Astros Vs Red Sox: ALCS Game 1 Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – October 15, 2021

Written By Staff on October 15, 2021

The ALCS opens between the Houston Astros (95-67) and the Boston Red Sox (92-70) at Minute Maid Park on Friday, starting at 8:07 PM ET. Houston (-145 to win) has Framber Valdez starting, and Boston (+125) will send out Chris Sale.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 15, 2021, 7:00 PM ET. See the table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Astros vs Red Sox Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Valdez (HOU) Pitcher Sale (BOS)
11 – 6 W/L 5 – 1
134.2 IP 42.2
3.14 ERA 3.16
1.240 WHIP 1.310
8.4 K/9 11.0
3.8 BB/9 2.3

Astros Probable Starter Framber Valdez

  • Valdez gets the start for the Astros, his 23rd of the season. He is 11-6 with a 3.14 ERA and 125 strikeouts in 134 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His last time out was on Friday, Oct. 8 against the White Sox, when the left-hander tossed 4 1/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • He will take the mound against a Red Sox team that is batting .261 as a unit (third in the MLB). They are also slugging a collective .449 (second in the league) with 219 total home runs (10th in MLB play).
  • The Astros have a 12-7 record in Valdez’s 19 starts this season when they were the moneyline favorite.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of October 15, 2021 at 7:40 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Red Sox Stats vs Valdez

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Kike Hernández 11 .273 3 1 1 .273 .818
Hunter Renfroe 8 .125 1 0 2 .222 .347
Rafael Devers 7 .286 2 0 0 .375 .661
Bobby Dalbec 6 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Christian Arroyo 6 .333 2 0 0 .429 .762
J.D. Martinez 6 .333 2 0 0 .333 .666
Xander Bogaerts 6 .333 2 0 1 .429 .929
Christian Vázquez 6 .167 1 0 0 .167 .334
Alex Verdugo 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Kevin Plawecki 1 1.000 1 0 0 1.000 2.000

Red Sox Probable Starter Chris Sale

  • Sale (5-1) will take the mound for the Red Sox, his 10th start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Friday, Oct. 8, when he tossed one inning while giving up five earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the Rays.
  • The Astros are batting .268 this season, first in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .445 (third in the league) with 221 home runs.
  • His team won his only start as an underdog this season.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of October 15, 2021 at 7:40 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Astros Stats vs Sale

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Michael Brantley 41 .195 8 0 4 .233 .477
José Altuve 31 .323 10 3 5 .344 .989
Carlos Correa 25 .200 5 1 4 .231 .551
Yuli Gurriel 14 .214 3 0 2 .267 .553
Alex Bregman 13 .308 4 2 2 .500 1.269
Martín Maldonado 12 .167 2 0 0 .231 .398
Aledmys Díaz 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666

Astros Betting Trends

  • The Astros score an average of 5.3 runs per home game and 5.4 per contest away from Minute Maid Park.
  • The Astros have the most prolific offense in MLB play scoring 5.3 runs per game (863 total runs).
  • The Astros have been favored on the moneyline 135 total times this season. They’ve finished 82-53 in those games.
  • Houston has a record of 63-35 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -145 or shorter (64.3%).
  • Houston has played in 162 games with set over/under, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 83 times (83-69-10).
  • Houston was favored on the moneyline for nine of its last 10 games, and finished 4-5 in those matchups.
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Red Sox Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox are among the highest scoring teams in the league, ranking fifth with 829 total runs this season.
  • They’ve scored 4.5 runs per game this season on the road while averaging 5.8 at home.
  • The Red Sox have won 27, or 50.9%, of the 53 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • Boston has entered 20 games this season as the underdog by +125 or more and is 10-10 in those contests.
  • Games involving Boston have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 73 of 162 chances this season.
  • Over the past 10 games, Boston has been the underdog just once and lost that contest.

Astros Players to Watch

  • Kyle Tucker is hitting .294 with 37 doubles, three triples, 30 home runs and 53 walks.
  • Among qualifying batters in MLB action, Tucker’s .294 AVG ranks 17th, and his .557 SLG ranks 10th.
  • Yuli Gurriel is batting .319 to pace his team.
  • Gurriel ranks 12th in hits (169), second in AVG (.319), and sixth in OBP (.383) among the qualifying batters in baseball.

Astros Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jose Altuve 601 .278 117 31 83 .350 .839
Carlos Correa 555 .279 104 26 92 .366 .851
Yordan Alvarez 537 .277 92 33 104 .346 .877
Yuli Gurriel 530 .319 83 15 81 .383 .845
Kyle Tucker 506 .294 83 30 92 .359 .916
Michael Brantley 469 .311 68 8 47 .362 .799
Martín Maldonado 373 .172 40 12 36 .272 .572
Alex Bregman 348 .270 54 12 55 .355 .777
Aledmys Díaz 294 .259 28 8 45 .317 .722
Chas McCormick 284 .257 47 14 50 .319 .766

Red Sox Players to Watch

  • Rafael Devers leads Boston in home runs with 38 and runs batted in with 115.
  • Among qualified hitters in MLB, Devers ranks eighth in SLG (.541), 10th in HR (38), fourth in RBI (115), and 18th in hits (166).
  • J.D. Martinez has collected 162 hits this season and has an OBP of .348. He’s slugging .516 on the year.
  • Martinez’s 162 hits rank 25th, his .284 AVG ranks 24th, his .516 SLG ranks first, and his 99 RBI rank 21st among all qualified batters in the league.

Red Sox Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Rafael Devers 591 .281 101 38 115 .354 .895
J.D. Martínez 570 .284 92 28 99 .348 .864
Alex Verdugo 544 .289 88 13 63 .351 .777
Xander Bogaerts 529 .295 90 23 79 .370 .863
Hunter Renfroe 521 .259 89 31 96 .315 .816
Kiké Hernández 508 .250 84 20 60 .337 .786
Christian Vázquez 458 .258 51 6 49 .308 .660
Bobby Dalbec 417 .240 50 25 78 .298 .792
Kyle Schwarber 399 .266 76 32 71 .374 .928
Travis Shaw 178 .191 14 6 28 .279 .616

Astros vs Red Sox Player Props

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