When Ohio State QB Justin Fields slipped past the San Francisco 49ers, Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers and Denver Broncos at the 2021 NFL Draft, Chicago Bears general manager Ryan Pace seized his opportunity. Four years after the organization traded up for the right to select QB Mitchell Trubisky at No. 2 overall, Pace swung a deal with the New York Giants to move up nine spots to grab Fields with the 11th overall pick. Thinking the QB of the future is now on the roster, the question is: Who will win the Chicago Bears QB competition and be the Week 1 starter?
DraftKings Sportsbook has posted odds for who the Bears’ Week 1 starting QB will be. If you bet on sports in New Jersey, Colorado sports bettors, Illinois bettors and bettors in West Virginia, can get their money down on this prop.
According to the oddsmakers, Fields has his work cut out for him at training camp.
Bears QB Competition Odds
DraftKings Sportsbook odds for the Bears Week 1 starter at quarterback (odds as of May 5).
Andy Dalton (-250)
Dalton’s the betting favorite after signing a 1-year, $10 million contract with the Bears earlier this offseason after only making $3.1 million with the Cowboys last year. The former second-round pick of the Cincinnati Bengals backed up starter Dak Prescott. Dalton got into 11 games with nine starts for Dallas. He guided the Cowboys to a respectable (all things considered) 4-5 record while completing 64.9 percent of his passes for 2,170 yards and 14 touchdowns against eight interceptions. The selection of Fields came less than two months after Dalton was anointed Chicago’s QB1 by the team’s own Twitter account.
Justin Fields (+200)
The Bears’ odds to win Super Bowl LVI opened at +5000 and have held steady after the draft. This is another sign DraftKings is expecting Fields to, at least, begin the season on the sidelines. Fields completed 70.2 percent of his passes for 2,100 yards and 22 TDs against just six INTs while adding 383 rushing yards and five TDs on the ground in his final year at OSU. He’s the QB of the future, but he’s expected to start his NFL career learning from one of the two veteran signal-callers on the roster.
Over the past five seasons, only four of the 15 QBs selected in the top 15 of the NFL Draft have started Week 1. That’s the recent trend Fields must overcome to cash this bet. That’s 26.7% of quarterbacks. That implied probability percentage equals odds of +275. So on the surface, +180 for Fields doesn’t appear to present value, but that number also likely factors in head coach Matt Nagy being on the hot seat and the absence of a strong incumbent starter on the team.
Nick Foles (+1600)
The Bears acquired Foles from the Jacksonville Jaguars in exchange for a compensatory fourth-round pick last March. He made seven starts and two other appearances last season and threw for a total of 1,852 yards and 10 TDs with eight INTs. He’ll carry a modest cap hit of $6.67 million for 2021 but releasing him will cost the team $7.67 million in dead cap space for 2021 with a post-June 1 designation. This is likely to keep him on the roster for at least one more season.
Chicago Bears Futures
Check out the latest odds across sportsbooks for Chicago Bears futures for the 2021 NFL season.