The No. 9 seed Kansas State Wildcats (9-18) are underdogs in their Big 12 Tournament quarterfinals matchup against the No. 1 seed Baylor Bears (21-1) on Thursday at Sprint Center, beginning at 2:30 PM ET on ESPN. The winner moves one step closer to the conference championship and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket.
The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 11, 2021, 1:10 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Betting Odds
Baylor Betting Information
- The Bears have compiled a 14-6-1 record against the spread this season.
- When favored by at least 19.5 points, the Bears are 4-2 against the spread this season.
- In 57.1% of their games this season (12/21), the Bears and their opponents have outscored the set over/under.
- The Bears beat Texas Tech 88-73 and covered the spread as 8.5-point favorites, while hitting the over on the 137 point total in their last outing on Sunday. MaCio Teague totaled a team-high 35 points in the victory.
Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Baylor Players to Watch
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Butler | 22 | 17.1 | 3.2 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 2.7 |
| MaCio Teague | 22 | 15.7 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| Davion Mitchell | 22 | 13.9 | 2.7 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 2.3 |
| Adam Flagler | 20 | 9.4 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.7 |
| Matthew Mayer | 22 | 8.3 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.0 |
Kansas State Betting Information
- Kansas State has typically come up short ATS this season, with a 10-16-1 record.
- The Wildcats and their opponents have typically failed to covered the over/under this season, doing so in 37% (10) of their 27 games played.
- In the Wildcats most recent game on Wednesday, Nijel Pack scored a team-high 23 points on the way to a 71-50 victory over TCU. They covered the spread as 3.5-point underdogs, and the teams combined to score 121 points to go under the 126.5 point total.
Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Kansas State Players to Watch
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nijel Pack | 23 | 12.5 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.3 |
| Mike McGuirl | 28 | 12.1 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.1 |
| DaJuan Gordon | 24 | 8.9 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| Davion Bradford | 28 | 7.3 | 4.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Selton Miguel | 28 | 7.2 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.7 |
Total Facts
- Baylor and its opponents have hit the over on Thursday’s 137 total in 18 out of 22 games (81.8%) this year.
- In Kansas State’s games this year, the competing teams added up to a higher point total than Thursday’s matchup total in eight out of 27 matchups (29.6%).
- Together, the two teams combine for 146.6 points per game, 9.6 points more than the over/under of 137 for this contest.
- The 135.3 points per game these two teams allow to opponents on average this season are 1.7 fewer than the 137 over/under in this contest.
- The Bears have seen a 150.9 average over/under in their games this season, 13.9 points more than the over/under in this contest.
- A difference of six points separates this matchup’s over/under (137 points) and the average total points bet in Wildcats games (131 points) this season.
Head to Head
| Date | Favorite | Home Team | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Game Type | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/27/2021 | Baylor | Baylor | -23.5 | 134.5 | -2500 | +1200 | Regular Season | 107-59 BAYLOR |
| 12/19/2020 | Baylor | Kansas State | -16.5 | 135 | -2604 | +1106 | Regular Season | 100-69 BAYLOR |
| 2/25/2020 | Baylor | Baylor | -14.5 | 124.5 | -1817 | +899 | Regular Season | 85-66 BAYLOR |
| 2/3/2020 | Baylor | Kansas State | -6.5 | 123.5 | -331 | +251 | Regular Season | 73-67 BAYLOR |
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