Astros Vs Mariners: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 29, 2022

Written By Staff on July 30, 2022

Julio Rodriguez will try to get his 100th hit of the season (he has 98) when his Seattle Mariners (54-46) play the Houston Astros (65-35) on Friday at 8:10 PM ET. Justin Verlander starts for Houston (-186 to win) while Seattle (+158) will counter with Robbie Ray.

The betting insights in this article use the latest odds as of July 29, 2022 at 7:31 PM ET.

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Astros vs Mariners Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Verlander (HOU) Pitcher Ray (SEA)
13 – 3 W/L 8 – 7
116.1 IP 120.0
1.86 ERA 3.90
0.877 WHIP 1.150
9.1 K/9 10.2
1.6 BB/9 2.9

Astros Probable Starter Justin Verlander

  • Verlander gets the start for the Astros, his 19th of the season. He is 13-3 with a 1.86 ERA and 117 strikeouts in 116 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last pitched on Saturday against the Seattle Mariners, when he tossed 7 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up four hits.
  • The 39-year-old has amassed an ERA of 1.86, with 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in 18 games this season. Opponents are hitting .191 against him.
  • Verlander is looking to record his sixth quality start in a row in this outing.
  • He will match up with a Mariners offense that ranks 22nd in MLB with 783 total hits (on a .235 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .388 (17th in MLB) with 110 total home runs (12th in MLB).
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 39-year-old ranks third in ERA (1.86), second in WHIP (.877), and 19th in K/9 (9.1).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 29, 2022 at 7:31 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Mariners Stats vs Verlander

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Carlos Santana 81 .235 19 9 14 .330 .960
Adam Frazier 21 .286 6 0 0 .318 .604
J.P. Crawford 18 .389 7 0 0 .500 .944
Ty France 17 .353 6 1 1 .353 .882
Jesse Winker 17 .118 2 1 1 .118 .412
Eugenio Suárez 17 .118 2 1 2 .167 .461
Julio Rodríguez 12 .167 2 1 2 .167 .584
Cal Raleigh 11 .000 0 0 0 .083 .083
Abraham Toro 9 .000 0 0 1 .000 .000
Dylan Moore 9 .222 2 0 0 .364 .808

Mariners Probable Starter Robbie Ray

  • The Mariners will hand the ball to Ray (8-7) for his 21st start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up six earned runs and allowed 10 hits in 3 2/3 innings pitched against the Houston Astros on Sunday.
  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.90, a 3.579 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.150 in 20 games this season.
  • He has earned a quality start 11 times in 20 starts this season.
  • The Astros rank 13th in MLB with 443 runs scored this season. They have a .239 batting average this campaign with 141 home runs (third in the league).
  • The 30-year-old’s 3.90 ERA ranks 44th, 1.150 WHIP ranks 34th, and 10.2 K/9 ranks ninth among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 29, 2022 at 7:31 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Astros Stats vs Ray

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
José Altuve 19 .579 11 2 4 .652 1.810
Alex Bregman 9 .111 1 0 0 .273 .495
Martín Maldonado 9 .222 2 0 2 .364 .586
Yuli Gurriel 8 .250 2 0 1 .400 .775
Kyle Tucker 7 .571 4 2 3 .571 2.000
Jeremy Pena 5 .200 1 1 1 .200 1.000
Aledmys Díaz 5 .400 2 0 0 .400 .800
Chas McCormick 4 .500 2 1 2 .500 1.750
Mauricio Dubón 3 .333 1 0 1 .500 1.167
Yordan Alvarez 2 .000 0 0 0 .333 .333

Astros Betting Trends

  • The Astros have won 69% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (58-26).
  • Houston has a record of 20-11 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -186 or shorter (64.5%).
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Astros’ implied win probability is 65%.
  • Houston has combined with opponents to go over the total 36 times this season for a 36-61-3 record against the over/under.
  • The Astros have put together a 52-48-0 record ATS this season (covering 52% of the time).
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Mariners Betting Trends

  • This season, the Mariners have been the underdog 59 times and won 25, or 42.4%, of those games.
  • Seattle is 4-2 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +158 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Mariners have a 38.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, Seattle and its opponents have hit the over in 45 of their 100 games with a total.
  • The Mariners are 50-50-0 against the spread in their 100 chances this season.

Astros Players to Watch

  • Yordan Alvarez has an on-base percentage of .414, a slugging percentage of .674, and has 89 hits, all club-bests for the Astros. He’s batting .309 with 14 doubles, two triples, 29 home runs and 51 walks.
  • Among qualified batters in baseball, Alvarez’s batting average ranks 12th, his on-base percentage ranks second, and he is first in the league in slugging.
  • Alvarez brings a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with two doubles, a home run, six walks and two RBI.
  • Kyle Tucker is hitting .245 with 14 doubles, 19 home runs and 45 walks.
  • Among qualified hitters, Tucker ranks 97th in batting average, 68th in on-base percentage, and 51st in slugging.
  • Alex Bregman is hitting .241 with 23 doubles, 13 home runs and 53 walks.
  • Bregman brings a two-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is batting .190 with two doubles, a home run and three RBI.
  • Jose Altuve is hitting .272 with 18 doubles, 19 home runs and 36 walks.

Astros Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Alex Bregman 344 .241 51 13 52 .350 .772
Kyle Tucker 331 .245 42 19 64 .333 .792
Yuli Gurriel 328 .238 33 7 27 .291 .681
Jose Altuve 316 .272 54 19 36 .357 .866
Jeremy Pena 294 .262 43 15 37 .308 .767
Yordan Alvarez 288 .309 65 29 67 .414 1.088
Martín Maldonado 230 .170 25 10 30 .235 .574
Chas McCormick 221 .231 27 10 26 .316 .732
Aledmys Díaz 203 .232 24 6 21 .288 .653
Mauricio Dubon 142 .211 20 3 17 .248 .558

Mariners Players to Watch

  • Rodriguez has 98 hits, which is best among Seattle hitters this season, while batting .275 with 38 extra-base hits.
  • Among all qualifying hitters, Rodriguez is 43rd in batting average, his on-base percentage is 57th, and he is 24th in slugging percentage.
  • Ty France leads the Mariners with an OPS of .860. He has a slash line of .310/.381/.479 this season.
  • Among all qualifying hitters, France’s batting average puts him 10th, his on-base percentage is 13th, and he is 29th in slugging.
  • J.P. Crawford is batting .270 with a .383 slugging percentage and 26 RBI this year.
  • Eugenio Suarez has 16 home runs, 51 RBI and a batting average of .231 this season.

Mariners Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Eugenio Suárez 363 .231 46 16 51 .330 .751
Adam Frazier 358 .240 39 3 24 .298 .608
Julio Rodriguez 357 .275 55 18 56 .338 .825
J.P. Crawford 337 .270 44 5 26 .346 .729
Ty France 336 .310 38 13 52 .381 .860
Jesse Winker 323 .223 28 8 35 .334 .671
Carlos Santana 256 .203 29 9 33 .332 .684
Abraham Toro 245 .176 29 8 24 .238 .560
Cal Raleigh 213 .211 25 14 37 .288 .762
Dylan Moore 147 .197 25 5 16 .343 .710

Astros vs Mariners Player Props

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