas