AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Odds: Patrick Cantlay The Favorite After Dustin Johnson Withdraws

Posted By FairwayJay on February 10, 2021
Pebble Beach odds

Pebble Beach Golf Links is the No. 1 public golf course in America. It is truly sacred ground in the golf world – canvasing the spectacular coastline that wraps around California’s Monterey Peninsula. The 2021 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am takes place at Pebble Beach for three rounds this year, and also one round at Spyglass Hill (7,035, Par 72). The 2021 tournament will be played without the pro-am element due to the coronavirus pandemic.

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Odds 20201

Dustin Johnson opened as the favorite at all of the top US sportsbooks Monday morning but he withdrew from the event late Monday night. Johnson did not immediately give a reason for having to skip the event.

Patrick Cantlay is now the favorite for the tournament with odds of +750 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Daniel Berger has the second lowest odds at DK at +1400.

Outright Winner

Game
02/11/2021
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
Patrick Cantlay
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+750
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+750
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+650
Daniel Berger
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+1400
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+1400
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+1200
Paul Casey
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+1400
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+1800
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+1600
Will Zalatoris
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+1800
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+1900
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+1800
Jason Day
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+2000
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+2100
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+1800
Francesco Molinari
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+2200
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+2300
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+2200
Jordan Spieth
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+2500
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+2300
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+2000
Si Woo Kim
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+2800
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+3700
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+3000
Sam Burns
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+4000
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+3700
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+3500
Cameron Davis
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+4000
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+4100
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+3300
Max Homa
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+4000
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+3300
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+4000
Kevin Streelman
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+4000
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+3800
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+3500
Rickie Fowler
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+4500
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+4800
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+4000
Brian Harman
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+4500
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+4300
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+5000
Henrik Norlander
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+4500
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+4300
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+4000
Cameron Tringale
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+4500
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+4200
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+3300
Phil Mickelson
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+5000
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+4700
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+4000
James Hahn
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+5500
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+8000
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+5000
Peter Malnati
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+5500
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+8500
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+6600
Brendan Steele
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+5500
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+7500
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+5000
Matt Jones
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+6600
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+6500
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+5000
Alexander Noren
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+6600
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+7500
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+5000
Doug Ghim
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+7000
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+9000
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+6600

View odds for all golfers in the tournament at DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook and BetMGM.

Notable players in the field

The field came up soft this year with no Top 10 players in the world rankings and just three others in the Top 20:

  • Patrick Cantlay (11)
  • Daniel Berger (14)
  • Paul Casey (16)

Other notable players include: five-time Pebble Beach champion Phil Mickelson, Jason Day, Jordan Spieth, Matt Kuchar, Rickie Fowler and Stewart Cink  who is currently Top 10 in the FedExCup standings.  

Recent AT&T Pebble Beach winners and runner-ups:

  • 2020 – Nick Taylor (-19), Kevin Streelman
  • 2019 – Phil Mickelson (-19), Paul Casey
  • 2018 – Ted Potter, Jr. (-17), Jason Day, Dustin Johnson, P. Mickelson, Chez Reavie
  • 2017 – Jordan Spieth (-19), Kelly Kraft

Each of the last four winners have won by at least three strokes.

Top finishers in the 2020 Pebble Beach Pro-Am returning in 2021:

  • Nick Taylor (Win)
  • Kevin Streelman (2)
  • Phil Mickelson (3)
  • Jason Day (4)
  • Daniel Berger (T5)
  • Maverick McNealy (T5)
  • Matt Jones (T5)
  • Jordan Spieth (T9)
  • Patrick Cantlay (T11)
  • Matthew NeSmith (T11)
  • Peter Malnati (T11)
  • Max Homa (T14)
  • Joel Dahman (T14)
  • J.B. Holmes (T14)

Golfers to watch

While the golfers at the top of the odds board and power rankings take most bets to win, you can still find value and take a shot on other players while adding top finishing position bets. This week’s field lacks star power at the top, and No. 1 Dustin Johnson pulled out leaving no Top 10 players in the field.

Patrick Cantlay (+750) is now the favorite, and Jason Day (+2000) has become the compelling option and trending pick of FanShare Sports at the top of a weaker market. Day has finished Top 5 in this event each of the past four years. Even Jordan Spieth (+2500) is a popular pick this week at Pebble. Spieth had three time higher odds last week at the Phoenix Open where he finished T4 after holding the lead on Sunday. Jason Day, along with Daniel Berger (+1400), are both top 5 in this field in putting on Poa annua greens over their last 50 rounds, according to data from Fantasy National.

So outside of the leading eight players on the odds board, the next tier of Golfers to Watch start at +3500. Let’s take a shot at some of those mid-tier players and longshots to consider for your ‘Fairway Foursome’ of outright win bets and/or top finishing position at Pebble Beach. We also get a look at the second course, Spyglass for one round the opening two days of the tournament.

