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NFL Week 4 Lines And NJ Betting Guide

Marco Cerino September 24, 2018
NJ Sports Betting

After another chaotic Sunday, New Jersey bettors can start to strategize for Week 4. All eight online sportsbooks have released lines on the games. Let’s take a look.

(Odds updated 9/24/18)

 DraftKingsFanDuelSugarHouseBetStars888sportCaesarsMGMWill Hill
Minnesota
LA Rams
49
-6.5
48.5
-6.5
49
-6.5
49
-6.5
49
-6.5
49
-6.5
49.5
-6.5
49
-6.5
Buffalo
Green Bay
44.5
-9.5
44.5
-10
44.5
-9.5
45
-10
44.5
-9.5
45
-10
44.5
-10
45
-10
Cincinnati
Atlanta

-5.5
51.5
-6

-5.5
51.5
-6

-5.5
51
-6
48.5
-5.5
51
-5.5
Detroit
Dallas
44
-2.5
44
-3
44
-3
Tampa Bay
Chicago
-2.5
Houston
Indianapolis
47
-2.5
47.5
-2.5
47
-2.5
47.5
-2.5
47
-2.5
47
-2.5
47.5
-2.5
47.5
-2.5
Miami
New England
47.5
-6.5
48
-7
47.5
-6.5
47.547.5
-6.5
48
-7
48
-7
NY Jets
Jacksonville
38.5
-8
-7.538.5
-8
38
-7.5
38.5
-8
38
-7
38
-7.5
38
-7.5
Philadelphia
Tennessee
-3.5
42
-3.5
42
-3.5
42
-3.5
41.5
-3.5
42
-3.5
41
-3
42
-3.5
42
Cleveland
Oakland
44.5
-3
45
-3
44.5
-3
44.5
-2.5
44.5
-3
44.5
-2
45
-3
45
-2.5
Seattle
Arizona
-3
39
-3
39
-3
38.5
-3
39
-3
38.5
-3
37.5
-3
38
NO Saints
NY Giants
-3.5
50
-3.5
50
-3.5
50
-3.5
50
-3.5
50
-3.5
50
-3.5
50
SF 49ers
LA Chargers
47
-10.5
47
-10.5
47
-10.5
47.5
-10
47
-10.5
47
-10
47
-10.5
47.5
-10
Baltimore
Pittsburgh
-3
KC Chiefs
Denver
-4.5
55
-4.5
55
-4.5
55
-4.5
55.5
-4.5
55

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Week 4 betting breakdown

Vikings at Rams (-6.5): The Rams are the new Super Bowl favorites and have looked very impressive to start the season. FanDuel opened the total at 49.5, while William Hill and BetStars opened at 49 (same -110 price as other books).

NY Jets at Jaguars (-8): Two teams looking for bounce-back wins after disappointing losses. The Jets have won the last four in the series, including three straight at the Meadowlands. FanDuel is giving the Jags a half-point of value (local bias, knowing their customer base), while the Jets are actually getting a half-point at William Hill.

Eagles (-3.5) at Titans: FanDuel was the only book with the spread, total and moneyline listed on Monday, while William Hill was the only spread-only offer. These prices could easily change once the Titans name a starter. Carson Wentz is 6-9 SU on the road but 7-8 ATS.

Bills at Packers (-9.5): For the second week in a row, the Bills open as a big underdog on the road against an NFC North opponent. Aaron Rodgers defeated Buffalo 34-7 in their last meeting at Lambeau in 2010. The Bills are getting a half-point of value at William Hill.

Bengals at Falcons (-5.5): The only book offering the total and ML as of Monday was FanDuel. Andy Dalton won the only meeting against Matt Ryan in Cincinnati in 2014.

Texans at Colts (-2.5): Seemingly a must-win game for the 0-3 Texans. Andrew Luck is 3-1 at home all-time against his AFC South rivals (SU and ATS).

Buccaneers at Bears (-2.5): Only William Hill had this game on the board Monday, installing the Bucs as underdogs for the fourth straight week. Look for these numbers to move after Monday night. Ryan Fitzpatrick has split two starts against Chicago in his career.

Detroit at Dallas (-3): This line could flip once all the books in NJ get it listed. Dallas has won three of the last four hosting the Lions.

Dolphins at Patriots (-7): The Patriots have struggled this year, while the Dolphins travel to Foxboro undefeated. The Pats get the recency bias, having won the last nine home games against Miami.

