Horse Racing Odds: Belmont Stakes Bets, Past Performances, No Sweat Win Bet Promo
Say hello to one packed and loaded Belmont Stakes. For the first time since 2018, the last jewel of racing’s Triple Crown will feature the winners from the first two legs in that season. And neither is favored in Belmont odds. Sierra Leone, who lost a breathtaking photo finish to Mystik Dan in the Kentucky Derby, is the 9-5 morning-line favorite. Mystik Dan is 5-1, and Seize the Grey, the upset Preakness Stakes winner, is entered at 8-1.
Post time for this $2 million race is 6:41 p.m. Saturday. The 2024 Belmont distance is 1 1/4 miles, not the classic 1 1/2 Belmont Stakes route. Belmont Park is undergoing renovation and expansion and won’t host this race until at least 2026. Saratoga takes over as host.
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2024 Belmont Stakes Post Positions & Morning Line Odds
Remember that betting odds don’t become final until post-time. New to racing? Learn how to bet on the Belmont online.
| Post | Horse | Morning Line odds | Trainer | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seize the Grey | 8-1 | D. Wayne Lukas | Jaime Torres |
| 2 | Resilience | 10-1 | Bill Mott | Junior Alvarado |
| 3 | Mystik Dan | 5-1 | Kenny McPeek | Brian Hernandez, Jr. |
| 4 | The Wine Steward | 15-1 | Michael J. Maker | Manuel Franco |
| 5 | Antiquarian | 12-1 | Todd Pletcher | John Velazquez |
| 6 | Dornoch | 15-1 | Danny Gargan | Luis Saez |
| 7 | Protective | 20-1 | Todd Pletcher | Tyler Gaffalione |
| 8 | Honor Marie | 12-1 | Whit Beckman | Florent Geroux |
| 9 | Sierra Leone | 9-5 | Chad Brown | Flavien Prat |
| 10 | Mindframe | 7-2 | Todd Pletcher | Irad Ortiz, Jr. |
Saturday Saratoga Race Schedule Is Loaded
Bettors can enjoy an awesome day-long racing menu of races worth more than $6.5 million, tops in the industry. Chief among the undercard events are the Metropolitan Handicap and Casino Manhattan. Both are worth $1 million.
It’s worth playing earlier races for another reason. Saratoga is expected to get three days of rain with showers and possible thundershowers beginning on Thursday. That may or may not impact the track surface for the big race.
Saturday’s undercard will give you a hint about whether the track is favoring speed or closers.
Past Performances That Helped Form 2024 Belmont Odds
1. Seize the Grey (8-1)
Authored a Cinderella story triumph in the Preakness after being off the board in the Blue Grass. Wants to be on the lead, yet stretches to a career-long 1 1/4 miles. Trainer D. Wayne Lukas would not have entered him at 1 1/2 miles for the Belmont, but at 1 1/4, he takes the shot.
More impacted by pace than many others in this race. Will be even more encouraged to go with the rail position. Wet weather figures to drop his odds after his front-running Preakness triumph on an off track.
2. Resilience (10-1)
There are two ways to look at his sixth-place finish in the Kentucky Derby. He did beat most of the field but also hung down the lane at a career-long distance. Backers will believe he was too far back and made a premature move in the Derby. Put him closer in the 10-horse field, and he may have something left. Skeptics will believe he can’t get the distance. Mixed signals.
3. Mystik Dan (5-1)
Karma lovers, this was his exact post position for the Kentucky Derby he won. Some beautiful rides on him by Brian Hernandez produced major victories in the Southwest and then the Run for the Roses. Hernandez has been a riverboat gambler on the rail, risking being boxed in to save ground. He’s looked like a genius in the big races and made the difference in the Derby with the adroit handling of Mystik Dan, who never runs badly. Houdini Hernandez may keep Mystik Dan on the rail again to save ground, at least for a while.
Figures to throw in another good one. Will it be good enough? His best work has come on off tracks. The only horse in this field to run all three legs of the Triple Crown. Completing three races in five weeks was once the norm now it’s the exception.
4. The Wine Steward (15-1)
Look for him on or near the lead, as he displayed in strong recent efforts in the Lexington and Peter Pan. Had great positioning, but was outkicked in both and obtained a grudging second. He gets a rematch with Antiquarian, who nudged him into the Peter Pan. Will provide stellar value for those who believe this is not a mammoth step up in class.
5. Antiquarian (12-1)
Quite contrarian. Looked like second-tier contender after running sixth to Catching Freedom in the Louisiana Derby. But then came back to take the Peter Pan at 6-1. The question really is how strong the Peter Pan race was. That event did lead up to Arcangelo’s Belmont Stakes victory last year. Tougher to evaluate coming out of Aqueduct rather than Belmont Park.
If he’s finding his groove, he’ll be a sleeper.
6. Dornoch (15-1)
Has regressed in comparison to Sierra Leone, whom he nudged in the Remsen Stakes last fall. He always runs hard but has hit a formidable wall. Sat off the pace in the Derby, which appeared sound when Sierra Leone rallied from 17th to lose a photo. But has been showing he can be in it, rather than win it at longer distances.
7. Protective (20-1)
Hit his best stride late in the Peter Pan and gained a respectable third. He has the same dilemma as the Antiquarian and the Wine Steward, who finished ahead of him. How good is the Peter Pan Stakes as a Belmont barometer? We’ll find out.
8. Honor Marie (12-1)
It’s one thing to close, but it’s tricky to close from last in a 20-horse Kentucky Derby field. Made a move, yes, but never threatened in finishing 8th. Will need to be closer to the pace and hope a speed war develops, as it could. But has to get past horses who dwarfed him in the Derby.
9. Sierra Leone 9-5
He has an excellent rebound opportunity after just missing in the Kentucky Derby, losing the photo to Mystik Dan. Combination of stalking and an explosive late run is his signature. Has been bothered by needing to go extremely wide in all of his races. What happens if he can somehow be tucked in, going only two horses wide instead of five? That adjustment alone would put him in the winner’s circle.
Solid, must-play, and the right choice in Belmont odds if he can gain a reasonable trip. Well-rested, five weeks off since the Kentucky Derby. Ideal spot. No excuses.
10. Mindframe (7-2)
Projected future stardom by wiring an allowance-optional claiming field at 2-5 in just his second start. Appeared on the Kentucky Derby undercard. Showed resilient stubbornness whenever pressed for the lead. Has that additional gear. On the negative side, he won’t get away to dawdling fractions of 24.65 for the quarter-mile and 49.18 for the half-mile, as he did in the last race.
Now, he faces several Run for the Roses graduates, ships, and stretches. Is this too much to ask in just his third run? Strong horse, perhaps a future great. Does that future include Saturday?
Value is not promising, but the New York betting crowd is savvy. If gamblers slam his odds lower, he’s worth considering using into at least one ticket.
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Pace SCenarios
Seize the Grey will want to seize the lead. He has the rail, and it worked for him at the Preakness. But Dornoch, Resilience, the Wine Steward, Antiquarian, and Mindframe could make this a sizzling speed duel.
Sierra Leone would be best suited to stalk and tuck in, then make his move along with Mystik Dan. Honor Marie and Protective may run very late.
My Belmont Bets
I’m dancing with who brung me. Sierra Leone has been solidly winning or placing second and has the right style for this race. I’ll take a win bet on him and an exacta box with Mystik Dan (9-3).
I will add Seize the Grey in a $1 trifecta box (1-3-9) and bring Mindframe in underneath on a $1 superfecta key (9 over the 1-3-10) for $6.
The rest will come at post time. Good luck deciding on Belmont odds. It’s a great-looking race.
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