Astros Vs Twins: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – August 5, 2021

Posted By Staff on August 5, 2021

Kyle Tucker is just one hit away from his 100th of the season as his Houston Astros (65-43) get ready for a matchup against the Minnesota Twins (45-63) on Thursday at 8:10 PM ET. Framber Valdez takes the mound first for Houston (-275 to win), and Griffin Jax is Minnesota’s (+220) pick to start.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of August 5, 2021, 1:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Astros vs Twins Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Valdez (HOU) Pitcher Jax (MIN)
7 – 2 W/L 1 – 1
71.2 IP 26.2
3.01 ERA 6.41
1.300 WHIP 1.350
8.3 K/9 7.4
4.1 BB/9 3.7

Astros Probable Starter Framber Valdez

  • Valdez (7-2) gets the starting nod for the Astros in his 13th start of the season. He has a 3.01 ERA in 71 2/3 innings pitched, with 66 strikeouts.
  • The left-hander’s most recent time out came on Saturday against the Giants, when he went five innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing four hits.
  • The opposing Twins offense has a collective .245 batting average, and is ninth in the league with 889 total hits and 12th in MLB play with 502 runs scored. They have the fifth-ranked slugging percentage (.431) and rank third in home runs (156) in all of MLB.
  • The Astros have been the moneyline favorite in 10 of Valdez’s starts this season, and they went 8-2 in those matchups.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of August 5, 2021 at 1:13 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Twins Stats vs Valdez

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Andrelton Simmons 18 .111 2 2 3 .238 .682
Jorge Polanco 11 .364 4 0 0 .364 .909
Max Kepler 6 .167 1 0 0 .167 .334
Miguel Sanó 5 .400 2 0 0 .400 .800
Mitch Garver 4 .250 1 0 0 .250 .500
Trevor Larnach 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Ryan Jeffers 3 .333 1 1 1 .333 1.666
Willians Astudillo 3 .333 1 1 1 .333 1.666
Josh Donaldson 2 .500 1 0 0 .667 1.167
Luis Arraez 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500

Twins Probable Starter Griffin Jax

  • The Twins will send Jax (1-1) to the mound for his fourth start this season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in five innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Cardinals.
  • The Astros rank first in MLB with 588 runs scored this season. They have a .266 batting average this campaign with 144 home runs (sixth in the league).
  • His team has won 20% of his starts when they are underdogs on the moneyline (1-4).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of August 5, 2021 at 1:13 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Astros Betting Trends

  • The Astros score an average of 5.2 runs per home game and 5.7 per contest away from Minute Maid Park.
  • The Astros score the most runs in baseball (588 total, 5.4 per game).
  • The Astros have been the moneyline favorite 83 total times this season. They’ve gone 52-31 in those games.
  • Houston has played in four games as a moneyline favorite with odds of -275 or shorter without winning.
  • Houston has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 108 times, and has combined with opponents to go over the total in 60 of those games (60-45-3).
  • Houston played as the moneyline favorite in five of its last 10 games, and went 4-1 in those matchups.
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Twins Betting Trends

  • The Twins rank 12th in the league with 502 total runs scored this season.
  • In away games this season, they have scored a total of 243 runs (4.5 per game) while plating 259 total at home, an average of 4.8 per contest.
  • The Twins have entered the game as underdogs 42 times this season and won 16, or 38.1%, of those games.
  • Minnesota has not been a bigger underdog this season than the +220 moneyline set for this game.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 64 of their 107 opportunities.
  • Minnesota has played as the underdog in five of its past 10 games and has won two of those contests.

Astros Players to Watch

  • Yuli Gurriel is hitting .324 with 24 doubles, 12 home runs and 40 walks.
  • Among the qualifying hitters in MLB action, Gurriel’s 117 hits rank ninth, his 66 RBI rank 20th, his .324 AVG ranks third, his .387 OBP ranks seventh, and his .490 SLG ranks 23rd.
  • Gurriel heads into this game on a five-game hitting streak. During that streak he is batting .522 with two doubles, two home runs, a walk and seven RBIs.
  • Jose Altuve’s 25 home runs lead his team.
  • Among qualifying batters in MLB, Altuve’s 25 HR rank seventh.

Astros Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jose Altuve 391 .276 80 25 65 .349 .853
Carlos Correa 368 .272 70 17 59 .364 .842
Yuli Gurriel 361 .324 54 12 66 .387 .877
Kyle Tucker 356 .278 55 21 67 .334 .865
Yordan Alvarez 343 .280 63 20 69 .344 .857
Michael Brantley 337 .332 55 7 37 .384 .871
Martín Maldonado 254 .185 30 8 27 .274 .597
Chas McCormick 165 .236 32 10 35 .298 .759
Aledmys Díaz 146 .295 21 6 26 .340 .833
Robel Garcia 103 .155 8 1 8 .221 .435

Twins Players to Watch

  • Jorge Polanco is batting .273 this season with a team-high 18 home runs and 56 RBI.
  • Among qualified hitters in MLB, Polanco ranks outside of the top 20 in hits, average and OBP.
  • Polanco enters this game on a eight-game hitting streak, during which he’s hitting
  • Josh Donaldson is batting .248 with an OBP of .353 and a slugging percentage of .478 this season.

Twins Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jorge Polanco 384 .273 64 18 56 .334 .811
Andrelton Simmons 290 .221 32 3 22 .287 .570
Miguel Sanó 286 .210 42 17 42 .299 .743
Josh Donaldson 274 .248 45 16 44 .353 .831
Max Kepler 270 .207 40 14 40 .292 .725
Luis Arraez 258 .306 41 1 25 .369 .764
Trevor Larnach 240 .225 28 7 25 .316 .674
Ryan Jeffers 154 .214 15 9 27 .301 .736
Willians Astudillo 146 .274 13 5 15 .296 .721
Mitch Garver 144 .236 23 12 27 .345 .901

Astros vs Twins Player Props

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