Browns at Raiders (-3): The Browns are 3-0 ATS this season. Oakland, which has won the last four matchups, gets an extra half-point value at William Hill.

Seahawks (-3) at Cardinals: Seattle has won four of the last five games in Glendale (the other game was the 6-6 tie in 2016). Arizona got an extra half-point value at William Hill at open.

Saints (-3.5) at Giants: Does that opening total of 50 seem high? Four of the last five matchups saw the teams combine for at least 73 points.

49ers at Chargers (-10.5): Only a couple books had this game on the board on Monday as we await the diagnosis for Jimmy Garoppolo. The Chargers got a full point extra value at William Hill at the open.

Ravens at Steelers (-3.5): William Hill was the only book offering this game as of Monday afternoon. The Steelers have won four of the last five against Baltimore at Heinz Field.

Chiefs (-3.5) at Broncos: Chiefs get the recency bias with the 3-0 start and Patrick Mahomes record start (13 TDs in the first 3 games). KC has five wins in a row against their rivals, including the last three at Denver. The Broncos are getting an extra half-point value at BetStarsNJ (mobile only).

NFL Week 3 Lines And NJ Betting Guide

Marco Cerino September 23, 2018
NFL Week 3 Lines

After another wild Sunday (and another tie in a divisional game), sportsbooks in New Jersey have released their NFL lines for Week 3. Below you’ll find updated lines for all eight of the legal online books in NJ, along with some information for each game that might help you make some betting decisions in Week 3.

(Odds updated 9/23/18)

 DraftKingsFanDuelSugarHouseBetStars888sportCaesarsMGMWill Hill
NY Jets
Cleveland
43
-3
41
-3
43
-3
41
-3
43
-3
41
-3
40.5
-3
41
-3
Buffalo
Minnesota
41.5
-16.5
41.5
-16.5
41.5
-16.5
41
-16.5
41.5
-16.5
40.5
-17
41
-16.5
41
-16.5
NY Giants
Houston
43
-6
43
-6
43
-6
43.5
-6
43
-6
43.5
-6
41.5
-6
43.5
-6
Green Bay
Washington
-2.5
45
-2.5
45.5
-2.5
45
-2.5
45.5
-2.5
45
-3
45
-3
45.5
-3
45
SF 49ers
Kansas City
55
-6.5
54
-6
55
-6.5
54.5
-6
55
-6.5
54.5
-6
54.5
-6.5
54.5
-6
Oakland
Miami
44.5
-3
44.5
-3
44.5
-3
43.5
-3
44.5
-3
44.5
-3
43.5
-3
43.5
-3
Indianapolis
Philadelphia
46
-6.5
45.5
-6
46
-6.5
45.5
-6
46
-6.5
46
-6.5
46
-7
46
-6.5
Tennessee
Jacksonville
39.5
-9.5
39.5
-9.5
39.5
-9.5
39.5
-9.5
39.5
-9.5
38.5
-9.5
40
-9
39.5
-9.5
Cincinnati
Carolina
44.5
-3
44.5
-2.5
44.5
-3
44.5
-2.5
44.5
-3
44
-3
43.5
-3
44
-3
Denver
Baltimore
46.5
-6
46
-6
46.5
-6
46
-6
46.5
-6
46
-6
46
-6
46
-6
NO Saints
Atlanta
53.5
-2.5
53.5
-2
53.5
-2.5
53.5
-2
53.5
-2.5
53.5
-2
53
-2.5
53.5
-2
LA Chargers
LA Rams
48.5
-7
49
-7
48.5
-7
49
-7
48.5
-7
48
-7
48
-7
49
-7
Chicago
Arizona
-5.5
38.5
-5.5
39
-5.5
38.5
-6
39
-5.5
38.5
-6.5
37.5
-6
38.5
-6
38.5
Dallas
Seattle
40.5
-2
41
-2
40.5
-2
40.5
-1
40.5
-2
41.5
-1
40.5
-1.5
40.5
-1
NE Patriots
Detroit
-7
54.5
-6.5
55
-7
54.5
-6.5
55
-7
54.5
-6
52
-7
54.5
-7
55
Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay
-1.5
53.5
-1
54
-1.5
53.5
-1
54
-1.5
53.5
-1.5
54
PK
54
-1
54.5

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Week 3 betting breakdown

NY Jets at Cleveland (-3): No regional bias in this matchup, despite bettors taking the Jets all preseason. Cleveland may have a new placekicker by Thursday night. Interesting note: While most of the book posted 40 or 40.5 for the total, 888sport has 43 with -143 on the under (+117 on the over) as of Thursday afternoon.