Kevin Streelman (+3700 FanDuel): Streelman checks a lot of boxes this week and was striking his irons well last week in Phoenix where he finished T22. Over his last 50 rounds, the 42-year-old ranks No. 5 in this field in Strokes Gained: Total. That includes Top 10 in key stats of Ball Striking, Approach, Tee-to-Green. His Greens in Regulation stats are strong and among the best in this field in greens gained. Streelman has five consecutive Top 20 finishes in this event, including Top 7 each of the last three years with a runner-up finish a year ago. He opened +4000 at DraftKings, and now has best odds at FanDuel.

Max Homa (+4000 BetMGM/DK): The 30-year-old Cal-Berkeley grad looks ready for a breakthrough. Homa has finished T14 and T10 in this event the last two years, and event history and performances at Pebble (and Spyglass) matter a little more in this tournament than most others. Homa’s Ball Striking and Approach play stats have been best over his last four tournaments since December, which includes three top 21 finishes. His Scrambling and Around the Green games still needs much improvement, which will come into play if he’s missing the small greens at Pebble. Homa returns to preferred Poa greens, and if he can get the flat stick going after costing him higher finishes the last two events, then he’ll be a factor.

James Hahn (+7500 FanDuel): Hahn is significantly higher odds at FanDuel than DraftKings (+5500) or BetMGM (+5000). The 39-year-old is another Cal-Berkeley grad plays his best out West. That includes last week at Phoenix where he had a share of the lead on his Sunday surge before finishing 10th – his fourth Top 10 in nine starts this season. His game has really improved, coinciding with good health, as he struggled and played through pain at times the last few seasons. Last year he entered this tournament at odds near +25000 and missed the cut, but he finished T26 in 2018. Recall he finished T3 here on debut in 2013, and actually plays the Pebble Beach course particularly well. Hahn’s Around the Green game and Scrambling is good enough, but his putting on Poa needs improvement. His Par 4 scoring, however, ranks No. 2 on Tour this season, and if you’re looking at the first round leader market, Hahn’s best scoring average is in Round 1.

Mark Hubbard (+10000 DraftKings): Hubbard is a 31-year-old still shooting for his first PGA Tour win. He’s making progress, and shot a sizzling 63 to get a share of the lead after Round 1 last week at the Phoenix Open. His Approach play was on point in Phoenix, as was his top 10 stats in hitting greens and driving accuracy. Hubbard finished 30th, but now he goes to a place he’s quite familiar having played Pebble Beach and Spyglass (his favorite) numerous times while at college in nearby San Jose State. He also proposed to his then girlfriend on the 18th green at Pebble Beach in 2015. Going to a place with good vibes and confidence in his game makes Hubbard hopeful, as do these long odds for bettors firing for a big score or more realistic top 10, 20 or even top 30 (+175) finishing position.

Course and tournament information

  • Course: Pebble Beach Golf Links
  • Location: Monterey, CA
  • Date: Feb. 11-14
  • Par: 72 / Yardage 6,816
  • Purse: $7.8 Million / Winner $1.4 M
  • Fairways/Rough: Poa Annua / Ryegrass
  • Greens: : Poa annua
  • TV/Online: Golf Channel, PGA Tour Live
  • Twitter & Hashtag: @attproam
  • Defending Champion: Nick Taylor

Pebble Beach has been the host of six US Open tournaments. The most recent was in 2019, won by Gary Woodland. The course is set on craggy cliffs above Carmel Bay. Eight of the holes skirt the coastline, and it’s these holes that distinguish Pebble Beach. The tiny greens average near 3,500 square feet, which is the smallest on the PGA Tour. You’ll want to check the stats for players that perform well on Poa annua, and are strong on approach play into greens. Power is not a prerequisite when playing Pebble Beach, and generous fairways allow for more lies in the short grass to attack the smaller greens. 

Players that have won in recent years or contended have been among the leaders in Strokes Gained: Approach, and had strong weeks hitting greens and putting.

There is a 50% chance of rain showers in the advance forecast each day. There have been only two overseas winners in 50 years, so keep that in mind as you navigate the courses and player performances at Pebble Beach.  

A stronger field will return next week as the Tour heads five hours South down the coast to Pacific Palisades for The Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club. 

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FairwayJay

FairwayJay is a leading national sports and gaming analyst and is recognized as one of the sports industry's most insightful professionals. Jay has pursued his passions and maintained a pulse on the sports, gaming and poker industries while living in Las Vegas for nearly two decades. He's been a regular featured guest on sports and gaming radio shows, podcasts and produces sports betting and related industry articles and content for various sites and sources.

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