Austrailian Open Odds, Picks, Predictions: Will Zverev Upset Djokovic?

Novak Djokovic wasn’t gifted any breaks after his quarter-final victory against Carlos Alcaraz at the Australian Open. The 24-time Grand Slam champion will square off against Alexander Zverev, who finished second on the ATP Tour last season. This match won’t attract as many headlines, but it could give bettors an extended duel. Let’s size up the betting odds for Djokovic vs. Zverev.
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Australian Open odds: Djokovic vs. Zverev
moneyline
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Djokovic
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Zverev
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Spread
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Djokovic (-2.5)
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Zverev (+2.5)
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total games
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Over 41.5
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Under 41.5
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Handicapping Djokovic vs. Zverev
Djokovic boasts an 8-4 all-time edge against Zverev, but the two have only met once since 2023. That year, the Serbian won in straight sets in Cincinnati (outdoor hardcourt surface).
The 27-year-old German showcases an enormous first serve. In 2024, Zverev delivered the second-highest hold percentage on tour (90.3%) and made 70.6% of his first serves, the second-highest mark behind Sebastian Baez.
Still, Djokovic remains among the best returners. His prowess for extending rallies under the bright lights in Melbourne, where the forecast projects cooler temperatures, should assist his attempt toward lengthening this semifinal. If this match becomes a grind and the pressure rises, the German’s issue on the second serve may prove deadly and tilt things in Djokovic’s favor.
However, Djokovic always seems to battle an injury at this stage. He even admitted as much as he prepared to face Alexander Zverev in the Australian Open semifinals on Friday after taking painkillers for a hurt left leg.
Will rest aid Djokovic between his win over Alcaraz and this match? The market isn’t ultra-confident in the long run, pricing him at Novak Djokovic +500000 on BetRivers to win the Australian Open. Good luck betting on the odds for Djokovic vs. Zverev!
How To Watch Djokovic Vs. Zverev
When: Thursday, Jan. 23
Channel: ESPN/ESPN+
Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
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