Colts at Eagles (-7): Carson Wentz will return under center for the Eagles, which leaves Philly as the considerable favorite. Wentz has won his last eight starts at home and is 12-2 there overall (11-3 ATS).

Saints at Falcons (-3): Recency bias might be a factor here with the Saints failing to cover their first two games this year. The Falcons have won 3 of the last 4 at home against their division rivals.

49ers at Chiefs (-6): Intriguing matchup of two rising star QBs. Books offering the total have it at 55.5 or higher, the biggest one so far this season.

Raiders at Dolphins (-3): Miami gets the nod despite losing to Oakland at home last year. Dolphins bettors could avoid the half-point kicker at FanDuel as of Monday afternoon.

Bills at Vikings (-16.5): This might be the biggest spread we see all season. Since the start of last season, Minnesota is 9-1 at home (6-3 ATS with two half-point misses).

Bengals at Panthers (-3): Despite the 2-0 (SU and ATS) start, the Bengals finds themselves underdogs on the road. The last time Carolina hosted Cincinnati was 2010, a win by Carson Palmer.

Titans at Jaguars (-9.5): Both teams coming off emotional wins in Week 2, Tennessee winning without Marcus Mariota. The Jags have won 3 of the last 4 at home to the Titans.

Packers (-3) at Redskins: If Aaron Rodgers practices more this week than last, watch for this line to move. Fun fact: Rodgers is 0-2 at Fedex Field. His only win over Washington was in the 2015 Wild Card round.

Broncos at Ravens (-6): Denver makes it 3-for-3 this week in teams traveling two time zones or more opening as significant underdogs. Joe Flacco is 2-1 against Denver at home, a team that hasn’t visited Baltimore since 2012.

Giants at Texans (-6.5): Two teams looking for their first win. Houston making its home debut.  Eli Manning has won all three starts against Houston.

Chargers at Rams (-7): This is an intriguing matchup that could see significant line movement over the week. William Hill opened it at a full touchdown and most of the other books have followed.

Bears (-6.5) at Cardinals: Bold call here by William Hill to open the Bears a sizable favorite on a short week and traveling. The line has moved to 5.5 as of Sunday morning.

Cowboys at Seahawks (-1): Two underachieving teams at the start of the year, but Dallas got a win last Sunday at home. Now traveling to Seattle to face the 12th man as a short underdog.

Patriots (-6.5) at Lions: This seems easy: Patriots HC Bill Belichick is excellent against his former assistants and is 4-0 against Detroit.

Steelers (-1) at Bucs: FitzMagic is a dog — again. The Steelers are favorites despite Le’Veon Bell’s holdout — again.

NFL Week 2 Lines Comparison At NJ Sportsbooks

Marco Cerino September 15, 2018
Week 2 Lines

Sportsbooks in New Jersey have posted their spreads and totals for NFL Week 2. It’s never too early to look ahead, so read below for some food for thought as you prepare for the next slate of NFL games.

(Lines updated 9/15/18)

 DraftKingsFanDuelSugarHouseMGMWill Hill888sportCaesars
Baltimore
Cincinnati
-1
44.5
-1
43.5

-1
44.5
-1
43
-1
43.5
-1
44.5
-1
43.5
Kansas City
Pittsburgh
53.5
-5.5
53.5
-5.5
53.5
-5.5
53.5
-5.5
53.5
-5
53.5
-5.5
53
-5.5
Miami
NY Jets
43.5
-2.5
43.5
-2.5
43.5
-2.5
42.5
-2.5
43.5
-2.5
43.5
-2.5
43.5
-2.5
Philadelphia
Tampa Bay
-3
44
-3.5
43.5
-3
44
-3.5
44
-3
44
-3
44
-3
44
Cleveland
NO Saints
49.5
-9.5
49
-10
49.5
-9.5
49
-9.5
49
-9
49.5
-9.5
49
-9.5
Indianapolis
Washington
48.5
-4
48
-5.5
48.5
-4
48
-6
46
-6
48.5
-4
48
-5.5
LA Chargers
Buffalo
-7
43
-7.5
42.5
-7
43
-7
42.5
-7.5
43
-7
43
-7.5
43
Minnesota
Green Bay
TBATBA

