Astros Vs Mariners: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 24, 2022

Written By Staff on July 23, 2022

The Houston Astros (63-32) have a 2-0 series lead and will try to sweep the Seattle Mariners (51-44) on Sunday at T-Mobile Park, starting at 4:10 PM ET. Framber Valdez starts for Houston (-115 to win) while Seattle (-104) will counter with Robbie Ray.

The insights in what follows reference odds valid as of July 24, 2022 at 3:29 PM ET.

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Astros vs Mariners Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Valdez (HOU) Pitcher Ray (SEA)
8 – 4 W/L 8 – 6
115.0 IP 117.0
2.66 ERA 3.54
1.122 WHIP 1.094
8 K/9 10.4
3.4 BB/9 2.9

Astros Probable Starter Framber Valdez

  • Valdez makes the start for the Astros, his 19th of the season. He is 8-4 with a 2.66 ERA and 102 strikeouts in 115 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance was on Friday, July 15 against the Los Angeles Angels, when the lefty tossed 6 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 2.66, with 8 strikeouts per nine innings, in 18 games this season. Opponents are hitting .206 against him.
  • Valdez is trying to build upon a 15th-game quality start streak in this game.
  • He will take the mound against a Mariners offense that ranks 21st in MLB with 747 total hits (on a .236 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .389 (16th in MLB) with 105 total home runs (13th in MLB).
  • This season, the 28-year-old ranks 11th in ERA (2.66), 26th in WHIP (1.122), and 35th in K/9 (8) among pitchers who qualify.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 24, 2022 at 3:29 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Mariners Stats vs Valdez

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Dylan Moore 9 .111 1 0 1 .200 .311
J.P. Crawford 9 .222 2 0 0 .222 .444
Luis Torrens 6 .333 2 0 0 .333 .666
Carlos Santana 6 .167 1 0 0 .375 .708
Ty France 5 .000 0 0 0 .167 .167
Kyle Lewis 4 .000 0 0 0 .333 .333
Adam Frazier 4 .250 1 0 0 .400 .650
Abraham Toro 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666

Mariners Probable Starter Robbie Ray

  • Ray (8-6) will take to the mound for the Mariners and make his 20th start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Saturday, July 16, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up three earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Texas Rangers.
  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.54 and 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .210 in 19 games this season.
  • If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his eighth quality start in a row.
  • The Astros are batting .240 this season, 16th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .422 (fifth in the league) with 134 home runs.
  • Among qualified pitchers this campaign, the 30-year-old’s 3.54 ERA ranks 35th, 1.094 WHIP ranks 23rd, and 10.4 K/9 ranks seventh.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 24, 2022 at 3:29 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Astros Stats vs Ray

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
José Altuve 17 .529 9 1 2 .619 1.619
Martín Maldonado 8 .125 1 0 1 .300 .425
Alex Bregman 7 .143 1 0 0 .333 .619
Yuli Gurriel 6 .167 1 0 1 .375 .542
Kyle Tucker 5 .600 3 2 3 .600 2.400
Jeremy Pena 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Aledmys Díaz 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Chas McCormick 2 .500 1 1 1 .500 2.500
Yordan Alvarez 2 .000 0 0 0 .333 .333
Mauricio Dubón 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500

Astros Betting Trends

  • The Astros have been favored on the moneyline 79 total times this season. They’ve finished 56-23 in those games.
  • Houston is 54-21 (winning 72% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -115 or shorter.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Astros have an implied win probability of 53.5%.
  • Houston has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 33 times this season for a 33-59-3 record against the over/under.
  • The Astros have gone 50-45-0 against the spread this season.
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Mariners Betting Trends

  • This season, the Mariners have been the underdog 56 times and won 24, or 42.9%, of those games.
  • Seattle is 19-27 this season when entering a game as the underdog by -104 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Mariners, based on the moneyline, is 51%.
  • Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 43 of their 95 opportunities.
  • In 95 games with a spread this season, the Mariners are 49-46-0 ATS.

Astros Players to Watch

  • Yordan Alvarez has accumulated 85 hits with a .407 on-base percentage and a .668 slugging percentage, all club-highs for the Astros. He is batting .307 with 12 doubles, two triples, 28 home runs and 46 walks.
  • Among the qualified hitters, Alvarez ranks 10th in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks fourth and he is first in slugging.
  • Kyle Tucker is hitting .250 with 14 doubles, 18 home runs and 43 walks.
  • Tucker’s batting average ranks 84th among qualified players, his on-base percentage ranks 59th, and he is 42nd in the league in slugging.
  • Alex Bregman is hitting .242 with 21 doubles, 12 home runs and 53 walks.
  • Jose Altuve has 17 doubles, 18 home runs and 36 walks while batting .276.
  • Altuve brings a two-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with a home run and an RBI.

Astros Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Alex Bregman 327 .242 48 12 49 .355 .771
Kyle Tucker 316 .250 41 18 63 .338 .803
Yuli Gurriel 314 .236 31 7 27 .285 .670
Jose Altuve 297 .276 53 18 34 .365 .880
Jeremy Pena 278 .263 39 13 35 .307 .753
Yordan Alvarez 277 .307 61 28 65 .407 1.075
Martín Maldonado 220 .164 25 10 27 .232 .568
Chas McCormick 204 .230 25 9 23 .316 .728
Aledmys Díaz 188 .234 21 6 21 .291 .663
Mauricio Dubon 134 .209 18 3 16 .248 .554

Mariners Players to Watch

  • Julio Rodriguez leads Seattle in total hits (96) this season while batting .277 with 36 extra-base hits.
  • Among all the qualifying hitters in the big leagues, Rodriguez’s batting average is 41st, his on-base percentage is 57th, and he is 30th in slugging percentatge.
  • Ty France leads the Mariners with an OPS of .847. He has a slash line of .304/.375/.472 this season.
  • France is 14th in batting average, 15th in on-base percentage and 37th in slugging percentage in the majors.
  • J.P. Crawford has 84 hits this season and has a slash line of .264/.342/.377.
  • Eugenio Suarez is batting .238 with a .337 OBP and 51 RBI for Seattle this season.

Mariners Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Julio Rodriguez 346 .277 53 16 52 .339 .819
Eugenio Suárez 345 .238 44 16 51 .337 .775
Adam Frazier 341 .240 38 3 24 .299 .613
Ty France 322 .304 36 12 50 .375 .847
J.P. Crawford 318 .264 42 5 25 .342 .719
Jesse Winker 313 .227 28 8 35 .335 .680
Carlos Santana 240 .217 29 9 30 .349 .724
Abraham Toro 239 .176 27 7 22 .237 .551
Cal Raleigh 201 .199 22 13 34 .278 .731
Dylan Moore 139 .194 23 5 16 .339 .713

Astros vs Mariners Player Props

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