Bears vs. Lions: Week 12 NFL Betting Preview – December 6, 2020

Posted By Staff on December 1, 2020

The Chicago Bears (5-6) are favored by  as they attempt to end a five-game slide against the Detroit Lions (4-7) on Sunday at Soldier Field. The point total is set at .

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of December 1, 2020, 1:41 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Betting Information

Total Facts

  • Chicago and its opponents have combined to score more than 45 in four games (36.4% of matchups).
  • Detroit’s contests have gone over 45 points on 10 occasions (90.9% of games).
  • This year’s combined scoring average for these two teams (42.5 points per game) is 2.5 fewer than the total for this contest.
  • These two teams allow a combined 52.5 points per game, 7.5 higher than the total for this matchup.
  • Bears games this season have posted an average total of 42.4, which is 2.6 points fewer than the total for this matchup.
  • This season, Lions games have resulted in an average scoring total of 52.7, which is 7.7 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The Bears are the 29th-highest scoring team in the NFL this year. The Lions have scored the 22nd-most points.
  • This outing features the league’s 31st-ranked (Detroit) and eighth-ranked (Chicago) scoring defenses.

Bears Betting Insights

  • Chicago’s games have gone under the point total in seven out of 11 outings this season (63.6%).
  • Chicago is just 5-6 against the spread.
  • The Bears are just 0-1 ATS when favored by at least three points.

Lions Betting Insights

  • Seven Detroit’s 11 games this year have gone over the point total (63.6% of its outings).
  • Detroit has a losing 4-7 record against the spread.
  • The Lions have a split ATS record of 1-1 when an underdog by at least three points.

Bears vs Lions: Head to Head

Bears vs Lions: Last 3 Meetings
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
9/13/2020 Lions Lions -2.50 42.50 -137 +120 426-363 DET 27-23 CHI
11/28/2019 Bears Lions -5.5 37 -240 +205 419-364 CHI 24-20 CHI
11/10/2019 Bears Bears -7 38 -278 +240 357-226 DET 20-13 CHI

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When the Bears Have the Ball

  • The Bears have averaged 10.2 fewer points per game this season (19.6) than the Lions have allowed (29.8).
  • In games where Chicago score at least 19.6 points this season, they are 4-2 overall and 5-1 against the spread.
  • When the Detroit defense allows 29.8 points or fewer this year, the Lions have pieced together a 4-2 overall record and a 4-2 record against the spread.
  • The Lions defense has allowed an average of 396.2 yards per game in 2020, 90.7 yards more than the 305.5 the Bears offense has averaged per contest.
  • On average, the Bears pick up 4.7 yards per play and the Lions give up 6.
  • When the Chicago offense puts together a game with at least their 2020 average in yardage, they are 2-3 overall and 3-2 against the spread this season.
  • When Detroit allows fewer total yards to opposing offenses than their season average, they are 3-5 against the spread and 3-5 overall this season.
  • The Lions have allowed opposing rushing attacks to average 133.4 yards per game, compared to the 82.2 yards the Bears have averaged on the ground.
  • When Chicago rushers gain at least a combined 82.2 yards this season, they are 3-2 overall and 3-2 against the spread.
  • When Detroit holds opposing teams to 133.4 rushing yards or fewer this year, they are 4-3 against the spread and 4-3 overall.
  • This season, the Lions have forced an average of one turnover per game, compared to the 1.5 times Bears have turned the football over in each contest.
  • In games where they turn the football over 1.5 times or fewer this season, Chicago is 3-2 overall and 4-1 against the spread.
  • Detroit’s record this season when they force more than 1 turnover: 4-3 ATS, 4-3 overall

When the Lions Have the Ball

  • The Lions put up 22.9 points per game, comparable to the 22.7 per matchup the Bears allow.
  • When Detroit puts up at least 22.9 points, it is 4-3 against the spread and 4-3 overall.
  • This season, Chicago has a 5-1 record against the spread and a 4-2 record overall in games when it holds opponents to 19.6 or fewer points.
  • The Lions rack up only 2.1 more yards per game (347), than the Bears allow per matchup (344.9). The Lions average 5.5 yards per play, while the Bears give up 5.2 per play.
  • In games Chicago limits its opponents to 344.9 or fewer yards, it has a 2-3 record ATS and a 3-2 record overall.
  • This season, the Lions rack up 96.6 yards per game on the ground, 24.7 fewer per game than the Bears allow per outing (121.3).
  • Detroit has a 2-3 ATS record and a 2-3 overall record when the team runs for at least 96.6 yards.
  • This season, Chicago is 2-4 against the spread and 3-3 overall when holding opponents to no more than 121.3 yards on the ground.
  • This year, the Lions turn the ball over 1.2 times per game, 0.2 more turnovers per game than the one the Bears force on average.
  • Detroit is 4-4 against the spread and 4-4 overall when it turns the ball over 1.2 or fewer times.
  • This season, Chicago has a 4-3 record against the spread and a 5-2 record overall when it forces at least one turnover.

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Bears Players to Watch

  • Mitchell Trubisky has thrown for 802 yards while completing 58.3% of his passes (77-of-132), with nine touchdowns and five interceptions in five games this year (160.4 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 12 times for 101 yards, averaging 20.2 yards per game.
  • David Montgomery has rushed for a team-leading 575 yards on 142 carries (57.5 yards per game) while scoring one touchdown in 10 games. He also averages 25.2 receiving yards per game, grabbing 35 passes for 252 yards and two touchdowns.
  • Cordarrelle Patterson has 126 yards on 43 carries (11.5 ypg), with zero rushing touchdowns.
  • Allen Robinson II has grabbed 71 passes to lead the team with 829 yards with five touchdowns. He has been targeted 108 times and averages 75.4 yards per game.
  • Darnell Mooney has also added 385 yards on 36 catches with two touchdowns. He has been targeted 65 times and puts up 35.0 receiving yards per game.
  • Over 11 games in 2020, Anthony Miller has caught 37 passes on 63 targets for 377 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 34.3 receiving yards per game.
  • Khalil Mack has 6.5 sacks to lead the team, and has also collected eight TFL, 39 tackles, and one interception over 11 games.
  • This season, Roquan Smith has racked up 102 tackles, 15 TFL, and two sacks.
  • Tashaun Gipson has intercepted two passes to lead the team while adding 50 tackles and four passes defended 11 over games.

Lions Players to Watch

  • This year, Matthew Stafford has put up 2,876 passing yards (261.5 yards per game) while going 244-for-386 (63.2% completion percentage) and throwing 18 touchdowns and eight interceptions.
  • Adrian Peterson has racked up a team-high 444 rushing yards (40.4 yards per game) and scored four touchdowns in 11 games.
  • Kerryon Johnson has 175 yards on 47 carries (15.9 ypg), with one rushing touchdown over the course of 11 games.
  • This season, T.J. Hockenson has 45 catches (on 68 targets) to lead the team with 530 yards (48.2 per game) while scoring five touchdowns in 11 games.
  • Marvin Jones Jr. has also added 43 catches for 503 yards and five touchdowns over 11 games this year. He has been targeted 69 times and puts up 45.7 receiving yards per game.
  • Marvin Hall has caught 17 passes on 30 targets for 290 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 26.4 yards per game.
  • Romeo Okwara has six sacks to lead the team, and has also collected seven TFL and 32 tackles over 11 games.
  • Jamie Collins has totaled 82 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and one interception this season.
  • Duron Harmon has a team-high two interceptions and has tacked on 41 tackles and four passes defended.

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