TBATBATBATBATBA
Carolina
Atlanta
44.5
-6
43.5
-6
44.5
-6
44.5
-6
44
-6.5
44.5
-6
44
-5.5
Houston
Tennessee
-3
43.5
-3
43
-3
43.5
-3
43
-3
43.5
-3
43.5
-3
43
Arizona
LA Rams
45
-13
44.5
-13.5
45
-13
44.5
-13
45
-13
45
-13
45
-13.5
Detroit
SF 49ers
48
-6
48.5
-6
48
-6
48.5
-6
48.5
-6
48
-6
48.5
-6
Oakland
Denver
45.5
-6
46
-6.5
45.5
-6
45.5
-6.5
46
-6
45.5
-6
45.5
-6
NE Patriots
Jacksonville
-1
44.5
44
PK
-1
44.5
-1
44
-1
45
-1
44.5
-1.5
45.5
NY Giants
Dallas
42.5
-3
42.5
-3
42.5
-3
42.5
-3
42.5
-3
42.5
-3
41.5
-3
Seattle
Chicago
43
-3
43
-3.5
43
-3
43
-3
43
-3
43
-3
43
-3

Baltimore (-1) at Cincinnati: Both teams won and covered in Week 1. Installing Baltimore as a road favorite seemed curious, especially considering their win last year was the first in Cincinnati since 2011. But the line since moved in the Bengals’ favor.

Kansas City at Pittsburgh (-5): The line on Pittsburgh dropped multiple points after LeVeon Bell extended his holdout into Week 1. Facing the Chiefs off an upset win against the Chargers, this could be the biggest moving line of the week.

Miami at NY Jets (-2.5): The Jets opened as an early underdog despite not playing until Monday in Detroit. Interestingly, FanDuel was the only book that installed them underdog without the half-point kicker. Following the Monday night win, the line moved to Jets -2.5 or -3 at most books. The Meadowlands location saw a lot of public action on Gang Green this offseason.

Philadelphia (-3) at Tampa Bay: The Eagles won the season opener despite the spread dropping throughout the week. Tampa won outright as the highest ML dog at New Orleans. This line will be worth watching if the regional bias goes the world champs’ way this week.

Cleveland at New Orleans (-8): The Saints fell at home as a massive favorite to Tampa, while the Browns tied after late support on the spread. The 50 total tied for the highest on the board as of Monday night but the Steelers/Chiefs total quickly flew up to 53.5.

Indianapolis at Washington (-5.5): The home debut for Alex Smith and Adrian Peterson sees Washington a strong favorite. The Colts’ late collapse at home to Cincinnati might scare away bettors.

LA Chargers (-7.5) at Buffalo: Both teams are looking for a bounce-back after disappointing losses in Week 1. The Chargers are the biggest road favorite this weekend going cross-country so watch for this line to move, particularly if Josh Allen gets his first start at home.

Carolina at Atlanta (-5.5): Neither offense impressed in Week 1. Atlanta is the home favorite, perhaps pushed by recency bias, as the Falcons have won the last three and seven of the last nine at home against the Panthers.

Minnesota at Green Bay (No line): Only FanDuel had this game on the board Monday afternoon with the Packers a slight favorite. It was back off the board as of Saturday afternoon.

Houston (-3) at Tennessee: Recent history suggested that Tennessee would be a home favorite. But injuries to QB Marcus Mariota and two Titans starting offensive lineman moved the line toward Houston.

Arizona at LA Rams (-13): The 10-point opening spread was the biggest of Week 2, and most books moved it to -13 following the Rams’ performance in Oakland on Monday night.

Detroit at San Francisco (-5.5): The Niners are the established favorite across the board, especially after the Lions put up a stinker at home on Monday night.

Oakland at Denver (-5.5): Denver’s win against Seattle has earned the books’ confidence. Recent history helps this stance, as the Broncos are 5-1 at home in the last six against their division rivals.

New England (-1) at Jacksonville: Both teams won convincingly in their season openers. All of the books give the Pats the edge here going on the road, but some listed it as a PK as of Saturday.

NY Giants at Dallas (-3): Dallas is the favorite at home despite neither team looking impressive in opening losses. Regional biases could see these lines drop, especially at FanDuel which gave the G-Men a half-point kicker to open.

Seattle at Chicago (-3.5): Both teams will look to bounce back in Week 2. The books install Chicago as a home favorite, with William Hill the only one making the spread an even FG at open.

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